Uncertainties in predicting travel flows: common ground and research needs. A reply to Bigano et al.

Abstract

The results of research on tourism and climate change, such as Bigano et al. (2006), indicates that there is a clear need to address disciplinary barriers not only with respect to problem definition but also in relation to method and understanding. Significant disagreement over the extent and rate of such change and over the extent which data and results from one scale of analysis can be upscaled or down-scaled to others, but several weaknesses exist which are associated with existing models assessing tourist flows under climate change scenarios.