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© 2018 Liu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background

In the past decades, extremely serious road accidents with a death toll over ten in each have become a severe public health problem in China. This study investigates risk factors contributing to extremely serious road accidents, which will be crucial for accident prevention.

Methods

Collecting data from The Road Accident Statistical Annual Report openly issued by China’s Traffic Management Bureau of the Public Security Ministry for the time period 2004–2015, we used the monthly case number of extreme serious road accidents as the dependent variable. We then selected ten risk factors as primary independent variables: professional driver, driving under influence (alcohol or drug), fatigue, vehicle type, overload, brake problem, weather, road classification, terrain, and region. The method of negative binominal regression was implemented to investigate the association between these risk factors and extremely serious road accidents.

Results

A total of 346 extremely serious road accidents were included in our analysis. On a national scale, we found that professional driver [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.10, 95% CI: 1.02–1.19], fatigue (IRR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.03–1.29), large vehicle type (IRR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.03–1.21), overload (IRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.03–1.16), and terrain (IRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01–1.18) were significantly associated with extremely serious road accidents. Besides, separate analyses on western and non-western region indicated that both regions had shared risk factors as well as distinct factors.

Conclusions

Our study identifies professional driver, fatigue, large vehicle type, overload, and terrain as significant risk factors of extremely serious road accidents in China, and targeted and preventative measures could be taken based on our findings.

Details

Title
Risk factors for extremely serious road accidents: Results from national Road Accident Statistical Annual Report of China
Author
Liu, Guodong; Chen, Siyu; Zeng, Ziqian; Cui, Huijie; Fang, Yanfei; Gu, Dongqing; Yin, Zhiyong; Zhengguo Wang ⨯
First page
e0201587
Section
Research Article
Publication year
2018
Publication date
Aug 2018
Publisher
Public Library of Science
e-ISSN
19326203
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2081561767
Copyright
© 2018 Liu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.