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Recent salinity changes in the Southern Ocean1-7 are among the most prominent signals of climate change in the global ocean, yet their underlying causes have not been firmly established1,3,4,6. Here we propose that trends in the northward transport of Antarctic sea ice are a major contributor to these changes. Using satellite observations supplemented by sea-ice reconstructions, we estimate that wind-driven8,9 northward freshwater transport by sea ice increased by 20 ± 10 per cent between 1982 and 2008. The strongest and most robust increase occurred in the Pacific sector, coinciding with the largest observed salinity changes4,5. We estimate that the additional freshwater for the entire northern sea-ice edge entails a freshening rate of -0.02 ± 0.01 grams per kilogram per decade in the surface and intermediate waters of the open ocean, similar to the observed freshening1-5. The enhanced rejection of salt near the coast of Antarctica associated with stronger sea-ice export counteracts the freshening of both continental shelf2,10,11 and newly formed bottom waters6 due to increases in glacial meltwater12. Although the data sources underlying our results have substantial uncertainties, regional analyses13 and independent data from an atmospheric reanalysis support our conclusions. Our finding that northward sea-ice freshwater transport is also a key determinant of the mean salinity distribution in the Southern Ocean further underpins the importance of the sea-ice-induced freshwater flux. Through its influence on the density structure of the ocean, this process has critical consequences for the global climate by affecting the exchange of heat, carbon and nutrients between the deep ocean and surface waters14-17.
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Observations of salinity in the Southern Ocean over the past few decades have revealed a substantial widespread freshening in the surface waters of both coastal10,18 and open ocean regions2,5, as well as in the water masses formed from them1,3,4,6. In particular, the Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) and Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) freshened at a rate between - 0.01 g kg-1 and - 0.03 g kg-1 per decade during the second half of the twentieth century1,3,4. In the Pacific and Indian Ocean sectors, continental shelf waters and the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) also freshened substantially2,6,10, while in the Atlantic this freshening was smaller6,18. These salinity changes have been attributed to increased surface freshwater fluxes that...