Introduction
The monitoring and prediction of climate change relies on accurately modelling
the long-lived greenhouse gases using Earth system models (ESMs)
Both atmospheric and are characterised by a trend
associated with an annual growth rate, a seasonal cycle and an
inter-hemispheric gradient, which is consistent with the temporal and spatial
distribution of their sources and sinks, tropopause height and atmospheric
transport . In ESMs and CTMs the
transport is modelled using advection, convection and turbulent mixing
schemes based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods. The
semi-Lagrangian (SL) advection scheme is widely used in NWP (e.g. the ECMWF
IFS model, Environment Canada GEM model; ) and ESMs
implemented and tested several of these global mass fixers on the humidity, cloud fields and ozone in the IFS. Both and have different characteristics and requirements than shorter-lived reactive gases and humidity. Because of their long life, they are generally well-mixed with smooth gradients, and large background values relative to their gradients. Their large-scale spatial variability is characterised by a relatively weak inter-hemispheric gradient (of the order of 100 ppb or 5 % for and 10 ppm or 2.5 % for ). Nevertheless, it constitutes a crucial feature to represent in the models because it reflects the spatial distribution of the surface sources and/or sinks . Considering these properties and the computational cost, flexibility and efficiency, the fixer is deemed to be the most suited among the available schemes in the IFS for the modelling requirements of the long-lived greenhouse gases. This is consistent with the recent tests performed with the Environment Canada Semi-Lagrangian Model by and .
This paper presents a comparison of a customised mass fixer and the proportional mass fixer, which was operational until recently in the CAMS and forecasting and analysis system , and it is also widely used in Earth system climate models . The impact of the two mass fixers on the preservation of the and inter-hemispheric gradient is a crucial benchmark for testing their suitability in any and forecasting and analysis system. Furthermore, this study can provide valuable feedback to the Earth system climate models using the simple global proportional mass fixer. The impact of resolution on the mass conservation and performance of the mass fixers can help guide the choice of mass fixer in future climate simulations.
The structure the paper is as follows: in Sect. the mass fixers are described; the experiments performed to test the impact of the mass fixers are presented in Sect. ; the observations are documented in Sect. ; the results from the experiments and their evaluation using observations are provided in Sect. ; a summary of the main findings is given in Sect. .
Global tracer mass fixers
The two tracer mass fixers selected in this study are described in this section. The algorithms of these fixers are described in detail by as part of a set available in the ECMWF IFS model. Thus, their notation is used henceforth. A few minor modifications have been necessary in order to fine-tune these algorithms for simulating the transport of long-lived greenhouse gases. For example, it was found that, given that a mass mixing ratio formulation is used, a small mass conservation error in the total atmospheric mass after advection can lead to a systematic accumulation of the tracer mass conservation error with time. This stems from the fact that the global mass of a tracer is computed using surface pressure (see Eq. 1 below), that the mass conservation error always has the same sign, and finally that there are no atmospheric processes (e.g. strong chemical sources and/or sinks) that can counter the effect of the systematic error accumulation. It was therefore necessary to apply the mass fixer on surface pressure as well, as explained in the paragraphs below.
The IFS is a hydrostatic model using a pressure-based coordinate system which implies that the surface pressure field is required to compute the total tracer mass. For example, the mass of a tracer with mass mixing ratio , where , the tracer and air-density respectively, is given by where is the atmospheric pressure field, is the horizontal surface area of box , is the vertical model level and the gravitational constant. Each model level consists of grid points and there are vertical levels.
Experiments with IFS at different resolutions showed that it is important that after the advection step and before the mass of the tracer is corrected, the pressure field needs to be corrected in order to ensure that the total mass of air is globally conserved in the tracer mass computation. We did not find large differences in the method of correction applied here, and this can be done either by the proportional algorithm (described below) or by the McGregor scheme described also in . The latter was chosen as it gives realistic corrections of surface pressure in regions with cyclonic activity or regions with orography and additionally has very low computational cost. For a model using a height-based vertical coordinate system and density as the prognostic variable, the correction should be applied on density. In the following sections, the pressure after the SL advection is always corrected to have the same global value as before advection by using the proportional fixer presented below.
List of simulations at different resolutions and with different mass fixers performed from 1 March 2013 to 30 April 2014.
Experiment description | Model grid resolution | Advection time step (s) |
---|---|---|
High resolution without fixer | TL1279, L137 | 600 |
High resolution with proportional fixer | TL1279, L137 | 600 |
High resolution with Bermejo–Conde fixer | TL1279, L137 | 600 |
Low resolution without fixer | TL255, L60 | 2700 |
Low resolution with proportional fixer | TL255, L60 | 2700 |
Low resolution with Bermejo–Conde fixer | TL255, L60 | 2700 |
List of the TCCON stations used in this study and ordered by latitude from north to south.
Site | Lat | Long | Reference |
---|---|---|---|
Eureka | 80.05 | 86.42 | |
Sodankylä | 67.37 | 26.63 | |
Karlsruhe | 49.10 | 8.44 | |
Garmisch | 47.48 | 11.06 | |
Park Falls | 45.94 | 90.27 | |
Rikubetsu | 43.46 | 143.77 | |
Lamont | 36.60 | 97.49 | |
Izaña | 28.30 | 16.48 | |
Ascension Island | 7.92 | 14.33 | |
Darwin | 12.43 | 130.89 | |
Wollongong | 34.41 | 150.88 | |
Lauder 125HR | 45.05 | 169.68 |
Global proportional mass fixer
The proportional mass fixer only requires the computation of the total tracer mass before and after the SL advection step. The mixing ratio of every single grid point is then multiplied by the same scaling factor, i.e. where and are the tracer mixing ratio and the pressure field before and after the SL advection step respectively. Long-lived tracers also require the correction of the pressure field to ensure global mass conservation of air before computing the scaling factor , as already discussed at the beginning of Sect. . The advantages of this fixer is that it is computationally cheap, it is easy to implement, it preserves positive definiteness, and for tracers such as and it produces very small increments. The disadvantage is that the mass of every grid point is adjusted by the same factor implying that regions with large transport and mass conservation error are corrected by an equal proportion with regions where these errors are small; therefore, the solution deteriorates there. This scheme is used by the ACCESS and HadGEM-2 Earth system climate models.
Bermejo–Conde mass fixer
A 3-D version of the mass fixer has been implemented in the IFS that provides an effective alternative to the proportional global mass fixer for the simulation of long-lived greenhouse gases. This scheme preserves the monotonicity of an advected field (provided the original field is also monotone) and overall the increments it computes are small. A weighted approach is used where a different weighting factor is applied when correcting the mass mixing ratios of different grid points. For grid points in regions where the field is smooth the weights are very small and the correction is negligible. However, for grid points in regions with large gradients the weight and therefore the computed increments are larger. This is the major advantage of this method, which is well suited for simulating the transport of long-lived gases such as and . These species are spread everywhere on the globe, being fairly uniform in some geographical regions (e.g. Antarctica), while they have considerable gradients in other regions (e.g. Africa, South America). Furthermore, the mass conserving field the scheme computes has minimum distance from the original advected non-conserving field as it is the solution to a minimisation problem which ensures that the increments are overall small.
Using the notation of the previous section and ignoring for simplicity the subscript , the correction the Bermejo–Conde scheme introduces to the grid-point mixing ratio in IFS can be written as where is the small global mass error. In this case, we have chosen which depends on the difference between the cubic interpolated field and the linear one as described in . It was argued there that an appropriate setting for the parameter would be . This conclusion was based on testing done with moist and fast chemically active tracers which differ considerably from long-lived tracers. Repeating these tests on and , we found that using is working more effectively. That is, the weights become even smaller in smooth regions and larger in regions with mass gradients. As this is an even number, sgn needs to be considered in Eq. () to allow preservation of monotonicity and positive definiteness. Moreover, to avoid erroneously large corrections in the stratosphere, the weight is scaled by a factor of that reflects the density variation from the surface to the top of the atmosphere. Since IFS uses a pressure-based vertical coordinate, a good option is the ratio of the pressure at grid point () to the surface pressure below this grid point ().
Experiments
Several and simulations using the IFS have been
performed to test the influence of the global tracer mass fixers on their
inter-hemispheric gradient. The global proportional fixer has been used for
the low-resolution simulations and shown to provide satisfactory results in
terms of gradients in the simulation
and in the Transcom model
intercomparison studies . However,
it is not clear whether this is still the case for the high-resolution
simulations. For this reason, the global proportional fixer is compared with
the fixer using two different resolutions. One is a low
resolution corresponding to approximately 80 km in the horizontal with
60 model levels, i.e. the same as the one used by the ECMWF ERA-Interim
re-analysis and similar to that used in climate simulations
Instantaneous global mean mass conservation error for (ppm) and (ppb) from 1 to 31 March 2013. Low- and high-resolution experiments are depicted by red and blue lines respectively.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
The simulations are performed using the cyclic forecast configuration with the IFS NWP model. This means that the meteorology is re-initialised at 00:00 UTC using the operational ECMWF NWP analysis, but the and tracers are allowed to evolve freely, i.e. without any constraint from observations. The transport in the IFS is based on the semi-Lagrangian advection scheme described in the previous section, as well as a turbulent mixing scheme and a convection scheme .
The fluxes and chemical sink in the simulations are based on
prescribed climatologies and inventories as used by the operational CAMS
analysis and forecast
The and simulations have been performed from 1 March 2013 to 30 April 2014. The aim is to test the annual accumulation of the error associated with mass conservation and the impact of the implemented mass fixer. In order to focus on the accumulated impact, instead of the mean impact, the evaluation of the simulations is done for the last month, and not the whole period. The last month from 7 March to 10 April was used to compare with the observations from the Polarstern cruise providing a north–south transect across the Atlantic of total column-averaged and , together with observations from the Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) . A description of the observations used to assess the experiments is given in the next section.
Cumulative global mean mass conservation error for (ppm) and (ppb) from 1 to 31 March 2013. Low- and high-resolution experiments are depicted by red and blue lines respectively.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Mean (ppm) from 7 March to 10 April 2014 for the high-resolution (left panels) and low-resolution (right panels) simulations. The effect of the different mass fixers is shown in the different rows. Details of the simulations can be found in Table . The pink and black triangles mark the location of the reference observations from TCCON and Polarstern cruise respectively. See Table for a list of the TCCON site coordinates.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Observations
The ship-based Polarstern dataset provides an excellent opportunity to assess the inter-hemispheric gradient, as it samples mainly oceanic well-mixed background air. The research vessel Polarstern took off from Cape Town (34 S, 18 E), South Africa, on 5 March 2014, and entered port at Bremerhaven (54 N, 19 E), Germany, on 14 April 2014. During the cruise, an EM27/SUN near-infrared spectrometer was deployed onboard Polarstern. It collected direct-sun absorption spectra allowing the retrieval of and with high precision and accuracy as detailed for the Polarstern campaign by . Post-campaign deployment of the EM27/SUN side by side the TCCON spectrometer at Karlsruhe, Germany, allowed the calibration of and to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) standard. estimated the precision of the retrieved mole fractions to be to better than 0.2 and 0.7 for and , respectively. This remote sensing technique samples the entire total column abundance and it is less dependent on localised sources in comparison to in situ measurements.
All observations from 40 S to 40 N across the eastern Atlantic Ocean were used. Information on the prior and averaging kernel was also used in order to be able to compare the observations with the model following .
While Polarstern data provide a clear sampling of the meridional profile of
background air representative of the large-scale inter-hemispheric gradient,
they are not part of an operational network. For this reason, the evaluation of
the inter-hemispheric gradient is corroborated using the TCCON observations.
Observations from the TCCON are regularly used
as a reference of total column and to calibrate and
evaluate and products by the satellite community
Mean (ppb) from 7 March to 10 April 2014 for the high-resolution (left panels) and low-resolution (right panels) simulations. The effect of the different mass fixers is shown in the different rows. Details of the simulations can be found in Table . The pink and black triangles mark the location of the reference observations from TCCON and Polarstern cruise respectively. See Table for a list of the TCCON site coordinates.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Difference in mean (ppm) between (a, b) the simulations using the proportional mass fixer and the simulation without mass fixer at high and low resolution respectively; (c, d) the simulation with Bermejo–Conde and the simulation without mass fixer at high and low resolutions respectively. The period covered and the marking of the observation sites are the same as in Fig. . See Table for a list of the TCCON site coordinates.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Difference in mean (ppb) between (a, b) the simulations using the proportional mass fixer and the simulation without mass fixer at high and low resolution respectively; (c, d) the simulation with Bermejo–Conde and the simulation without mass fixer at high and low resolutions respectively. The period covered and the marking of the observation sites are the same as in Fig. . See Table for a list of the TCCON site coordinates.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Results
The impact of the mass fixers is assessed with global budget diagnostics (Sect. ), monthly mean total column maps (Sect. ) and comparisons with observations of the inter-hemispheric gradient (Sect. ).
For the global mass diagnostics, the mass of the and tracers is computed using Eq. (). In the results that follow, the global error in tracer mass conservation during the advection to be corrected is computed as molar fraction in part per million following
where is the pressure field after advection, which has been corrected with a mass fixer to conserve global atmospheric mass (i.e. ).
Global mass conservation error
The instantaneous global mean mass conservation error per time step computed for the low- and high-resolution simulations using Eq. () is mostly positive (Fig. ). The value oscillates around 1. ppm for and around 2. ppb for in the low-resolution simulation. The error in the high-resolution simulation is only slightly lower for (0. ppm) and much lower for (0. ppb) than in the low-resolution simulation. The oscillations around the mean value are also smaller.
(a) Map showing the daily mean sampling location of Polarstern cruise. (b, c) Comparisons of latitudinal distribution of and as derived from monthly mean (7 March to 10 April) Polarstern observations (black) and simulations using different mass fixers at different resolutions: red and orange lines denote without mass fixer at low and high resolutions respectively; blue and cyan lines with the proportional mass fixer at low and high resolutions respectively; and green and light green with the Bermejo–Conde fixer and low and high resolutions respectively. See Table for a more detailed description of the experiments.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Comparisons of latitudinal distribution of (a) and (b) as derived from monthly mean (7 March to 10 April) TCCON sites (black, see Table ) and simulations using different mass fixers at different resolutions: red and orange without mass fixer at low and high resolutions respectively; blue and cyan with the proportional mass fixer at low and high resolutions respectively; and green and light green with the Bermejo–Conde fixer and low and high resolutions respectively. See Table for a more detailed description of the experiments.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Although the instantaneous global mass conservation error per time step is
small relative to the mean value of and (400 ppm and
1800 ppb respectively), the error is accumulated during the simulation. If
the simulation is not re-initialised but cycled from one day to the next as
in cyclic forecasts or climate runs, then
this error will grow with time as shown in Fig. . The
error growth rate is faster in the high resolution than in the low-resolution
simulation by a factor of 3.2 for and 1.1 for ,
despite the smaller instantaneous errors in the high-resolution simulation.
This is because the time step is a factor of 4.5 smaller than in the low-resolution simulation. Therefore, the advection scheme
is called more frequently, leading to a faster error accumulation.
After 1 month, the conservation error reaches the value of 0.37 ppm for
and 2.79 ppb for in the high-resolution simulation.
This is equivalent to an annual growth of 4.4 ppm year and
33.0 ppb year for and respectively. These
error values are larger than the current observed growth of
Impact of mass fixers on total column and spatial distribution
The maps of mean and from 7 March to 10 April 2014 during the period of the Polarstern cruise (Figs. and ) highlight the dominant inter-hemispheric gradient. After approximately 1 year of simulation without the mass fixer, the mean values of and are much higher everywhere, but particularly in the source regions in the Northern Hemisphere (e.g. over Southeast Asia). The high-resolution simulation in Figs. a and a displays an enhanced increase with respect to the low-resolution simulation (Figs. b and b). For example, in Southeast Asia the enhancement is around 4 ppm and the enhancement is around 40 ppb.
inter-hemispheric gradient (IHG) error (MODEL OBS) statistics for simulations with different resolution and different mass fixers with respect to observations from the Polarstern cruise.
Data | IHG | IHG error | Overall bias | Inter-station bias |
---|---|---|---|---|
(ppm) | (ppm) | (ppm) (%) | (ppm) (%) | |
OBS | 4.29 | |||
Low resolution without fixer | 7.81 | 3.52 | 2.70 (0.68) | 1.54 (0.39) |
Low resolution with proportional fixer | 7.70 | 3.42 | 0.82 (0.21) | 1.50 (0.38) |
Low resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 7.11 | 2.82 | 0.62 (0.16) | 1.30 (0.33) |
High resolution without fixer | 10.54 | 6.25 | 7.86 (1.98) | 2.54 (0.64) |
High resolution with proportional fixer | 10.17 | 5.89 | 1.36 (0.34) | 2.40 (0.60) |
High resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 7.97 | 3.69 | 0.69 (0.17) | 1.61 (0.40) |
Spread of low-resolution simulations | 0.70 | 0.70 | 2.01 (0.51) | 0.24 (0.06) |
Spread of high-resolution simulations | 2.57 | 2.56 | 7.17 (1.81) | 0.93 (0.24) |
Spread of low-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.20 (0.04) | 0.20 (0.05) |
Spread of high-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.67 (0.17) | 0.79 (0.20) |
inter-hemispheric gradient (IHG) error (MODEL OBS) statistics for simulations with different resolution and different mass fixers with respect to observations from TCCON.
Data | IHG | IHG error | Overall bias | Inter-station bias |
---|---|---|---|---|
(ppm) | (ppm) | (ppm) (%) | (ppm) (%) | |
OBS | 5.76 | |||
Low resolution without fixer | 7.48 | 1.71 | 2.71 (0.68) | 1.21 (0.30) |
Low resolution with proportional fixer | 7.45 | 1.68 | 0.83 (0.21) | 1.20 (0.30) |
Low resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 6.93 | 1.16 | 0.69 (0.17) | 1.02 (0.26) |
High resolution without fixer | 10.14 | 4.38 | 7.94 (1.99) | 2.16 (0.54) |
High resolution with proportional fixer | 10.04 | 4.28 | 1.44 (0.36) | 2.13 (0.54) |
High resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 8.10 | 2.34 | 0.88 (0.22) | 1.45 (0.37) |
Spread of low-resolution simulations | 0.55 | 0.55 | 2.02 (0.51) | 0.19 (0.05) |
Spread of high-resolution simulations | 2.04 | 2.04 | 7.06 (1.77) | 0.71 (0.17) |
Spread of low-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.14 (0.04) | 0.18 (0.05) |
Spread of high-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 1.94 | 1.94 | 0.56 (0.14) | 0.68 (0.17) |
inter-hemispheric gradient (IHG) error (MODEL OBS) statistics for simulations with different resolution and different mass fixers with respect to observations from the Polarstern cruise.
Data | IHG | IHG error | Overall bias | Inter-station bias |
---|---|---|---|---|
(ppb) | (ppb) | (ppb) (%) | (ppb) (%) | |
OBS | 53.81 | |||
Low resolution without fixer | 73.42 | 19.61 | 41.09 (2.28) | 9.88 (0.55) |
Low resolution with proportional fixer | 70.65 | 16.84 | 1.74 (0.10) | 8.91 (0.50) |
Low resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 54.29 | 0.48 | 6.58 (0.37) | 4.84 (0.27) |
High resolution without fixer | 92.00 | 38.19 | 55.83 (3.10) | 16.84 (0.94) |
High resolution with proportional fixer | 88.19 | 34.38 | 6.05 (0.34) | 15.36 (0.85) |
High resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 55.71 | 1.90 | 1.82 (0.10) | 4.64 (0.26) |
Spread of low-resolution simulations | 19.13 | 19.13 | 39.35 (2.18) | 5.05 (0.28) |
Spread of high-resolution simulations | 36.29 | 36.29 | 54.01 (3.00) | 12.20 (0.68) |
Spread of low-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 16.36 | 16.36 | 2.01 (0.11) | 4.07 (0.23) |
Spread of high-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 33.90 | 32.48 | 4.23 (0.24) | 10.72 (0.59) |
inter-hemispheric gradient (IHG) error (MODEL OBS) statistics for simulations with different resolution and different mass fixers with respect to observations from TCCON.
Data | IHG | IHG error | Overall bias | Inter-station bias |
---|---|---|---|---|
(ppb) | (ppb) | (ppb) (%) | (ppb) (%) | |
OBS | 52.64 | |||
Low resolution without fixer | 77.54 | 24.90 | 52.28 (2.92) | 14.17 (0.79) |
Low resolution with proportional fixer | 76.06 | 23.42 | 14.77 (0.83) | 13.76 (0.77) |
Low resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 60.96 | 8.32 | 11.47 (0.64) | 9.02 (0.50) |
High resolution without fixer | 91.62 | 38.98 | 66.68 (3.72) | 18.76 (1.05) |
High resolution with proportional fixer | 89.64 | 37.00 | 16.70 (0.93) | 18.16 (1.01) |
High resolution with Bermejo–Conde | 59.78 | 7.14 | 9.90 (0.55) | 7.62 (0.43) |
Spread of low-resolution simulations | 16.58 | 16.58 | 40.81 (2.28) | 5.15 (0.29) |
Spread of high-resolution simulations | 31.84 | 31.84 | 56.78 (3.17) | 11.14 (0.62) |
Spread of low-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 15.10 | 15.10 | 3.30 (1.19) | 4.74 (0.27) |
Spread of high-resolution Bermejo–Conde and proportional | 29.86 | 29.86 | 6.80 (0.38) | 10.54 (0.58) |
Error (%) of modelled latitudinal monthly mean (7 March to 10 April) distribution computed as (MODEL OBS)/OBS using different tracer mass fixers and different resolutions for (a–c) and (d–f) with respect to the observed distribution from Polarstern. Dark and light colours correspond to the simulations at low and high resolution respectively.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Error (%) of modelled latitudinal monthly mean (7 March to 10 April) distribution computed as (MODEL OBS)/OBS using different tracer mass fixers and different resolutions for (a–c) and (d–f) with respect to the observed distribution from TCCON. Dark and light colours correspond to the simulations at low and high resolution respectively.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Schematic illustrating the impact of the (a) proportional and (b) Bermejo–Conde mass fixers on the inter-hemispheric gradient of and . Note that the area between the dash line and thin solid line depicting the global correction of tracer mass should be the same for the two mass fixers.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Both proportional and Bermejo–Conde mass fixers reduce the mean and values everywhere, as intended. However, the proportional mass fixer leads to slightly different spatial distribution for the high- and low-resolution simulations (Figs. c, d and c, d), whereas the two spatial distributions obtained by using Bermejo–Conde remain closer to one another for the two different resolutions (Figs. e, f and e, f). Some differences in the regions of sources and sinks are expected since the surface fluxes are also affected by the resolution change. For example, emission hotspots can be distributed over a smaller area and become more intense. However, this is not the case over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, where surface fluxes are very weak. The impact of the resolution south of 40 S is indeed striking, particularly for the proportional mass fixer (Figs. c, d and c, d). Over that region the mean and are 2 to 4 ppm and 20 to 40 ppb lower in the proportional mass fixer simulation at high resolution than all other simulations. This large-scale mean negative difference cannot be explained by differences in fluxes or transport. Thus, it has to be linked to the mass conservation error and the effect of the proportional mass fixer, enhanced by the action of the mass fixer at high resolution (see Sect. ).
The effect of the mass fixers can be seen more clearly in Figs. and by computing the difference between the fields resulting from the different mass fixers with the fields from the simulation without any mass fixer. The proportional mass fixer removes mass quite uniformly for both the high- and low-resolution simulations, albeit with higher magnitude for the high-resolution case (Figs. a, b and a, b). For example, the decrease in is around 2 ppm in the low-resolution simulation, and around 10 ppm in the high-resolution simulation. The decrease is not as uniform as in , being larger in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes by approximately 10 ppb at high resolution. On the other hand, the Bermejo–Conde mass fixer removes even more mass in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere, particulary at high resolution (see Figs. c, d and c, d). This is a desirable effect, since the conservation error is expected to be larger closer to the sources and/or sinks in the Northern Hemisphere.
Evaluation of inter-hemispheric gradient with observations
Comparing the simulations to the observed north–south transect in March–April 2014 we see that all the model simulations can represent the sign of the and gradient with larger values in the Northern Hemisphere and lower in the Southern Hemisphere (see Figs. and ).
The errors with respect to both TCCON and Polarstern-observed gradients are shown in Figs. and . The gradient of both and is steepest at high resolution without the mass fixer, compared to the lower-resolution simulation and also to other simulations with the mass fixer. This corroborates the detrimental enhancement of and – particularly in the Northern Hemisphere – associated with the accumulation of mass conservation errors. The proportional mass fixer also results in a gradient which is too steep, particularly at high resolution (see light blue line in Figs. and ). The simulation with the Bermejo–Conde fixer has the gradient closest to the observed profiles. It also presents the best consistency (i.e. smallest difference) between high- and low-resolution simulations.
The inter-hemispheric gradient can be quantified as the difference between the tracer in the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere. Here we take between 20 and 50 N and between 20 and 40 S for the two hemispheres due to the availability of observations. For the observed difference is 4.29 and 5.76 ppm using the Polarstern and the TCCON datasets respectively. For the gradient is 53.81 and 52.64 ppb for the same datasets respectively. The gradient for the different experiments is shown in Tables to . All the low-resolution simulations have a similar gradient of of approximately 7 ppm with a range of 0.7 ppm (Polarstern) and 0.6 ppm (TCCON). That is, the range of inter-hemispheric gradients at the low resolution is around 10 % of its value, whereas the high-resolution simulations have a larger range of 2 ppm corresponding to a 30 % spread. This highlights the distorting effect of the mass conservation error on the inter-hemispheric gradient. For the effect is similar, albeit even more pronounced than for in the low-resolution simulations, where the range of the inter-hemispheric gradient values is around 18 ppb (i.e. 34 % of its value). At high resolution the range is around 34 ppb (i.e. 63 %).
When looking at the impact of each fixer, we see that the simulation with the proportional mass fixer has the same error in inter-hemispheric gradient as the simulation without mass fixer (i.e. 4.3 to 5.9 ppm at high resolution and 1.6 to 3.4 ppm at low resolution, comprising 75 to 140 % of the error at high resolution and 32 to 79 % at low resolution). It is clear that the error grows with high resolution. This goes against all expectations as the objective of high-resolution simulations is to achieve a better accuracy. On the other hand, the Bermejo–Conde fixer is able to keep a closer gradient between the low- and high-resolution simulations (within 1 ppm and 2 ppb for and ). The resulting error with respect to both Polarstern and TCCON is nearly half the inter-hemispheric error of the proportional mass fixer.
These results are consistent with the station-to-station bias, which is computed as the standard deviation of the biases from the individual stations or cruise observations. The results are very similar when either there is no mass fixer or the proportional fixer mass is used. For the inter-station bias is 2 and 1.2 ppm at high and low resolutions respectively. However, for the inter-station bias ranges from 14 to 19 ppb and from 9 to 14 ppb at high and low resolutions respectively. The Bermejo–Conde is again showing an improvement with similar values for the high- and low-resolution simulations of around 1.4 ppm for and around 4.8 ppb for . These values are in line with the variability of the bias in space and time obtained from satellite retrievals of GOSAT .
The effect of both proportional and Bermejo–Conde mass fixers on the bias with respect to observations is similar. They both manage to reduce the bias from around 2 % to less than 0.4 % for and from around 4 % to less than 1 % for . It is worth noting that even for the bias, the Bermejo–Conde is able to have a reduction of the bias error of at least 0.1 % with respect to the proportional mass fixer, leading to an overall bias of 0.2 % ( 0.7 ppm).
It is also remarkable that the resulting errors associated with the inter-hemispheric gradient are the same when using TCCON and Polarstern observations, despite being at different sampling sites (i.e. along different longitudes). The uniformity of the results throughout the globe means that the main error source is global. This is consistent with global error source of the mass fixer. Therefore, it strengthens the suggestion that the observations used here are able to detect the effects of the mass fixer more than the other effects associated with localised error sources from local fluxes and/or regional transport.
Conclusions
Atmospheric transport schemes used in models to monitor and/or predict climate change and atmospheric composition are required to conserve the global mass of atmospheric tracers. Thus, the use of numerical methods that do not inherently conserve mass, such as the widely used semi-Lagrangian advection scheme, entail the application of mass fixers to ensure the preservation of the global mass. This is particularly important for long-lived greenhouse gases for which the interesting signals to monitor (e.g. annual growth rates and large-scale spatial gradients) are weak compared to their background values. This paper explores the impact of two global mass fixers on the inter-hemispheric gradient of total column-averaged and using observations from the Polarstern cruise and the TCCON. The widely used proportional fixer is compared to the Bermejo–Conde fixer, presenting a feasible alternative in the context of operational atmospheric transport models.
Two different resolutions are also compared, the first one is a typical climate resolution of 80 km and 60 model levels and the second one is the current resolution used in NWP at 16 km in the horizontal and 137 model levels. Results clearly show that errors accumulate much faster for the high-resolution simulations and after 1 year the mass conservation error exceeds by far the observed annual growth rate of and . The mass conservation errors of and grow faster in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere, causing a steepening of the inter-hemispheric gradient. The proportional mass fixer applies a uniform correction globally because it only depends on the background value which is uniformly high. Thus, the proportional fixer is efficient at removing the global bias, but it cannot correct for the steepening of the inter-hemispheric gradient. This is detected as an artificial reduction of and in the Southern Hemisphere and a resulting excess in the Northern Hemisphere when comparing with observations as depicted in Fig. . On the other hand, the alternative Bermejo–Conde fixer enhances the mass correction in the regions where gradients are steeper. and gradients are steeper where their surface fluxes are stronger, i.e. in the Northern Hemisphere. The Bermejo–Conde mass fixer correction is therefore latitudinally dependent and it is able to correct the inter-hemispheric gradient, bringing the low- and high-resolution simulations closer to each other and closer to the observations.
In summary, the tests performed using the IFS show that although the proportional mass fixer is suitable at low resolutions currently used in NWP re-analysis and climate simulations, it is not suitable for NWP resolutions at 16 km and 137 vertical levels. An alternative global mass fixer based on Bermejo–Conde has been shown to work reasonably well when compared to observations at both low and high resolutions without too much additional complexity or cost.
Code and data availability
This particular study has been based on the IFS model cycle 41R2.
The C-IFS source code is integrated into ECWMF's
IFS code, which is only available subject to a licence
agreement with ECMWF. ECMWF member-state weather
services and their approved partners will get access
granted. The IFS code without modules for assimilation
and chemistry can be obtained for educational and academic
purposes as part of the openIFS release (
Acknowledgements
This study has been funded by the European Commission under Monitoring of Atmospheric Composition and Climate project and the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service.
F. Klappenbach and A. Butz acknowledge support by Frank Hase, KIT, for instrument development and data reduction, by the Emmy Noether Programme of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) through grant BU2599/1-1 (RemoteC), and by Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, for operating RV Polarstern and granting access to its infrastructures.
TCCON data were obtained from the TCCON Data Archive, hosted by the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) – tccon.onrl.gov. The authors would like to acknowledge the PIs of the different TCCON stations used in this study: Kimberly Strong (Eureka, Canada) Rigel Kivi (Sodankylä, Finland), Frank Hase (Karlsruhe, Germany), Ralf Sussmann (Garmisch, Germany), Paul Wennberg (Park Falls, Lamont, USA), Matthias Schneider (Izaña, Spain), Dietrich Feist (Ascension Island), David Griffith (Darwin, Wollongong, Australia), Dave Pollard and Vanessa Sherlock (Lauder, New Zealand). The operation at the Rikubetsu TCCON site is supported in part by the budget from the GOSAT data validation project funded by the Ministry of Environment, Japan.
The authors are grateful to Sebastien Massart and Johannes Flemming for useful discussions and comments during the completion of this work. Edited by: S. Remy Reviewed by: two anonymous referees
You have requested "on-the-fly" machine translation of selected content from our databases. This functionality is provided solely for your convenience and is in no way intended to replace human translation. Show full disclaimer
Neither ProQuest nor its licensors make any representations or warranties with respect to the translations. The translations are automatically generated "AS IS" and "AS AVAILABLE" and are not retained in our systems. PROQUEST AND ITS LICENSORS SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY WARRANTIES FOR AVAILABILITY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, NON-INFRINGMENT, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Your use of the translations is subject to all use restrictions contained in your Electronic Products License Agreement and by using the translation functionality you agree to forgo any and all claims against ProQuest or its licensors for your use of the translation functionality and any output derived there from. Hide full disclaimer
© 2017. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Abstract
It is a widely established fact that standard semi-Lagrangian advection schemes are highly efficient numerical techniques for simulating the transport of atmospheric tracers. However, as they are not formally mass conserving, it is essential to use some method for restoring mass conservation in long time range forecasts. A common approach is to use global mass fixers. This is the case of the semi-Lagrangian advection scheme in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) model used by the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).
Mass fixers are algorithms with substantial differences in complexity and sophistication but in general of low computational cost. This paper shows the positive impact mass fixers have on the inter-hemispheric gradient of total atmospheric column-averaged
You have requested "on-the-fly" machine translation of selected content from our databases. This functionality is provided solely for your convenience and is in no way intended to replace human translation. Show full disclaimer
Neither ProQuest nor its licensors make any representations or warranties with respect to the translations. The translations are automatically generated "AS IS" and "AS AVAILABLE" and are not retained in our systems. PROQUEST AND ITS LICENSORS SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY WARRANTIES FOR AVAILABILITY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, NON-INFRINGMENT, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Your use of the translations is subject to all use restrictions contained in your Electronic Products License Agreement and by using the translation functionality you agree to forgo any and all claims against ProQuest or its licensors for your use of the translation functionality and any output derived there from. Hide full disclaimer