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© 2024 by the authors. Published by MDPI on behalf of the Lithuanian University of Health Sciences. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background and objectives: Liver cirrhosis is a chronic, progressive condition characterized by fibrosis and architectural distortion of the liver, leading to impaired liver function and severe complications. Accurately predicting these complications is crucial to the improvement of patient outcomes. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of various non-invasive biomarkers and clinical scores in assessing the risk of complications among cirrhotic patients. Materials and methods: We conducted an observational retrospective study involving 236 cirrhotic patients from two tertiary care hospitals in Italy and Romania, in a timespan ranging from January 2021 to March 2024. Data on clinical characteristics, liver function tests, hematological indices, various non-invasive biomarkers, and clinical scores were collected and analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to assess the accuracy of these biomarkers and clinical scores in predicting complications, including the presence of varices and hepato-renal syndrome. Results: The Child–Pugh score showed the highest accuracy for cirrhosis-related complications, with an area under curve (AUC) = 0.667. The red cell distribution width coefficient of variation followed closely with an AUC = 0.646. While the Child–Pugh score had a high specificity (85.42%), its sensitivity was low (37.97%). In patients with varices, non-invasive scores such as platelet distribution width (PDW) and the RDW-to-platelet ratio (RPR) showed modest predictive ability, with an AUC = 0.594. For hepato-renal syndrome, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score showed the highest diagnostic accuracy with an AUC = 0.758. Conclusions: The most reliable biomarkers for detecting complications, varices, and hepato-renal syndrome, are, respectively, the Child–Pugh Score, PDW along with RPR, and the MELD score. However, while these scores remain valuable, the moderate diagnostic accuracy of other indices suggests the need for a more integrated approach to risk stratification. Future research should focus on validating these tools across different populations and incorporating emerging biomarkers to enhance predictive accuracy and inform more effective clinical decision-making.

Details

Title
Use of Non-Invasive Biomarkers and Clinical Scores to Predict the Complications of Liver Cirrhosis: A Bicentric Experience
Author
Giuseppe Guido Maria Scarlata 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Ismaiel, Abdulrahman 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Gambardella, Maria Luisa 1 ; Leucuta, Daniel Corneliu 3   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Luzza, Francesco 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Dumitrascu, Dan Lucian 2 ; Abenavoli, Ludovico 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo 

 Department of Health Sciences, University of Catanzaro “Magna Graecia”, 88100 Catanzaro, Italy; [email protected] (G.G.M.S.); [email protected] (M.L.G.); [email protected] (F.L.) 
 2nd Department of Internal Medicine, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400006 Cluj-Napoca, Romania; [email protected] 
 Department of Medical Informatics and Biostatistics, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania; [email protected] 
First page
1854
Publication year
2024
Publication date
2024
Publisher
MDPI AG
ISSN
1010660X
e-ISSN
16489144
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
3133224777
Copyright
© 2024 by the authors. Published by MDPI on behalf of the Lithuanian University of Health Sciences. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.