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Russia, it is often said, is a country that is barely able to stumble out of bed and put on matching socks in the morning. In the lead-up to the Winter Olympics in Sochi and continuing during the Games, the U.S. media declared open season on the nation. Americans were told that Russia is a country just about bereft of functioning elevators or toilets. Or even a national food, "except perhaps bad sushi." Its people "hardly know who they are anymore" and its essence is defined by copyright infringement and "all-encompassing corruption." All in all, Russia is "a country that's falling apart," as a New Republic cover story in February put it.
It's a hardy theme. It's also a completely bogus one. But that hasn't stopped the media from reviving it again and again.
Thirteen years ago, for example, the Atlantic published a cover story, "Russia Is Finished," on "the unstoppable descent of a once great power into social catastrophe" and ultimately "obscurity." That was a particularly bad year to predict Russia's demise, as an economic revival was starting to take hold. And these days, Russia is proving itself to be anything but "finished" as a geopolitical actor, with its aggressive seizure of Crimea and its arming of proRussia separatists in eastern Ukraine-who appear to be responsible for the July shooting down of a Malaysia Airlines passenger jet as it flew over rebel-held territory. Nor is Russia's determined and so far successful backing of Bashar al-Assad in Syria, and its nascent alliance with China based on a historic energy pact, suggestive of a nation that is no longer a consequential player on the world stage. Russia remains a risktaking nation-and as questionable, even reckless, as its gambles may be, as in its support for the rebels in eastern Ukraine, this is not the behavior of a country destined for insignificance. And while there is a great deal that is second-rate about Russia, from its sagging transportation infrastructure to its shoddy health-care system, such blemishes, common to many nations, including the United States, are hardly evidence of a fatal malaise.
The interesting question, then, is what lies behind this unbalanced mindset-what might be called the "Russia Is Doomed" syndrome. What is the source of such stubbornly...