Choques transitorios, efectos permanentes: impacto de la crisis económica en el bienestar de los hogares en América Latina y el Caribe

Abstract

Se busca medir el impacto de la crisis global de 2009 en la pobreza, mortalidad infantil y materna, desnutrición y educación en varios pases de América Latina. Los resultados sugieren que la desaceleración económica tiene impactos adversos en la salud, mortalidad infantil y pobreza. Los resultados en educación son ambiguos. Los resultados confirman la relevancia de establecer programas integrados de protección social que eviten que choques transitorios tengan efectos de largo plazo en el bienestar de los hogares.

Alternate abstract:

This paper aims to measure the impact of the global crisis on social indicators child health, mortality, education and poverty in five Latin American countries. The results suggest that economic downturns have a negative impact on child mortality, child health, and both overall and child poverty. Child poverty increases at higher rates than overall poverty. Results on education indicators are ambiguous. The paper concludes that an integrated social protection policy that protects the income of poor households and that maintains or expands basic health services during economic downturns are of critical importance to prevent transitory shock from having permanent effects on the well-being of households.