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© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Stadium fires can easily cause massive casualties and property damage. The early risk prediction of stadiums will be able to reduce the incidence of fires by making corresponding fire safety management and decision making in an early and targeted manner. In the field of building fires, some studies apply data mining techniques and machine learning algorithms to the collected risk hazard data for fire risk prediction. However, most of these studies use all attributes in the dataset, which may degrade the performance of predictive models due to data redundancy. Furthermore, machine learning algorithms are numerous and applied to fewer stadium fires, and it is crucial to explore models suitable for predicting stadium fire risk. The purpose of this study was to identify salient features to build a model for predicting stadium fire risk predictions. In this study, we designed an index attribute threshold interval to classify and quantify different fire risk data. We then used Gradient Boosting-Recursive Feature Elimination (GB-RFE) and Pearson correlation analysis to perform efficient feature selection on risk feature attributes to find the most informative salient feature subsets. Two cross-validation strategies were employed to address the dataset imbalance problem. Using the smart stadium fire risk data set provided by the Wuhan Emergency Rescue Detachment, the optimal prediction model was obtained based on the identified significant features and six machine learning methods of 12 combination forms, and full features were input as an experimental comparison study. Five performance evaluation metrics were used to evaluate and compare the combined models. Results show that the best performing model had an F1 score of 81.9% and an accuracy of 93.2%. Meanwhile, by introducing a precision-recall curve to explain the actual classification performance of each model, AdaBoost achieves the highest Auprc score (0.78), followed by SVM (0.77), which reveals more stable performance under such imbalanced data.

Details

Title
Dynamic Fire Risk Classification Prediction of Stadiums: Multi-Dimensional Machine Learning Analysis Based on Intelligent Perception
Author
Lu, Ying 1 ; Fan, Xiaopeng 2 ; Zhao, Zhipan 2 ; Jiang, Xuepeng 2 

 School of Resource and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430081, China; [email protected] (X.F.); [email protected] (Z.Z.); [email protected] (X.J.); Hubei Industrial Safety Engineering Technology Research Center, Wuhan 430081, China 
 School of Resource and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430081, China; [email protected] (X.F.); [email protected] (Z.Z.); [email protected] (X.J.) 
First page
6607
Publication year
2022
Publication date
2022
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
20763417
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2685976106
Copyright
© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.