Abstract
Several risk prediction models exist to predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in asymptomatic individuals, but systematic reviews have generally found these models to be of limited utility. The coronary artery calcium score (CACS) offers an improvement in risk prediction, yet its role remains contentious. Notably, its negative predictive value has a high ability to rule out clinically relevant atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Nonetheless, CACS 0 does not permanently reclassify to a lower cardiovascular risk and periodic reassessment every 5 to 10 years remains necessary. Conversely, elevated CACS (> 100 or > 75th percentile adjusted for age, sex and ethnicity) can reclassify intermediate-risk individuals to a high risk, benefiting from preventive medication. The forthcoming update to the Dutch cardiovascular risk management guideline intends to re-position CACS for cardiovascular risk assessment as such in asymptomatic individuals. Beyond CACS as a single number, several guidelines recommend coronary CT angiography (CCTA), which provides additional information about luminal stenosis and (high-risk) plaque composition, as the first choice of test in symptomatic patients and high-risk patients. Ongoing randomised studies will have to determine the value of atherosclerosis evaluation with CCTA for primary prevention in asymptomatic individuals.
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Details
1 Amsterdam University Medical Center, Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.509540.d) (ISNI:0000 0004 6880 3010); Amsterdam University Medical Center, Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.509540.d) (ISNI:0000 0004 6880 3010)
2 University Medical Center Utrecht, Department of Radiology, Utrecht, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.7692.a) (ISNI:0000 0000 9012 6352)
3 Amsterdam University Medical Center, Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.509540.d) (ISNI:0000 0004 6880 3010); Amsterdam University Medical Center, Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.509540.d) (ISNI:0000 0004 6880 3010)
4 University Medical Center Groningen, Department of Radiology, Groningen, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.4494.d) (ISNI:0000 0000 9558 4598)
5 Amsterdam University Medical Center, Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (GRID:grid.509540.d) (ISNI:0000 0004 6880 3010)





