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Peimin Chen 1 and Bo Li 2
Academic Editor:Yong Zhou
1, School of Economic Mathematics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, Sichuan 611130, China
2, School of Finance, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, Sichuan 611130, China
Received 10 October 2016; Accepted 6 February 2017; 23 February 2017
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
1. Introduction
Corporate dividend policy has long engaged the attention of financial economists. The classical paper [1] by Miller and Modigliani provides the valuation formula for an infinite horizon firm under perfect certainty. In a world of perfect capital markets, they show that the dividend policy is irrelevant as a firm can always raise funds to meet the need for continuing operation. However, under a more realistic condition with imperfections such as the presence of financial constraints, information asymmetry, agency costs, taxes, risk exposure under uncertainty, transaction costs, and other frictions, it has been shown that there exists an optimal dividend policy (see [2-5]). Thus, determining the optimal dividend payouts becomes an important issue as it affects firm value. More recent models have focused on the issue of how to set the optimal dividend policy in a dynamic uncertain environment.
The valuation model used by Miller-Modigliani in 1961 can be extended to the situation of controllable business activities in a stochastic environment. During the recent decades, there have been increasing interests in applying diffusion models to financial decision problems, especially in (re)insurance modelling (see [6-17]). For most of these models, the liquid assets processes of the corporation contain a Brownian motion with drift and diffusion terms. The drift term corresponds to the expected profit per unit time, and the diffusion term represents risk exposure. By using diffusion models, many kinds of optimal dividend problems, such as in [7, 14-16], are discussed and optimal policies are presented in these papers. Particularly, in some papers (see [14-16, 18]), authors discuss much more practical problems by considering a fixed transaction cost for each dividend payout. In [14], the optimal dividend problem without bankruptcy for insurance firms is considered under the assumptions of constant tax rate and fixed cost for dividend payout. In [15, 16], the author considers the general income process Xt with drift term μ(Xt ) and diffusion term σ(Xt ) and the case of bankruptcy. Moreover, numerical methods, such as the Runge-Kutta method, are implemented to simulate the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, which is a nonlinear differential equation. In [19], the author studies the dual risk model with a barrier strategy under the concept of bankruptcy, in which one has a positive probability to continue business despite temporary negative surplus. In [20], the author considers an insurance entity endowed with an initial capital and an income, modelled as a Brownian motion with drift and finds an explicit expression for the value function and for the optimal strategy in the first but not in the second case, where one has to switch to the viscosity ansatz. In [21], the authors suppose that a large insurance company can control its surplus process by reinsurance, paying dividends, or injecting capitals and obtain the explicit solutions for value function and optimal strategy.
In these papers, the value function is typically assumed to be zero when there is a bankruptcy. But in the real world, some shareholders, especially for preferred shareholders, can get some money back when a terminal bankruptcy occurs. That means for this case the value function is not zero at bankruptcy. Thus, it is very useful and necessary for us to consider this kind of problem. In this paper, we postulate that the amount of money, shareholders can obtain for the terminal bankruptcy, is a positive constant, a. Moreover, we assume that the liquid assets Xt follows a process with constant drift and diffusion coefficients.
In the model of this paper, as that in [14], the dividend distribution policy is given by a purely discontinuous increasing functional. The net amount of money received by shareholders is kξi -K for the i-th dividends, where ξi is the amount of the dividend payments, 1-k is the tax rate the shareholder pays, and K is the fixed cost whenever the dividends are paid out. Further, τi represents the moments of dividend payments and λ is the discount rate. Based on these assumptions, we transform the value function V(x) into quasi-variational inequalities (QVI) and list out a candidate solution v(x) to QVI with a positive boundary condition v(0)=a. Subsequently, we show that the value function can be given by v(x) and the optimal policy can be presented based on the solution v(x). A natural question is how to point out whether there is a bankruptcy or not in order to obtain the optimal policy under some conditions. To answer this question, some criteria are provided.
A major difficulty in this paper is that the structure of the candidate solution is uncertain since the existing interval of it has unfixed endpoints, which depends on some unknown parameters. This phenomenon does not appear in [14] and other related papers. Enlightened by the derivatives of candidate solutions, we construct the integral I(C) and then discuss it by several cases for μ, σ, k, K, and a. For the model mentioned above, which is restricted to stay at the bankruptcy state, it is denoted by terminal bankruptcy model as in [22].
The structure of this paper is as follows. In the next section, we provide a rigorous mathematical model for the optimal dividend problem. Then the stochastic control problem is transformed to a QVI. Moreover, some definitions and an important verification are presented. Following this, the detailed structure of candidate solutions is given under different situations in Section 3. In Section 4, the uniqueness of some unfixed parameters is verified; some formulas to calculate these parameters are proposed and some numerical examples are shown to support our theoretical results. In Section 5, we demonstrate that the candidate solutions satisfy QVI and obtain the optimal dividend policy. In the last section, we summarize our results and suggest a direction for future research.
2. The Mathematical Model
The proposed model considers the dividend optimization problem for a firm which can control its business activities that affect its risk and potential profit. It extends the classical Miller-Modigliani model of firm valuation to the situation of controllable business activities in a stochastic environment with a possibility of bankruptcy and a positive residual value to shareholders upon bankruptcy. The model is quite general and can be applied to any firm in which management has control on the dividend stream as well as the risk exposure. Without loss of generality, the model is cast in the framework of a large insurance company, as it possesses many nice features to best illustrate the model.
2.1. Value Function
Let (Ω,F,P) be a probability space with a filtration (Ft )t≥0 and W={Wt ; t≥0} be a standard Brownian motion adapted to that filtration. Moreover, the reserve process X={X(t); t≥0} is a state variable, which denotes the liquid assets of the company. For an insurance company, in order to reduce risk, the risk control takes up the form of proportional reinsurance, which mathematically corresponds to decreasing the drift and diffusion coefficient by multiplying both quantities by the same factor u(t)∈[0,1]. The time of dividends is described by a sequence of increasing stopping times {τi ; i=1,2,...} and the amounts of the dividends paid out to the shareholders, associated with the times, are represented by a sequence of random variables {ξi ; i=1,2,...}. Then the controlled state process X(t) before bankruptcy is given by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where x≥0 is the initial reserve and I(τn <t) is an indicator function.
Let the time of bankruptcy be given by [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Definition 1.
Let u:Ω×[0,∞)[arrow right][0,1] be an (Ft )t≥0 -adapted process; let τi , i=1,2,..., be a stopping time with respect to (Ft )t≥0 , and let the random variable ξi , i=1,2,..., be {Fτi } measurable with 0<=ξi <=X(τi -); then [figure omitted; refer to PDF] is called an admissible control or an admissible policy. The class of all admissible controls is denoted by A(x).
In addition, we denote the net amount of money that shareholders receive by a function g:[0,∞)[arrow right](-∞,∞) as [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where the constant K>0 is a fixed setup cost incurred each time that a dividend is paid out, and the constant 1-k∈(0,1) is the tax rate at which the dividends are taxed, and ω is a real value variable with respect to the amount of liquid assets withdrawn.
A performance functional J with each admissible control π is defined by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] which represents the total expected discounted value received by shareholders until the time of bankruptcy, where a is the known amount paid out to shareholders when the terminal bankruptcy happens.
Define the value function V(x) by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Then the optimal control π[low *] =(u[low *] ,T[low *] ,ξ[low *] ,τ[low *] ) is a policy for which the following equality can be satisfied [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
2.2. Properties of the Value Function
In this section, the QVI associated with the stochastic control problem is provided. Moreover, we derive some properties of the value function.
Proposition 2.
For every x∈(0,∞), the value function V(x) in (6) satisfies [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Proof.
By the same method as in [14] and letting X(τ)=a instead of X(τ)=0, then the result can be obtained.
Let g be given by (4); then, for a function [varphi]:(0,∞)[arrow right]R, define the maximum utility operator M of it by [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Suppose that the payment of dividends occurs at time 0 and the amount of it equals ω; then the reserve decreases from initial position x to x-ω. After that, if the optimal policy is followed, the total expected utility is kω-K+V(x-ω). Consequently, under such a policy, the total maximal expected utility would be equal to MV(x). On the other hand, for each initial position x, suppose that there exists an optimal policy, which is optimal for the whole domain. Then the expected utility associated with this optimal policy is V(x), which is greater or equal to any expected utility associated with another different policy. So, we have [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Now, define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] By the dynamic programming principle, we know that in the continuation region, V(x) satisfies [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
The arguments in (10) and (12) give us an intuition for the following two definitions and one theorem.
Definition 3.
Assume that function v(x):[0,∞)[arrow right][0,∞). For every x∈[0,∞) and u∈[0,1], if we have [figure omitted; refer to PDF] then we claim that v(x) satisfies the quasi-variational inequalities of the control problem.
Definition 4.
The control πv =(uv ,Tv ,ξv ,τv ) is called the QVI control associated with v if [figure omitted; refer to PDF] and, for every n≥2, [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
As in Cadenillas et al. [14], we also have the following theorem.
Theorem 5.
Let v∈C1 ((0,∞)) be a solution of QVI. Suppose there exists U>0 such that v is twice continuously differentiable on [0,U) and v is linear on [U,∞). Then, for any x∈[0,∞), [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Furthermore, if the QVI control (uv ,Tv ,ξv ,τv ) associated with v is admissible, then v coincides with the value function and the QVI control associated with v is the optimal policy; that is, [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Proof.
The idea of this proof is very similar to that of Theorem 3.4 in Cadenillas et al. [14]. So, we do not show it in this paper.
3. Smooth Solutions to the QVI Properties
In this section, we first recall the zero boundary (no recovery) problem in Cadenillas et al. [14], and then by the similar method of this solved problem, we obtain the smooth solutions of QVI properties.
3.1. Solution for the Problem with Zero Boundary Condition
Let us consider the similar problem of QVI as follows: [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Let [figure omitted; refer to PDF] and define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Then from Cadenillas et al. [14], we can obtain the structure of the solution of QVI0 : [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where C0 is a free constant and θ+ , θ- , a1 , and a2 are given by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] and X~ is the unique solution of the following equation: [figure omitted; refer to PDF] In Cadenillas et al. [14], it has been shown that a1 >0 and a2 <0. Define a function H(x) by [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Let [figure omitted; refer to PDF] then I0 (C~0 ) is a decreasing function of C~0 with the range [0,+∞), and there exists unique C~0 , X~C~0 , and X1C~0 , such that I0 (C~0 )=K.
Further, Cadenillas et al. [14] show that the solution of QVI0 can be given by (21) with C0 =C~0 , X~=X~C~0 , and X1 =X1C~0 .
3.2. Smooth Solutions of QVI Properties on [0,x1 ]
The difference between QVI and QVI0 is just the boundary condition. Thus, we conjecture that solutions of them may have some similarities.
3.2.1. Smooth Solutions of QVI Properties on [0,x1 )
First, as in (20), we define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Then, on the interval (0,x1 ), from QVI we have that [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Let u(x)∈R be the maximizer of the expression on the left-hand side of (28); then [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Putting (29) into (28), we have [figure omitted; refer to PDF] A general solution of (30) under the boundary condition v(0)=a is [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where C is a free constant and γ is presented by (19). From (29) and (31), it follows that [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Since u(x) above is an increasing linear function, u(x)<=1 if and only if x<=x0 , where [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Thus, if x0 >0 and x0 <x<x1 , it follows that u(x)≥1. But since the range of u(x) is [0,1], then we must have u(x)=1 for x∈(x0 ,x1 ); consequently (28) becomes [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
One general solution to (34) can be written by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where C1 and C2 are free constants and θ+ and θ- are given by (22). Continuity of the function v(x) and its derivative v[variant prime] (x) at the point x0 implies that C1 =Ca1 and C2 =Ca2 , where C is a free constant and a1 and a2 are defined by (23).
On the other hand, if x0 <=0, then u(x)=1, for any x∈[0,x1 ), and (28) becomes [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Solving (36), we can obtain the general solution of (36) as follows: [figure omitted; refer to PDF] with C1 +C2 =a.
Now, let us summarize the possible structure for the solution of (28) on [0,x1 ). If x0 >0, then [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where C is a free constant. If x0 <=0, then the structure of v(x) on [0,x1 ) is given by (37).
Remark 6.
From (33), we notice that x0 depends on the uncertain parameter C, which will be estimated later. For different C, the sign of x0 may be different. Moreover, it is easy to show that the assumption, x0 >0, is equivalent to C>aX0-γ and x0 [arrow right]0+ is equivalent to C[arrow right](aX0-γ )+ . In addition, for (37) and (38), they are consistent at x0 =0. That is, for any x∈(0,x1 ), [figure omitted; refer to PDF] At C=aX0-γ , from the consistency of two solutions, we have that C1 =Ca1 . In addition, the condition of existence for (37) implies C<=aX0-γ . Moreover, there is no conflict to denote C1 by Ca1 when C<=aX0-γ . So, we let C1 =Ca1 for C<=aX0-γ .
Remark 7.
For v(x) in (38), from a1 >0 and a2 <0, it is easy to show that v[variant prime][variant prime][variant prime] (x)>0 on [0,x1 ), which implies that v[variant prime] (x) obtained from (38) have convexity on [0,x1 ).
3.2.2. Smooth Solution of QVI Properties at x1
From the definition of x1 , we have that v(x1 )=Mv(x1 ). Then, by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] it follows that the maximizing sequence η for v(x1 )=Mv(x1 ) cannot have zero as a limiting point. So, at x1 , the supremum on the right-hand side of (9) can be taken over η∈[[...],x1 ] for some [...]>0. Therefore, there exists η(x1 )∈(0,x1 ], such that [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Let x~=x1 -η(x1 ); then 0<=x~<x1 and [figure omitted; refer to PDF] From (42), it follows that [figure omitted; refer to PDF] then we have [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Remark 8.
If x~=0, then v(x1 )=v(0)+kx1 -K=a+kx1 -K, which means the dividend happens once and then a bankruptcy follows. This is an important phenomenon that deserves to be discussed.
4. Uniqueness for the Unfixed Parameters
In Section 3, some parameters, such as C, C1 , and C2 , are unfixed numbers. In this section, we discuss the uniqueness of their corresponding parameters by two useful integral functions, whose integrands can be used to obtain solutions of QVI. As in Remark 6, we claim that Ca1 can be used to denote C1 for C<=aX0-γ .
4.1. Definitions and Properties of Two Integral Functions
From Remark 6, it is known that different C will lead to two possible cases for x0 . The first case is x0 >0 and the second is x0 <=0. In the following, we discuss these two cases by two constructed integral functions, respectively.
Case 1 (x0 >0).
Let HC (x) be a function, with constant C, constructed by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where x0 is also defined by (33) with C>aX0-γ .
Define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where x1C and x~C are two nonnegative roots of the equation k-CHC (x)=0 with x~C <x1C and x~C ⋁0 denotes max[...]{x~C ,0}. If x~C does not exist on [0,∞), then let x~C ⋁0=0.
From the definitions of HC (x) and I1 (C), obviously CHC (x) is a continuous function of C. Further, x~C ⋁0 and x1C are also continuous functions of C if the existence condition of them is satisfied. So, I1 (C) is a continuous function.
Proposition 9.
Let HC (x) be defined by (45); then it has convexity on [0,∞) by (HC )[variant prime][variant prime] (x)>0. Moreover, CHC (x) is an increasing function with respect to C by (CHC (x))[variant prime] >0. For I1 (C), if the condition of its existence is satisfied on some subintervals of (aX0-γ ,∞), then it is a strictly decreasing function on these subintervals.
Case 2 (x0 <=0).
Let [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where 0<C1 <=aX0-γa1 .
Define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where x1C1 and x~C1 are two nonnegative roots of the equation k-HC1 (x)=0 with x~C1 <x1C1 . If x~C1 does not exist on [0,∞), then let x~C1 ⋁0=0.
For (48), taking the derivative of I2 (C1 ) with respect to C1 gives [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Consequently, for any positive C1 , I2[variant prime] (C1 )<0 due to the fact that θ+ >0 and θ- <0. So, we have the following result.
Proposition 10.
For I2 (C1 ), if its existence condition is satisfied on some subintervals of (0,aX0-γa1 ), then it is a continuous and strictly decreasing function on these subintervals. Moreover, we can show that limC1 [arrow right]0 [...]x1C1 =∞ and limC1 [arrow right]0 [...]I2 (C1 )=∞.
Remark 11.
For small enough and positive C1 , it is possible that a-C1 >0. Under this situation, HC1 (x) may have no convexity since (HC1 )[variant prime][variant prime] (x)>0 may not be satisfied.
In the following, we discuss the property of two integral functions at x0 =0.
At x0 =0 there are some common properties of I1 (C) and I2 (Ca1 ). Firstly, it follows that C1 =Ca1 and C=aX0-γ . Then from [figure omitted; refer to PDF] we obtain that at x0 =0 the integrands of I1 (C) and I2 (C1 ) are the same. Consequently, we can conclude that if x1C1 exists at C1 =aX0-γa1 , then I2 (aX0-γa1 )=I1 (aX0-γ ). To judge whether I2 (aX0-γa1 )>0, we have the following result.
Proposition 12.
One equivalent condition of I2 (aX0-γa1 )>0 is k>aM[low *] , where M[low *] is given by [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Proof.
Let B(x)=aX0-γa1θ+eθ+ x +aX0-γa2θ-eθ- x . Notice that B[variant prime][variant prime] (x)>0, and so B(x) has convexity. One equivalent condition of I2 (aX0-γa1 )>0 is that [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Solving B[variant prime] (x)=0, we have that [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
It can check that (-a2θ-2 )/(a1θ+2 )>1, so x>0 in (53).
Putting (53) into B(x), we have [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
From (52) and (54), we can complete the proof.
Remark 13.
An important inequality with respect to M[low *] given by (51) is λ/μ<M[low *] <2λ/μ.
Proof.
For M[low *] given by (51), taking its logarithm, we can get [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Let us check the derivative of M[low *] on σ2 as follows: [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Therefore, M[low *] is an increasing function of σ2 . From σ2 ∈(0,∞), we can take limits as σ2 [arrow right]0 and σ2 [arrow right]∞ to get the infimum and the supremum of M[low *] . For (55), it follows that [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
Since the infimum of M[low *] is λ/μ and the supremum of M[low *] is 2λ/μ, we can get λ/μ<M[low *] <2λ/μ.
4.2. Integral Functions I(C) under Different Conditions
By the convexity of HC (x) on [0,∞), it shows that CHC (0)<=k, that is, C<=a1-γ(k/γ)γ , is equivalent to x~C ⋁0=0. From the definition of HC (x), it is known that C>aX0-γ . We compare aX0-γ to a1-γ(k/γ)γ as follows.
Case 1 (aX0-γ <a1-γ (k/γ)γ ).
By simplicity, this condition is equivalent to k>2aλ/μ. In addition, at point C=a1-γ(k/γ)γ , from (45) we have that CHC (0)=k and (CHC )[variant prime] (0)<0. Combining with the convexity of HC (x), it follows that x1C >0 and k-CHC (x)>0 on (0,x1C ).
Proposition 14.
If k>2aλ/μ, then I1 (a1-γ(k/γ)γ )>0 is satisfied. Consequently, from the monotonicity of I1 (C), we have I2 (aX0-γa1 )=I1 (aX0-γ )>0.
From the above, it shows that aX0-γ can be the left domain endpoint for I1 (C). On the other hand, from CHC (x)[arrow right]∞ as C[arrow right]∞ and I1 (C) is a continuous function, then there exists C[low *] >a1-γ(k/γ)γ , such that I1 (C[low *] )=0. Therefore, (aX0-γ ,C[low *] ) can be the domain of I1 (C). Moreover, we have that (0,aX0-γa1 ) can be the domain of I2 (C1 ) from Section 4.1.
Remark 15.
If k>2aλ/μ, we have I2 (Ca1 )∈(I2 (aX0-γa1 ),∞), for C∈(0,aX0-γ ) and I1 (C)∈(0,I2 (aX0-γa1 )), for C∈(aX0-γ ,C[low *] ), where C[low *] >a1-γ(k/γ)γ .
Therefore, we can define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] as a useful integral function under aX0-γ <a1-γ(k/γ)γ . Moreover, I(C) is a strictly decreasing function.
Case 2 (aX0-γ ≥a1-γ(k/γ)γ ).
By simplicity, this assumption is equivalent to k<=2aλ/μ. In addition, in I2 (C1 ) the inequality HC1 (0)<=k is equivalent to C1 <=(k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ). From (22), we can obtain that θ-2 (k-aθ+ )/θ+2 (k-aθ- )>1 is equivalent to k>aλ/μ. Then, for 0<x<(1/(θ+ -θ- ))ln[...](θ-2 (k-aθ+ )/θ+2 (k-aθ- )), it can be easily seen that (HC1 )[variant prime] (x)<0 at C1 =(k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ). By the similar discussion as above, we can show that as follows.
Proposition 16.
If aλ/μ<k<=2aλ/μ, then I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))>0. If k<=aλ/μ, then I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))=0 and I2 (C1 )>0 for any C1 ∈(0,(k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- )).
Remark 17.
If k<=aλ/μ, we have I2 (Ca1 )∈(0,+∞) for C∈(0,C[low *] ), where C[low *] =(k-aθ- )/(a1 (θ+ -θ- )). If aλ/μ<k<=aM[low *] , we have I2 (Ca1 )∈(0,+∞) for C∈(0,C[low *] ), where (k-aθ- )/(a1 (θ+ -θ- ))<C[low *] <=aX0-γ . If aM[low *] <k<=2aλ/μ, we have I2 (Ca1 )∈(I2 (aX0-γa1 ),∞), for C∈(0,aX0-γ ), and I1 (C)∈(0,I2 (aX0-γa1 )), for C∈(aX0-γ ,C[low *] ), where C[low *] >aX0-γ .
Therefore, we can also use I1 (C) and I2 (Ca1 ) to define three types of I(C) similar to (58) as useful integral functions under aX0-γ ≥a1-γ (k/γ)γ . Moreover, these types of I(C) are strictly decreasing functions.
4.3. Compute Parameter C and Numerical Examples
In the process of calculating C, we can follow the same steps for these two cases. By the following steps, the uncertain parameter C can be obtained. Further, we can get other parameters, such as x1C , x1C1 , x~C , and x~C1 .
Step 1.
Compare aM[low *] with k.
Step 2.
If k>aM[low *] , Compute I2 (aX0-γa1 ), and then compare I2 (aX0-γa1 ) with K.
(i) If I2 (aX0-γa1 )>K, get C on (aX0-γ ,∞), such that I1 (C)=K.
(ii) If I2 (aX0-γa1 )<=K, get C on (0,aX0-γ ), such that I2 (Ca1 )=K.
Step 3.
If k<=aM[low *] , then compare k with aλ/μ and solve I(C)=K.
In practical problems, k∈(0,1), but the restriction for a is just a>0. In order to satisfy 0<k<1, for convenience, we just choose different values for a and never change the values of k, μ, λ, and σ in the following numerical examples. The values of these parameters are selected as μ=0.12, λ=0.002, σ=1.6, and k=0.13. For the value of a>0, we choose a=2,4,6,8 to satisfy four different conditions. In Figure 1, the graphs of I(C) are shown, and both forms of I(C), I1 (C), and I2 (Ca1 ) are listed out in their corresponding domains. Moreover, the right domain endpoint C[low *] of I(C) is also presented. Figure 1 shows that I(C) is always a decreasing function.
Figure 1: I ( C ) with respect to a.
(a) a = 2
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(b) a = 4
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(c) a = 6
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(d) a = 8
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
In Figure 1(a), a=2, which satisfies k>2aλ/μ. We let C1[low *] /a1 =aX0-γ and C0[low *] =a1-γ(k/γ)γ . We can see I(C) is composed of I2 (Ca1 ) for C∈(0,C1[low *] /a1 ] and I1 (C) for C∈(C1[low *] /a1 ,C[low *] ) with I2 (C1[low *] )=5.2494>0 and I1 (C0[low *] )=3.5408>0. This phenomenon is consistent with Proposition 14. In Figure 1(b), a=4, which satisfies aM[low *] <k<=2aλ/μ, and C0[low *] is given by C0[low *] =aX0-γ . Since (k-aθ- )/(a1 (θ+ -θ- ))=1.3935 is very close to C0[low *] =1.4018, we just draw the position of C0[low *] in the graph. In fact, under aM[low *] <k<=2aλ/μ, this phenomenon happens almost on any other trial, for which we select different k, μ, λ, and σ. Figure 1(b) shows I2 (C0[low *]a1 )>0, which supports Proposition 12 correctly. In Figure 1(c), we choose a=6, which satisfies aλ/μ<k<=aM[low *] . I(C) is just composed of I2 (Ca1 ) with I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))=0.1631>0, which matches Proposition 16 very well. Since the value 0.1631, compared with the numbers of y-axis, is so small, it is not obvious in the graph. In Figure 1(d), a=8, which satisfies k<=aλ/μ. We can obtain (k-aθ- )/(a1 (θ+ -θ- ))=2.4651 by calculation. From numerical simulation we get C[low *] =2.4651, so C[low *] =(k-aθ- )/(a1 (θ+ -θ- )) is satisfied. Therefore, the conclusion in Proposition 16 is shown.
Table 1 summarizes the results for different parameter values. As shown in Table 1 (starting from row 4), for each case in Figure 1 where a>0, we choose three different values of K to calculate parameters such as C, x~⋁0, x0 ⋁0, and x1 from I(C)=K. For Figure 1(a) with a=2, from I2 (C1[low *] )=5.2494 and I1 (C0[low *] )=3.5408, three potential values of K are selected as K=0.15<I1 (C0[low *] ), I1 (C0[low *] )<K=4<I2 (C1[low *] ), and K=8>I2 (C1[low *] ). By the same selection method, for Figure 1(b) with a=4, from I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))=1.0669 and I2 (C0[low *]a1 )=1.0150, three trials for K are K=0.15,1.05,4. For Figure 1(c) with a=6, from I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))=0.1631, three comparable values of K are given by K=0.15,1.05,4 and the same is applied in Figure 1(d) with a=8. This table shows that the results, whether the values of x~⋁0 and x0 ⋁0 are zeroes or not, are totally consistent with the theoretical results in Sections 4.1 and 4.2. In addition, C, x~⋁0, and x0 ⋁0 are decreasing and x1 is increasing when K is increasing under the same a. On the other hand, under the same K, C is increasing and x1 is decreasing as a is increasing.
Table 1: Parameter estimations under μ=0.12, λ=0.002, k=0.13, and σ=1.6.
Conditions | a | K | C | x ~ ⋁ 0 | x 0 ⋁ 0 | x 1 | I ( C ) |
k > 2 a λ μ | 0 | 0.15 | 1.5748 | 15.9820 | 12.4675 | 49.9571 | I 0 ( C ) |
k > 2 a λ μ | 0 | 4 | 0.8671 | 5.7239 | 12.4675 | 91.9615 | I 0 ( C ) |
k > 2 a λ μ | 0 | 8 | 0.5196 | 2.3827 | 12.4675 | 127.4305 | I 0 ( C ) |
| |||||||
k > 2 a λ μ | 2 | 0.15 | 1.7489 | 18.4531 | 11.0865 | 40.0506 | I 1 ( C ) |
k > 2 a λ μ | 2 | 4 | 0.8648 | 0 | 4.9491 | 84.6289 | I 1 ( C ) |
k > 2 a λ μ | 2 | 8 | 0.5163 | 0 | 0 | 115.3948 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
| |||||||
a M [low *] < k <= 2 a λ μ | 4 | 0.15 | 1.7490 | 12.5186 | 5.1482 | 34.1052 | I 1 ( C ) |
a M [low *] < k <= 2 a λ μ | 4 | 1.05 | 1.3962 | 0.1815 | 0 | 46.2875 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
a M [low *] < k <= 2 a λ μ | 4 | 4 | 1.0055 | 0 | 0 | 69.2676 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
| |||||||
a λ μ < k <= a M [low *] | 6 | 0.15 | 1.9325 | 0.4645 | 0 | 22.0481 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
a λ μ < k <= a M [low *] | 6 | 1.05 | 1.7409 | 0 | 0 | 31.7341 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
a λ μ < k <= a M [low *] | 6 | 4 | 1.2550 | 0 | 0 | 54.2053 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
| |||||||
k <= a λ μ | 8 | 0.15 | 2.3953 | 0 | 0 | 11.0653 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
k <= a λ μ | 8 | 1.05 | 2.1493 | 0 | 0 | 21.6008 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
k <= a λ μ | 8 | 4 | 1.5614 | 0 | 0 | 40.7502 | I 2 ( C a 1 ) |
5. Solutions to the QVI and the Optimal Policy
Notice that all possible structures to calculate C are I1 (C) and I2 (Ca1 ). Moreover, all integrands of these structures can be used to construct the candidate solutions to the QVI. In the following, we first demonstrate that all constructed candidate solutions are solutions to the QVI under different conditions and give several corresponding numerical examples by using the results of Section 4.3. Then, we provide and verify the optimal policy based on the solutions to the QVI.
5.1. Solutions to the QVI and Numerical Examples
Assume that we have got C, such that I(C)=K, by those steps provided in Section 4.3. Then, other parameters, such as x1C , x1C1 , x~C ⋁0, and x~C1 ⋁0, can also be obtained. For simplicity, we use the same denotations as before, such as C, C1 , x1C , x1C1 , x~C ⋁0, and x~C1 ⋁0, to represent all calculated parameters.
For C, such that I1 (C)=K, we define a function T1 (x) by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] Then C>aX0-γ and T1 (x) satisfy I1 (C)=K.
Define v1 (x)=a+∫0xT1 (y)dy; then we can obtain that [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where x0 =X0 -(a/C)1/γ .
In addition, for C, such that I2 (Ca1 )=K, define [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where C1 =Ca1 . Then C<=aX0-γ and T2 (x) satisfy I2 (C1 )=K.
Define v2 (x)=a+∫0x [...]T2 (y)dy; it follows that [figure omitted; refer to PDF]
In the following, for v1 (x) and v2 (x), we use the same notations, x1 , to denote both x1C and x1C1 and x~ to denote both x~C and x~C1 . From the construction of v1 (x) and v2 (x), we have the following theorem by verifying the system QVI.
Theorem 18.
Both functions v1 (x) and v2 (x) given by (60) and (62) are continuously differentiable on [0,∞), and for each of v1 and v2 , there exists U>0 such that this function is twice continuously differentiable on [0,U). Moreover, v1 (x) and v2 (x) provide a solution to QVI.
In addition, from the discussion of Section 4, we have an important result as follows to make a decision with respect to whether there is a bankruptcy or not.
(1) Under the assumption k>2aλ/μ, if I1 (a1-γ(k/γ)γ )<=K, then x~⋁0=0 and there would be a bankruptcy. If I1 (a1-γ(k/γ)γ )>K, then x~>0 and the optimal policy is continuation strategy.
(2) Under the assumption aλ/μ<k<=2aλ/μ, if I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))<=K, then x~⋁0=0 and there would be a bankruptcy. If I2 ((k-aθ- )/(θ+ -θ- ))>K, then x~>0 and the optimal policy is continuation strategy.
(3) If k<=aλ/μ, then x~⋁0=0 and there would be a bankruptcy.
Based on the calculated parameters, C, x0 ⋁0, and x1 of Section 4.3, several numerical examples are provided here to support our theoretical results. In Figure 2, the graphs of v(x) are shown under a=2, a=4, a=6, and a=8, respectively. These figures show that at the same value of a, the graphs of v(x) with greater K are below those of v(x) with smaller K. This phenomenon means that the optimal dividends would be greater if the fixed costs become smaller, which accords with the actual situation in the real world. Moreover, given x, the value of the firm v(x) increases with the recovery rate a.
Figure 2: v ( x ) with respect to a.
(a) a = 2
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(b) a = 4
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(c) a = 6
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(d) a = 8
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
In Figure 3, the corresponding derivatives of v(x) in Figure 2 are plotted. For Figure 3(a) at K=0.15, Figure 3(b) at K=0.15 and K=1.05, and Figure 3(c) at K=0.15, it shows that they have v[variant prime] (0)>k in corresponding graphs. In addition, for Figure 3(b) at K=1.05, the graph of it has convexity. Moreover, for Figure 3(b) at K=4, Figure 3(c) at K=1.05 and K=4, and Figure 3(d) at K=0.15, K=1.05, and K=4, all graphs of them are below the level line of k.
Figure 3: v [variant prime] ( x ) with respect to a.
(a) a = 2 , k = 0.13
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(b) a = 4 , k = 0.13
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(c) a = 6 , k = 0.13
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(d) a = 8 , k = 0.13
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
For comparative purposes, we also compute the results for the cases when a=0, which are considered by Cadenillas et al. [14]. The first three rows in Table 1 present the cases for a=0. As shown, the results for a=0 are quite different from those for a≠0 (see rows 4-15 of Table 1). An important difference is that, for a=0, x0 and x~ are all greater than zero, which are critical factors to reduce the complexity of verification for the uniqueness of solutions. The value of v(x) and its derivatives under a=0 are plotted in Figure 4. In fact, in Figure 4(a) v(x) is the lower limit lines of those corresponding lines with the same parameters except for a in Figure 2 as a[arrow right]0. Comparing Figure 4(b) with Figure 3, it shows that the case a=0 has much simpler graphs than the case a≠0 for the derivative function v[variant prime] (x). The former only has a convex shape, whereas the latter has both convex and concave shapes, which are consistent with the complicated properties of I(C) in Section 4.2. More importantly, for any given x, the value of the firm v(x) is always lower in the case with no recovery (a=0) than that with a recovery value (a≠0). Results show that the model with a=0 underestimates the firm value when there is a residual value at bankruptcy.
Figure 4: v ( x ) and v[variant prime] (x) under a=0.
(a) a = 0
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
(b) a = 0
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]
5.2. Optimal Policy
In the following theorem, the optimal policy is presented and verified, and it is shown that the solution to QVI constructed above is the value function.
Theorem 19.
Let τ0 =0; then the control π[low *] =(u[low *] ,T[low *] ,ξ[low *] ,τ[low *] ) defined by [figure omitted; refer to PDF] if x~⋁0=0, then let τn[low *] =∞ and ξn[low *] =0; if x~⋁0>0, then every n≥2, [figure omitted; refer to PDF] where X[low *] is the solution to the stochastic differential equation. [figure omitted; refer to PDF] is the QVI control associated with the functions v1 defined by (60) and v2 defined by (62). This control is optimal and the functions v1 (x) and v2 (x) coincide with the value function.
Proof.
In Section 5.1, for any functions v1 defined by (60) and v2 defined by (62), we can see that v1 (x) and v2 (x) satisfy all conditions of Theorem 5. From Definition 3 and the discussion in Sections 3 and 4, we show that the control π[low *] defined in (63)-(65) is the control associated with v1 and v2 . In addition, the control π[low *] is admissible from Definition 1. So, by Theorem 18, the claim that v1 (x) and v2 (x) are the value functions and π[low *] is the optimal policy is proved.
6. Conclusion
In this paper, we consider the dividend optimization problem that some fixed money would be returned to shareholders at the state of terminal bankruptcy. For this problem, the optimal timing and the optimal amount of dividends paid out to the shareholders and the resulting firm values are provided. Moreover, we identify some conditions that there would be a terminal bankruptcy under the optimal policy. A challenge in this paper is that the structure of the candidate solution is not explicit since the existing interval of it has unfixed endpoints, which depends on some unknown parameters. We overcome this difficulty by using the integral, I(C), and dividing it into several cases. The importance of this paper is that it generalizes the terminal bankruptcy model and provides several new kinds of optimal dividend strategies, especially at the state of bankruptcy.
In the future, we can address some problems with general drift and diffusion terms under the assumption that shareholders can get some fixed money when there is terminal bankruptcy. For this kind of problem, sometimes we cannot write out the explicit expression for the solutions. Then we need to use some suitable numerical methods to simulate some nonlinear equations in the quasi-variational inequalities. Moreover, we can compare two optimal policies derived from two choices, investing new money or terminating the business, and, based on the obtained result, the best corporate decision can be determined.
Acknowledgments
The work on this paper was supported by the Funds for "1000 Talents Plan" of Sichuan Province (Fund number listed in Southwestern University of Finance and Economics is 221410001003040002).
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Abstract
In this paper, we consider the optimization problem of dividends for the terminal bankruptcy model, in which some money would be returned to shareholders at the state of terminal bankruptcy, while accounting for the tax rate and transaction cost for dividend payout. Maximization of both expected total discounted dividends before bankruptcy and expected discounted returned money at the state of terminal bankruptcy becomes a mixed classical-impulse stochastic control problem. In order to solve this problem, we reduce it to quasi-variational inequalities with a nonzero boundary condition. We explicitly construct and verify solutions of these inequalities and present the value function together with the optimal policy.
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Neither ProQuest nor its licensors make any representations or warranties with respect to the translations. The translations are automatically generated "AS IS" and "AS AVAILABLE" and are not retained in our systems. PROQUEST AND ITS LICENSORS SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY WARRANTIES FOR AVAILABILITY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, NON-INFRINGMENT, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Your use of the translations is subject to all use restrictions contained in your Electronic Products License Agreement and by using the translation functionality you agree to forgo any and all claims against ProQuest or its licensors for your use of the translation functionality and any output derived there from. Hide full disclaimer