Content area

Abstract

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian \(\alpha\)-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the autoregressive model equation and the parameters of the stable noise distribution. The estimators for the autoregressive parameters are \(n^{1/\alpha}\)-consistent and converge in distribution to the maximizer of a random function. The form of this limiting distribution is intractable, but the shape of the distribution for these estimators can be examined using the bootstrap procedure. The bootstrap is asymptotically valid under general conditions. The estimators for the parameters of the stable noise distribution have the traditional \(n^{1/2}\) rate of convergence and are asymptotically normal. The behavior of the estimators for finite samples is studied via simulation, and we use maximum likelihood estimation to fit a noncausal autoregressive model to the natural logarithms of volumes of Wal-Mart stock traded daily on the New York Stock Exchange.

Details

1009240
Title
Maximum likelihood estimation for \(\alpha\)-stable autoregressive processes
Publication title
arXiv.org; Ithaca
Publication year
2009
Publication date
Aug 13, 2009
Section
Mathematics; Statistics
Publisher
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
Source
arXiv.org
Place of publication
Ithaca
Country of publication
United States
University/institution
Cornell University Library arXiv.org
e-ISSN
2331-8422
Source type
Working Paper
Language of publication
English
Document type
Working Paper
Publication history
 
 
Online publication date
2009-08-14
Milestone dates
2009-08-13 (Submission v1)
Publication history
 
 
   First posting date
14 Aug 2009
ProQuest document ID
2087823920
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/working-papers/maximum-likelihood-estimation-alpha-stable/docview/2087823920/se-2?accountid=208611
Full text outside of ProQuest
Copyright
© 2009. This work is published under http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Last updated
2019-04-17
Database
ProQuest One Academic