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1. Introduction
Nowadays, diabetes is a chronic disease with a huge burden affecting individuals. According to the World Health Organisation (WHO) [1], diabetes is a disorder characterized by the presence of problems in the insulin hormone, which naturally results from the pancreas to help the body use glucose and fat and store some of them. According to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) [2], diabetes mellitus is a group of metabolic diseases characterized by hyperglycemia resulting from defects in insulin secretion, insulin action, or both. It is known that the proper level of glucose in the blood after fasting eight hours should be less than 108 mg/dl, while the borderline is 126 mg/dl. If a person’s blood glucose level is 126 mg/dL and above, in two or more tests, then that person is diagnosed with diabetes. Diabetes is divided into several different types; some more prevalent than others. The most common type of diabetes in the general population is type 2 diabetes, and type 1 diabetes is more common in children, and gestational diabetes is a form of diabetes that can occur during pregnancy. According to the latest statistics from the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) and as reported in the 9th edition of the Atlas Diabetes 2017 [3], diabetes is a constantly growing disease. There are more than 370 million people with diabetes worldwide (8.5% of the adult population) and about 463 million people in prediabetes (6.5% of the adult population), and more than 625 million are expected to be affected by to 2045.
Today, all countries of the world suffer from the high number of people with diabetes, which is increasing and expanding on the extreme level. When it is not treated well, all types of diabetes can lead to complications in many parts of the body, leading to an early death. When a diabetic knows how to control the level of glucose in the blood, this awareness plays a key role in reducing the serious complications of diabetes. According to IDF statistics, diabetes has serious and varied complications. For example, the risk of cardiovascular disease. Moreover, more than a third of diabetics have retinopathy which is the main cause of vision loss, in addition to the risk of kidney disease. In addition, the complications of diabetes are multiple and different depending on the degree of severity; there are complications that can be treated and others that have reached critical stages with which treatment is not beneficial. According to ADA
During the last decade, large mathematical models on diabetes have been developed to simulate, analyse, and understand the dynamics of a population of diabetics. In a related research work, Boutayeb and Chetouani [4] and Derouich et al. [5] introduced a mathematical model for the dynamics of the population of diabetes. And Kouidere et al. [6] proposed a discrete mathematical model highlighting the impact of living environment. Also, many researches have focused on this topic and other related topics ([7–12]).
As we said earlier, diabetes has many complications, and the nature of these complications are two types: treatable ones and those that have reached a critical stage which is impossible to cure completely.
According to IDF [3], diabetes is influenced by a complex interaction of behavioural, genetic, and socioeconomic factors; many of which are outside our individual control.
To achieve this objective, we considered a compartment model that describes the dynamics of a population of diabetics that is divided into six compartments, i.e., the healthy people
We noticed that most of researchers about diabetes and its complications focused on continuous and discrete time models and described by differential equations. Recently, more and more attention has been paid to study the control optimal (see [13–21] and the references mentioned there).
In this paper, in Section 2, we represent a
2. A Mathematical Model
We consider a mathematical model
2.1. Description of the Model
The graphical representation of the proposed model is shown in Figure 1.
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]The compartment
The compartment
Compartment
Compartment
Compartment
Compartment
Hence, we present the diabetic model by the following system of differential equations:
2.2. Positivity of Solutions
Theorem 1.
If
Proof.
It follows from the first equation of system (7) that
Both sides in the last inequality are multiplied with
We obtain
Integrating this inequality from
Similarly, we prove that
2.2.1. Boundedness of the Solutions
Theorem 2.
The set
Proof.
By adding the equations of system (7), we obtain
where
Thus,
2.2.2. Existence of Solutions
Theorem 3.
The system (7) that satisfies a given initial condition
Proof.
Let
where
The second term on the right-hand side of (15) satisfies
Thus, it follows that the function
3. Formulation of the Model
Our objective in this proposed strategy of control is to minimize the number of people evolving from the stage of prediabetes to the stages of diabetes without complications and to diabetes with treatable complications. In this model, we include four controls
So the controlled mathematical system is given by the following system of differential equations:
The problem is to minimize the objective functional
In other words, we seek the optimal controls
4. The Optimal Control: Existence and Characterization
We first show the existence of solutions of the system (18),thereafter, we will prove the existence of optimal control.
4.1. Existence of an Optimal Control
Theorem 4.
Consider the control problem with system (18). There exists an optimal control
Proof.
The existence of the optimal control can be obtained using a result by Fleming and Rishel [23], checking the following steps:
(i)
It follows that the set of controls and corresponding state variables is not empty. we will use a simplified version of an existence result ([24], Theorem 7.1.1)
(ii)
(iii)
The control space
(iv)
All the right-hand sides of equations of system are continuous, bounded above by a sum of bounded control and state, and can be written as a linear function of
(v)
The integrand in the objective functional,
(vi)
It rests to show that there exist constants
The state variables are being bounded; let
Then, from Fleming and Rishel [23], we conclude that there exists an optimal control.
4.2. Characterization of the Optimal Control
In order to derive the necessary conditions for the optimal control, we apply Pontryagin’s maximum principle to the Hamiltonian
Theorem 5.
Given the optimal controls
With the transversality conditions at time
Furthermore, for
Proof.
The Hamiltonian is defined as follows:
For
For,
We have
By the bounds in
5. Numerical Simulation
In this section, we present the results obtained by solving numerically the optimality system (18). In our control problem, we have initial conditions for the state variables and terminal conditions for the adjoints. That is, the optimality system is a two-point boundary value problem with separated boundary conditions at times step
Different simulations can be carried out using various values of parameters. In the present numerical approach, we use the following parameters values taken from [6].
Since control and state functions are on different scales, the weight constant value is chosen as follows:
After the parameter values (Tables 1 and 2), we noted that diabetics without complications after 120 months decreased from
Table 1
Parameter values used in numerical simulation.
Paramater | Value in mth-1 | Description |
0 : 02 | Natural mortality | |
0 : 001 | Mortality rate due to complications | |
0 : 2 | The probability of developing diabetes | |
0.08 | The probability of a diabetic person developing a complication | |
0.01 | The probability of developing diabetes at stage of complications | |
0 : 4 | The rate of negative impact on diabetics without complications | |
0.06 | Rate of patients become diabetic without complications through lifestyle | |
2000000 | Denote the incidence of healthy people | |
0 : 6 | The rate of negative impact on diabetics with treatable complications | |
0 : 1 | Rate of prediabetic people through genetic factor | |
0 : 2 | Rate of prediabetic people through lifestyle factor | |
0 : 6 | The probability of a diabetic person developing a serious complication | |
0 : 3 | Rate of diabetics whose serious complications are because of a sudden shock |
Table 2
Evolution of number of diabetics without control after 120 days.
Population without control after 120 days | Without control |
Diabetics without complications | |
Diabetics with treatable complications | |
Diabetics with serious complications |
We noted that diabetics with serious complications are increasing and that the number of the transition becomes from
In this formulation, there are initial conditions for the state variables and terminal conditions for the adjoints.
That is, the optimality system is a two-point boundary value problem with separated boundary conditions at time steps
We continue until convergence of successive iterates is achieved.
The proposed control strategy in this work helps to achieve several objectives.
5.1. Strategy A
In this strategy, we applied two controls
The reason of this increase was justified by the fact that the number of diabetics with treatable complications will become diabetics without complications. For improving the effectiveness of this strategy, we added the elements of follow-up and psychological support and education about the negative impact of behavioral factors which are represented in the proposed strategy by the optimal controls variables
Table 3
Evolution of the number of diabetics with two controls
Population without control after 120 days | Without control | With two controls |
Diabetics without complications | ||
Diabetics with treatable complications | 107 |
5.2. Strategy C: Control with Awareness Program,Treatment, and Psychological Support with Follow-Up
We combined three optimal controls
In this strategy, the three optimal controls
In this strategy (Figure 4 and Table 4), we used three controls optimal
Table 4
Evolution of number of diabetics with three controls
Population without control after 120 days | Without control | With three controls |
Diabetics with treatable complications | ||
Diabetics with serious complications | 108 |
5.3. Strategy D: Prevention and Protection
We we use only the optimal control
In this strategy, we focus the effort of the awareness campaign to reduce the negative impact of behavioral factors (Figure 5).
[figure omitted; refer to PDF]In this strategy, we used control
Remark 6.
We could also merge multiple assemblies as
Table 5
Evolution of number of diabetics with control
Population without control after 120 days | Without control | With control |
Diabetics without complications | 106 | |
Prediabetics due to effect of behavioral factors |
6. Conclusion
In this paper, we formulated a mathematical model of populations of diabetics, having six compartments: prediabetics through the genetics effects and others by behavioral factors, diabetics without complications, and diabetics with treatable and serious complications, in order to minimize the number of diabetics with treatable complications, and reduce the effect of behavioral factors. We also introduced four controls which, respectively, represent awareness program through education and media, treatment, and psychological support with follow-up. We applied the results of the control theory, and we managed to obtain the characterizations of the optimal controls. The numerical simulation of the obtained results showed the effectiveness of the proposed control strategies.
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank Dr. Bruno Carpentieri and all the members of the Editorial Board who were responsible for dealing with this paper, and the anonymous referees for their valuable comments and suggestions, improving the content of this paper.
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Abstract
We propose an optimal control strategy by conducting awareness campaigns for diabetics about the severity of complications of diabetes and the negative impact of an unbalanced lifestyle and the surrounding environment, as well as treatment and psychological follow-up. Pontryagin’s maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal controls, and the optimality system is solved by an iterative method. Finally, some numerical simulations are performed to verify the theoretical analysis using MATLAB.
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Neither ProQuest nor its licensors make any representations or warranties with respect to the translations. The translations are automatically generated "AS IS" and "AS AVAILABLE" and are not retained in our systems. PROQUEST AND ITS LICENSORS SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY WARRANTIES FOR AVAILABILITY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, NON-INFRINGMENT, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Your use of the translations is subject to all use restrictions contained in your Electronic Products License Agreement and by using the translation functionality you agree to forgo any and all claims against ProQuest or its licensors for your use of the translation functionality and any output derived there from. Hide full disclaimer
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1 Laboratory of Analysis Modeling and Simulation, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Sciences Ben M’Sik, Hassan II University, Sidi Othman, Casablanca, Morocco
2 Laboratory of Dynamical Systems, Mathematical Engineering Team (INMA), Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences El Jadida, Chouaib Doukkali University, El Jadida, Morocco