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Abstract

A major complaint of people who use "decision-making" computer programs is that these programs merely provide a final decision, and fail to present the supporting argumentation, in terms the user can understand. This article presents an approach that makes computer programs more "human-like" by basing them on human decision making behavior.

Decision making processes of student financial analysts are captured by asking them to think aloud during their evaluation. These verbal traces, called protocols, are analyzed at various levels of detail, resulting in specific models of the decision making processes involved, the strategies used, and the task-specific (financial) knowledge that is required to perform the task. The models and strategies are translated into executable computer programs. Extensive comparisons between human behavior and model simulation output are provided, assessing the extent that the computer program "thinks" and "talks" like a human decision maker. Although the model clearly suffers from "linguistic rigidity," it does appear to perform the evaluation in a similar manner as the human decision maker examining the same information in the same order, making the same inferences, and reporting the same conclusions.

Details

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Title
HUMAN DIAGNOSTIC REASONING BY COMPUTER: AN ILLUSTRATION FROM FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Publication title
Volume
29
Issue
6
Pages
653
Number of pages
20
Publication year
1983
Publication date
Jun 1983
Publisher
Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
Place of publication
Linthicum
Country of publication
United States
ISSN
00251909
e-ISSN
15265501
CODEN
MNSCDI
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
en; English
Document type
statistics
ProQuest document ID
205839365
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/scholarly-journals/human-diagnostic-reasoning-computer-illustration/docview/205839365/se-2?accountid=208611
Copyright
Copyright Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences Jun 1983
Last updated
2024-11-23
Database
ProQuest One Academic