Content area
A tight labour market and robust income growth suggest that private consumption will remain strong through the rest of 2024 in the Dominican Republic, underpinning our modest upward revision to our 2024 real GDP forecast from 4.6% to 4.8%. We maintain our upbeat 2025 forecast at 5.1%, given that we think structural forces like global policy loosening cycles and labour market resilience will provide tailwinds for exports, investment, and private consumption. Risks to our 2025 growth forecast are dependent on the US growth outlook.