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Abstract

The stochastic volatility model is one of volatility models which infer latent volatility of asset returns. The Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model is performed by the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm which is superior to other Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in sampling volatility variables. We perform the HMC simulations of the SV model for two liquid stock returns traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and measure the volatilities of those stock returns. Then we calculate the accuracy of the volatility measurement using the realized volatility as a proxy of the true volatility and compare the SV model with the GARCH model which is one of other volatility models. Using the accuracy calculated with the realized volatility we find that empirically the SV model performs better than the GARCH model.

Details

1009240
Business indexing term
Title
Empirical Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Model by Hybrid Monte Carlo Algorithm
Publication title
arXiv.org; Ithaca
Publication year
2013
Publication date
May 14, 2013
Section
Physics (Other); Quantitative Finance
Publisher
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
Source
arXiv.org
Place of publication
Ithaca
Country of publication
United States
University/institution
Cornell University Library arXiv.org
e-ISSN
2331-8422
Source type
Working Paper
Language of publication
English
Document type
Working Paper
Publication history
 
 
Online publication date
2014-08-06
Milestone dates
2013-05-14 (Submission v1)
Publication history
 
 
   First posting date
06 Aug 2014
ProQuest document ID
2084909112
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/working-papers/empirical-analysis-stochastic-volatility-model/docview/2084909112/se-2?accountid=208611
Full text outside of ProQuest
Copyright
© 2013. This work is published under http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Last updated
2023-08-22
Database
ProQuest One Academic