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© 2021. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

This study investigated the relationship between extreme precipitation and near‐surface temperature (precipitation–temperature relation) from two different perspectives, the rate of change of precipitation with temperature and dynamic (i.e., effect of the change in atmospheric motion) and thermodynamic (i.e., effect of the change in atmospheric moisture content) aspects, using a 5‐km dynamical downscaled hundreds‐year data set for past climate condition (PAST; from 1951 to 2010) and future climate condition (FUTURE; 4°C warmer than the preindustrial condition). Initially, using the observation and the PAST and FUTURE data sets, it was found that the 99th and 99.9th percentile hourly precipitation for each temperature bin (P99 and P99.9, respectively) paralleled the slope of the Clausius–Clapeyron (C–C) relation for a certain temperature range over the Tokachi River basin in Hokkaido, the northern island of Japan; however, both P99 and P99.9 decreased in the high‐temperature range. Next, we examined the cause of the P99 and P99.9 differences between PAST and FUTURE for each temperature bin by classifying dynamic and thermodynamic factors. The result showed that the thermodynamic effect dominates the differences in P99 and P99.9 between PAST and FUTURE, which means that the thermodynamic effect is the main component of the precipitation–temperature relation. Similar analyses were applied to the whole river basin, including the mountainous area. The results showed that the differences in P99 and P99.9 between PAST and FUTURE are mainly due to the thermodynamic contribution, regardless of plain or mountain area. Using such large model data sets, we could make a robust assessment of the precipitation–temperature relation and the dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to precipitation changes. Moreover, using the 5‐km resolution hundreds‐year data set enabled us to quantify the spatial distribution of such precipitation characteristics over a thousands of square kilometer catchment.

Details

Title
Using a massive high‐resolution ensemble climate data set to examine dynamic and thermodynamic aspects of heavy precipitation change
Author
Yamada, Tomohito J 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Hoshino, Tsuyoshi 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Suzuki, Akihiro 2 

 Faculty of Engineering, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 
 Graduate School of Engineering, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 
Section
RESEARCH ARTICLES
Publication year
2021
Publication date
Dec 2021
Publisher
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
e-ISSN
1530-261X
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2604875987
Copyright
© 2021. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.