Content area

Abstract

In the choice process of optimal military commu-nication (MC) alternative, evaluation data mainly come from expert judgments, simulation results and test bed data, and they cannot be directly used in evaluation because of differences in form and attribute; and the MC environment changes rapidly as the operation tempo increasing. It is an important effort to judge the effectiveness robustness of MC alternative, since both the evaluation data and the MC envi-ronment are full of uncertainty. A robustness evaluation method based on multiple data sources and Monte Carlo simluation is proposed with respect to the characteristics of them. Mainly include Belief map as data expression form; Regression relational model built with Support Vector Re-gression (SVR) to acquire simulation data's confidence with test bed data as training example; Extensive Bayesian Algo-rithm (EBA) to fuse data from multiple sources; Beta distri-bution fitting method for each criterion of each alternative by using the fused results; and calculation of the Probability of Best (PoB) of each alternative through Monte Carlo simu-lation. Take MCE evaluation of a Naval Vessels Fleet as an example, the proposed method is compared with some gen-eral methods. The results indicate that the proposed method helps to obtain relatively conservative alternative and is effective in guaranteeing the robustness.

Details

1009240
Business indexing term
Location
Title
Robustness Evaluation for Military Communi-cation Effectiveness based on Multiple Data Sources and Monte Carlo Simulation
Volume
3
Issue
5
Pages
1-9
Publication year
2011
Publication date
Aug 2011
Publisher
Modern Education and Computer Science Press
Place of publication
Hong Kong
Country of publication
Hong Kong
Publication subject
ISSN
20750161
e-ISSN
2075017X
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
Document type
Journal Article
ProQuest document ID
1627736119
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/scholarly-journals/robustness-evaluation-military-communi-cation/docview/1627736119/se-2?accountid=208611
Copyright
Copyright Modern Education and Computer Science Press Aug 2011
Last updated
2024-04-18
Database
ProQuest One Academic