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CHICAGO, Dec. 4, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- US and Canadian real estate is on the verge of a new cycle in 2025, with interest rates down from peak levels and economic growth concerns fading, but also new risks on the horizon, according to the North America chapter of the Insights, Strategy and Analysis (ISA) Outlook 2025 report published by global real estate investment manager LaSalle Investment Management ("LaSalle").

The landscape for US and Canadian real estate has shifted since last year's ISA Outlook 2024, which saw lower transaction volumes due to higher interest rates and challenging macroeconomic conditions.  LaSalle sees considerable differences between this upcoming cycle and prior ones across both countries. Specifically, interest rates are expected to remain higher, which will lead to a more moderate pace of value recovery. And while the pace of capital flows to real estate is expected to pick-up in 2025, conditions across real estate sectors and markets will remain uneven. These differences suggest that investing into the coming real estate cycle will not be a simple story of a "rising tide lifts all boats"; selectivity at the sector, market and sub-market level is likely to add value. LaSalle's ISA Outlook 2025 follows several main themes that will influence real estate decision-making within the US and Canada, as well as sector by sector analysis of different property types:

  • Economic Outlook - Falling Rates but Risks on the Horizon: While the summer and fall of 2024 saw growing optimism among real estate investors, uncertainty around long-term interest rates rose in the fourth quarter of 2024. Long bond rates have moved higher, even as the Fed started cutting interest rates and Canada's central bank has become more aggressive in lowering its policy rate. The recent volatility is a reminder that the goldilocks environment has not returned. Pandemic-era reverberations continue as we adjust to a new normal that includes at least the fear of higher inflation.
  • Capital Markets - Best Market Entry Points Tend to be Early Cycle: Historically, the best entry points for investors tend to come early in the cycle, and the ISA Outlook predicts that 2025 will be the best year for entry into appraisal-based funds, and second best...

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