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Abstract

We propose a covariance stationarity test for an otherwise dependent and possibly globally non-stationary time series. We work in a generalized version of the new setting in Jin, Wang and Wang (2015), who exploit Walsh (1923) functions in order to compare sub-sample covariances with the full sample counterpart. They impose strict stationarity under the null, only consider linear processes under either hypothesis in order to achieve a parametric estimator for an inverted high dimensional asymptotic covariance matrix, and do not consider any other orthonormal basis. Conversely, we work with a general orthonormal basis under mild conditions that include Haar wavelet and Walsh functions; and we allow for linear or nonlinear processes with possibly non-iid innovations. This is important in macroeconomics and finance where nonlinear feedback and random volatility occur in many settings. We completely sidestep asymptotic covariance matrix estimation and inversion by bootstrapping a max-correlation difference statistic, where the maximum is taken over the correlation lag \(h\) and basis generated sub-sample counter \(k\) (the number of systematic samples). We achieve a higher feasible rate of increase for the maximum lag and counter \(\mathcal{H}_{T}\) and \(\mathcal{K}_{T}\). Of particular note, our test is capable of detecting breaks in variance, and distant, or very mild, deviations from stationarity.

Details

1009240
Identifier / keyword
Title
A Global Wavelet Based Bootstrapped Test of Covariance Stationarity
Publication title
arXiv.org; Ithaca
Publication year
2024
Publication date
May 21, 2024
Section
Mathematics; Statistics
Publisher
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
Source
arXiv.org
Place of publication
Ithaca
Country of publication
United States
University/institution
Cornell University Library arXiv.org
e-ISSN
2331-8422
Source type
Working Paper
Language of publication
English
Document type
Working Paper
Publication history
 
 
Online publication date
2024-05-22
Milestone dates
2022-10-25 (Submission v1); 2023-11-01 (Submission v2); 2024-05-21 (Submission v3)
Publication history
 
 
   First posting date
22 May 2024
ProQuest document ID
2728714633
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/working-papers/global-wavelet-based-bootstrapped-test-covariance/docview/2728714633/se-2?accountid=208611
Full text outside of ProQuest
Copyright
© 2024. This work is published under http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Last updated
2024-05-23
Database
ProQuest One Academic