Content area

Abstract

Previous studies have offered a variety of explanations on the relationship between democracy and the internet. However, most of these studies concentrate on regions, specific states or authoritarian regimes. No study has investigated the influence of the internet in partly free countries defined by the Freedom House. Moreover, very little is known about the effects of online censorship on the development, stagnation, or decline of democracy. Drawing upon the International Telecommunication Union, Freedom House, and World Bank databases and using machine learning methods, this study sheds new light on the effects of the internet on democratization in partly free countries. The findings suggest that internet penetration and online censorship both have a negative impact on democracy scores and the internet's effect on democracy scores is conditioned by online censorship. Moreover, results from random forest suggest that online censorship is the most important variable followed by governance index and education on democracy scores. The comparison of the various machine learning models reveals that the best predicting model is the 175-tree random forest model which has 92% accuracy. Also, this study might help "IT professionals" to see their important role not only in the technical fields but also in society in terms of democratization and how close IT is to social sciences.

Details

1009240
Title
Explaining the Relationship between Internet and Democracy in Partly Free Countries Using Machine Learning Models
Publication title
arXiv.org; Ithaca
Publication year
2020
Publication date
Apr 11, 2020
Section
Computer Science
Publisher
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
Source
arXiv.org
Place of publication
Ithaca
Country of publication
United States
University/institution
Cornell University Library arXiv.org
e-ISSN
2331-8422
Source type
Working Paper
Language of publication
English
Document type
Working Paper
Publication history
 
 
Online publication date
2020-04-14
Milestone dates
2020-04-11 (Submission v1)
Publication history
 
 
   First posting date
14 Apr 2020
ProQuest document ID
2389381823
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/working-papers/explaining-relationship-between-internet/docview/2389381823/se-2?accountid=208611
Full text outside of ProQuest
Copyright
© 2020. This work is published under http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Last updated
2020-04-15
Database
ProQuest One Academic