Content area
Abstract
Research findings on the relationship between climate and conflict are diverse and contested. Here we assess the current understanding of the relationship between climate and conflict, based on the structured judgments of experts from diverse disciplines. These experts agree that climate has affected organized armed conflict within countries. However, other drivers, such as low socioeconomic development and low capabilities of the state, are judged to be substantially more influential, and the mechanisms of climate-conflict linkages remain a key uncertainty. Intensifying climate change is estimated to increase future risks of conflict.
Details
Title
Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict
Author
Mach, Katharine J 1 ; Kraan, Caroline M 2 ; Adger, W Neil 3 ; Buhaug, Halvard 4 ; Burke, Marshall 1 ; Fearon, James D; Field, Christopher B; Hendrix, Cullen S; Maystadt, Jean-Francois; O'Loughlin, John; Roessler, Philip; Scheffran, Jürgen; Schultz, Kenneth A; von Uexkull, Nina
1 Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
2 Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
3 Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
4 Peace Research Institute Oslo, Oslo, Norway
1 Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
2 Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
3 Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
4 Peace Research Institute Oslo, Oslo, Norway
Pages
193-3,197A-197M
Section
ANALYSIS
Publication year
2019
Publication date
Jul 11, 2019
ISSN
00280836
e-ISSN
14764687
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2261000654
Copyright
Copyright Nature Publishing Group Jul 11, 2019