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Immediately on its arrival in 1347 in the port of Messina in Sicily the Great Pestilence (or Black Death as it was named in 1823 because of the black blotches caused by subcutaneous haemorrhages that appeared on the skin of victims) was recognised as a directly infectious disease. Michael of Piazza, a Franciscan friar who wrote 10 years after the Black Death had arrived, said "The infection spread to everyone who had any intercourse with the disease". 1 Indeed, they believed (incorrectly) that priests who heard the confessions of the dying "were immediately overcome by death, so that some even remained in the rooms of the dying." 1 Case mortality was 100%. They realised that safety lay in fleeing but this, very effectively, served only to spread the infection.
The Black Death moved as a wave northwards through Europe at an average speed of about 4 km per day and reached the Arctic Circle by 1350, remarkable progress in the days of very limited means of transport. 2- 4 Even more impressively: it had earlier appeared in Asia Minor and the Crimea and moved south through Antioch; it was present in the Levant and spread along the north African coastlands and to Mecca in Saudi Arabia, covering, in all, some seven million square km. When it had burnt itself out, 40% of the population of Europe had been killed. This outbreak was a pandemic on a scale never before experienced (or since).
But this unknown disease had not disappeared completely and there were epidemics scattered through Europe during the 1350s. 5 Thereafter, the plague was permanently established in France with epidemics every year that cycled round the main trading routes. From there, infected travellers carried the disease by road and river across the continental landmass and by sea to Britain and Ireland. But all these peripheral epidemics died out completely and were restarted by fresh infectives coming from the focus in France. 4
The epidemics progressively increased in spread, frequency, and ferocity (fig 1) with a pronounced rise after 1550 because transport improved and the population of the towns steadily grew (that is, there was a greater number of susceptibles). Contemporary accounts, pattern of spread, and mortality all confirm that the same pathogen was responsible...





