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Abstract

Adaptive cluster sampling (ACS) is an efficient sampling technique for studying populations where the characteristic of interest is rare or spatially clustered. This method is widely applied in fields such as ecological studies, epidemiology, and resource management. ACS initially selects sampling units using simple random sampling without replacement. However, in some cases, selected networks may overlap, leading to multiple networks being included in the sample. To address this issue, a modified version of ACS was developed to ensure sampling without replacement at the network level, maintaining sampling symmetry and preventing the inclusion of overlapping networks. Despite this adjustment, asymmetry may still occur when network formation is highly irregular. This issue can be mitigated by incorporating auxiliary variables, which help correct distortions in the sampling process. In many situations, auxiliary variables related to the variable of interest can be utilized to enhance the precision of population parameter estimates. This research proposes multiplicative generalization for an estimator with two auxiliary variables using adaptive cluster sampling with networks selected without replacement. The bias and mean square error (MSE) are derived using a Taylor series expansion to determine the optimal conditions for minimizing MSE. A simulation study is conducted to support the theoretical findings. The results show that the proposed estimator under the optimal values of T1 and T2 is the most efficient to minimize MSE.

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1. Introduction

Adaptive cluster sampling (ACS) is a data-driven method for efficiently estimating the abundance of rare and clustered populations. First introduced by Thompson in 1990 [1], ACS begins by selecting initial sample units using simple random sampling without replacement. If an initial unit satisfies a predefined condition C, its neighboring units are added to the sample. If any of those neighboring units also satisfy condition C, their respective neighborhoods are added in turn. This process continues until no additional units meet the condition. Conversely, if the initial unit does not satisfy condition C, no additional units are added, and the cluster remains a single unit. The initial set of sample units and all subsequently included neighborhoods that satisfy condition C are collectively referred to as networks. In this context, a “neighborhood” is defined as the four spatially adjacent units located at the top, bottom, left, and right (i.e., north, south, west, and east) of the selected unit (Figure 1). For instance, if a unit marked with a star is the initial selection, then the condition for adding neighboring units could be a value greater than or equal to one. The green units in the figure illustrate a single network formed under this sampling framework. Adaptive cluster sampling (ACS) has been widely utilized in various survey applications, particularly in cases where the characteristic of interest is rare or spatially clustered. Research employing ACS includes studies on forest ecosystems [2], herpetofauna in tropical rainforests [3], larvae of the sea lamprey [4], freshwater mussel populations [5], hydroa-coustic surveys [6], and assessments related to the COVID-19 pandemic [7,8,9]. Additionally, ACS has been explored in autonomous systems [10] and Internet of Things (IoT) applications [11].

Thompson proposed an unbiased estimator for ACS under the condition that units are selected without replacement. The initials were selected using simple random sampling. However, some selected networks occasionally contained more than one selected network. Building on this framework, Salehi and Seber [12] introduced ACS without replacement at the network level and developed an estimator that leveraged prior work by Des Raj and Murthy.

The estimators discussed above were primarily designed to estimate a single variable of interest. However, in many situations, other variables are closely related to the variable of interest. Leveraging auxiliary information from these related variables is a well-established method to enhance the precision of estimation. Several researchers have developed estimators for adaptive cluster sampling without replacement that incorporate auxiliary information from such variables. Chao [13] introduced a ratio estimator, while Dryver and Chao [14] proposed modified ratio estimators. Chutiman and Kumphon [15] suggested regression, difference, and modified ratio estimators. Additionally, Chutiman [16] and Yadav et al. [17] proposed ratio estimators based on population parameters, including the coefficient of variation, kurtosis, skewness, and correlations with auxiliary variables. Chaudhry and Hanif [18] introduced a generalized exponential-cum-exponential estimator utilizing network averages, whereas Singh and Mishra [19] proposed transformed ratio-type estimators. Finally, Bhat et al. [20] developed a generalized class of ratio-type estimators. Finally, Mishra et al. [21] proposed combined ratio and product-type estimators.

Chutiman and Chiangpradit [22] developed a ratio estimator that utilized auxiliary variable information for adaptive cluster sampling, with networks selected without replacement. However, their approach was limited to the use of a single auxiliary variable. To address this limitation, this paper focuses on advancing adaptive cluster sampling estimators by incorporating information from two auxiliary variables, with networks still selected without replacement. Section 2 outlines key concepts of adaptive cluster sampling without the replacement of units, while Section 3 expands on sampling without the replacement of networks. The proposed estimators for adaptive cluster sampling without the replacement of networks are introduced in Section 4, followed by simulation studies presented in Section 5. Finally, the conclusions drawn from this study are discussed in Section 6.

2. Concept of ACS Without Replacement of Units

Consider a finite population, U=U1,U2,,UN, of size N units. Let y denote the variable of interest taking the values yi on the unit Ui(i=1,2,,N), with τy representing the unknown total population of the variable of interest.

Let n denote the initial sample size and ν denote the final sample size. Let ψi denote a network that includes unit i and mi as the number of units in that network. The initial sample of units is selected by simple random sampling without replacement. The Hansen–Hurwitz estimator of the total population for the variable of interest can be written as

(1)τ^yHH=Nni=1nwyi,

where wyi is the average of the variable of interest in the network that includes the unit of the initial sample, wyi=1mijψiyj.

The mean square error (MSE) of τ^yHH is

(2)MSEτ^yHH=N(Nn)(N1)i=1NwyiτyN2.

When the auxiliary variable x is available, and this auxiliary variable has a positive relationship with the variable of interest, a ratio estimator is employed to enhance the efficiency of the estimator. Dryver and Chao [14] proposed a modified ratio estimator as

(3)τ^yDC=τ^yHHτ^xHHτx,

where τ^yHH is the Hansen–Hurwitz estimator of the population total for the auxiliary variable and τx is the population total of the auxiliary variable. The MSE of τ^yDC is

(4)MSEτ^yDC=N(Nn)(N1)i=1NwyiRwxi2,

where R=τyτx.

3. Concept of ACS with Networks Selected Without Replacement

In adaptive cluster sampling, the number of distinct networks selected is inherently random. It is possible for multiple initial sampled units to fall within the same network, resulting in some units being selected more than once. Salehi and Seber [12] introduced a new sampling design as an adaptive cluster sampling with networks selected without replacement.

In this approach, the first sample unit is selected using simple random sampling from the population. A network is then formed based on this unit and subsequently removed from the population. The second sample unit is selected using simple random sampling without replacement from the remaining units, and a second network is formed. This process is repeated until networks have been selected.

Let pi be the first—draw probabilities for the network that includes unit i. Thus, pi=miN, where mi is the number of units in the network that includes unit i. So, pi/1j=1i1pj is the conditional ith draw probability for the iþnetwork, which includes the unit iþin the sample given the first i1 network selection.

Building on work by Des Raj [23], Salehi and Seber [12] used a modified estimator, providing an unbiased estimator for the total population of the variable of interest as follows

(5)τ^yRaj=1ni=1nzyi,

where i=1, zy1=y1.p1,andi=2,,n,zyi=j=1i1yj.+1j=1i1pjyi.pi.

The MSE of τ^yRaj is

(6)MSEτ^yRaj=1n2i=1nVzyi,

and an unbiased estimator of MSEτ^yRqj is

(7)MSEτ^yRaj=1n(n1)i=1nzyiτ^yRaj2.

Meanwhile, Chutiman and Chiangpradit [22] presented a ratio estimator in adaptive cluster sampling without the replacement of networks.

(8)τ^yCC=τ^yRajτ^xRajτx,

where τ^xRaj is the estimator of the population total for the auxiliary variable.

The approximated MSE of τ^yCC is

(9)MSEτ^yCC1n2i=1nVdi,wheredi=zyiRzxi.

4. Proposed Estimator in ACS Without Replacement of Networks

Motivated by Gupta and Shabbir [24] and Chutiman and Kumphon [15], the multiplicative generalization for the estimator of a population total can be written as

(10)τ^ypro=τ^yRajτxτ^xRajT1τuτ^uRajT2,

where x and u are two auxiliary variables, and τ^xRaj and τ^uRaj are the estimators of the population total for the auxiliary variable x and u, respectively.

T1,T2=(1,1),(1,1),(1,1), and (1,1) are called ratio-type, product-type, ratio-cum-product type, and product-cum-ratio-type estimator, respectively.

Let δy=τ^yRajτyτy, δx=τ^xRajτxτx, and δu=τ^uRajτuτu; and E(δy)=0, E(δx)=0, and E(δu)=0. Thus, τ^ypro=τy(1+δy)(1δx)T1(1δu)T2 and a Taylor series expansion of τ^ypro is

(11)τ^ypro=τy1+δyT1δxT2δuT1δyδxT2δyδu+T1T2δxδu+T1(T1+1)2δx2+T2(T2+1)2δu2+f(δi),

where fδi is third or higher order term in δi.

The approximate bias is given by

(12)Bτ^yproT1EδyδxT2Eδyδu+T1T2Eδxδu+T1(T1+1)2Eδx2+T2(T2+1)2Eδu2.

The approximate mean square error (MSE) of τ^ypro is

MSEτ^ypro=Eτ^yproτy2Eτy2δyT1δxT2δu2=Eτy2δy2+T12δx2+T22δu22T1δyδx2T1δyδu+2T1T2δxδu

(13)MSEτ^ypro=τy2Eδy2+T12Eδx2+T22Eδu22T1Eδyδx2T1Eδyδu+2T1T2Eδxδu,

where

E(δy2)=V(δy)+E(δy)2=V(δy)=V(τ^y)Rajτyτy=1τy2V(τ^y)Raj,E(δx2)=V(δx)+E(δx)2=V(δx)=Vτ^xRajτxτx=1τx2Vτ^xRaj,E(δu2)=V(δu)+E(δu)2=V(δu)=Vτ^uRajτuτu=1τu2Vτ^uRaj,E(δyδx)=COV(δy,δx)+E(δy)E(δx)=1τyτxCOV(τ^y)Raj,(τ^x)Raj,E(δyδu)=COV(δy,δu)+E(δy)E(δu)=1τyτuCOVτ^yRaj,τ^uRaj,E(δxδu)=COV(δx,δu)+E(δx)E(δu)=1τxτuCOVτ^xRaj,τ^uRaj.

The values of T1 and T2 are derived by minimizing MSEτ^ypro with respect to T1 and T2 so that MSEτ^yproT1=0 and MSEτ^yproT2=0.

(14)MSEτ^yproT1=2T1τy21τx2Vτ^xRaj2τy21τxτyCOVτ^yRaj,τ^xRaj+2τy2T21τxτuCOVτ^xRaj,τ^uRaj=0.

Therefore,

(15)T1=COVτ^yRaj,τ^xRajT2RuyCOVτ^xRaj,τ^uRajRxyVτ^xRaj,

and

(16)MSEτ^yproT2=2T2τy21τu2Vτ^uRaj2τy21τuτyCOVτ^yRaj,τ^uRaj+2τy2T11τxτuCOVτ^xRaj,τ^uRaj=0.

we substitute T1 from Equation (15) into Equation (16). Then, the optimum values of T1 and T2 are

(17)T1=COV(τ^y)Raj,(τ^x)RajT2RuyCOV(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)RajRxyV(τ^x)Raj,

(18)T2=COV(τ^y)Raj,(τ^u)RajV(τ^x)RajCOV(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)RajCOV(τ^y)Raj,(τ^u)RajRuyV(τ^u)RajV(τ^x)RajRuyCOV(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)Raj2,

where Rxy=τyτx and Ruy=τyτu.

The estimators of T1 and T2 are

(19)T^1=COV^(τ^y)Raj,(τ^x)RajT^2R^uyCOV^(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)RajR^xyV^(τ^x)Raj,

(20)T^2=COV^(τ^y)Raj,(τ^u)RajV^(τ^x)RajCOV^(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)RajCOV^(τ^y)Raj,(τ^u)RajR^uyV^(τ^u)RajV^(τ^x)RajR^uyCOV^(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)Raj2,

where R^xy=τ^yRajτ^xRaj and R^uy=τ^yRajτ^uRaj,

V^τ^xRaj=1n(n1)i=1n(zx)i(τ^x)Raj2,V^τ^uRaj=1n(n1)i=1n(zu)i(τ^u)Raj2,COV^(τ^y)Raj,(τ^x)Raj=1n(n1)i=1n(zy)i(τ^y)Raj(zx)i(τ^x)Raj,COV^(τ^y)Raj,(τ^u)Raj=1n(n1)i=1n(zy)i(τ^y)Raj(zu)i(τ^u)Raj,COV^(τ^x)Raj,(τ^u)Raj=1n(n1)i=1n(zx)i(τ^x)Raj(zu)i(τ^u)Raj.

5. Results and Discussion

5.1. Simulation Study

The population of the variable of interest and the two auxiliary variables was based on the study by Nipaporn and Kumphon [15], consisting of a population size of 20 rows and 20 columns, or 400 units (Figure A1, Figure A2 and Figure A3). The parameter values were τy=489, τx=222, τu=1008, ρyx=0.91, and ρyu=0.87. For each iteration, the initial sample units were selected by simple random sampling. The condition for adding sample units was defined by C={y:y>0}. A total of 10,000 iterations were performed for each estimator. The number of networks were varied as n = 2, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 50.

The estimated absolute relative bias was defined as

RB(τ^y)=110,000i=110,000(τ^y)iτyτy.

The estimated MSE of the estimator was defined as

MSE(τ^y)=110,000i=110,000(τ^y)iτy2.

The percentage relative efficiency of the proposed estimator was compared with τ^yRaj was defined as

PREτ^ypro=MSEτ^yRajMSEτ^ypro×100.

The estimated absolute relative bias, estimated mean square error (MSE), and percentage relative efficiency of the estimators using two auxiliary variables under adaptive cluster sampling with networks selected without replacement were calculated. Figure 2 presents a flowchart outlining the steps of the simulation study, and the results are presented in Table 1, Table 2 and Table 3.

5.2. Discussion

The data revealed that the variable of interest was positively correlated with both auxiliary variables. However, the correlation between the variable of interest and auxiliary variable x was stronger than its correlation with auxiliary variable u.

Our findings are summarized as follows:

  • The results in Table 1 demonstrate that, for all estimators, the estimated absolute relative bias decreased as the network sample size increased. Among the estimators, the product-type estimator T1=T2=1 consistently exhibited higher estimated absolute relative bias than the other estimators.

  • Table 2 presents the estimated mean square error (MSE) of the estimators. Here, MSE(τ^y)Raj represents the estimated mean square error of the modified Des Raj estimator, which did not rely on auxiliary variable information, while MSE(τ^y)pro refers to the proposed estimator that incorporates two auxiliary variables. For all network sample sizes, the estimated mean square error of the proposed estimator (τ^y)pro was lower than that of the modified Des Raj estimator, (τ^y)Raj, when T1=1, T2=1 (ratio-cum-product-type estimator), and T1=T1, T2=T2 (the proposed estimator with optimal values). The proposed estimator (τ^y)pro with the optimal values as T1=T1, T2=T2 achieved the lowest estimated MSE compared to the settings (T1,T2)=(1,1),(1,1),(1,1), and (1,1), corresponding to ratio-type, product-type, ratio-cum-product type, and product-cum-ratio-type estimators, respectively. The estimated MSE of the product-type estimator was particularly high, as this estimator was applied in scenarios where the variable of interest and the auxiliary variables were related in opposing directions.

  • Table 3 presents the percentage relative efficiency (PRE) of the proposed estimator compared to the modified Des Raj estimator (τ^y)Raj, where PRE(τ^y)Raj is set to 100. A PRE value greater than 100 indicates that the estimator is more efficient than (τ^y)Raj. The results show that the product-type and product-cum-ratio-type estimators exhibited lower efficiency than (τ^y)Raj across all network sample sizes. The ratio-type estimator demonstrated higher efficiency than (τ^y)Raj when the network sample size was small. Meanwhile, the ratio-cum-product-type estimator and the proposed estimator with optimal values of T1 and T2 as T1=T1,T2=T2 had higher efficiency than (τ^y)Raj for all network sample sizes. Among all the estimators, the proposed estimator with optimal values of T1 and T2 was the most efficient.

6. Conclusions

In adaptive cluster sampling, the initial units are selected using simple random sampling without replacement, but networks can be selected more than once. Salehi and Seber [12] proposed an adaptive cluster sampling with networks selected without replacement by introducing an estimator based on the Des Raj estimator, (τ^y)Raj. In some situations, auxiliary information related to the variable of interest is utilized to improve the precision of the estimator. Chutiman and Chiangpradit [22] proposed a ratio estimator that uses a single auxiliary variable in adaptive cluster sampling with networks selected without replacement. This study presented a multiplicative generalization of the estimator, incorporating two auxiliary variables as

(τ^y)pro=(τ^y)Rajτx(τ^x)RajT1τu(τ^u)RajT2.

The bias and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimator were derived, and the optimum values of T1 and T2 were determined by minimizing their MSE. When inappropriate values of T1 and T2 were used, the proposed estimator was less efficient than the modified Des Raj estimator (τ^y)Raj, which does not rely on auxiliary variable information. However, the optimal values of T1 and T2 yielded the lowest MSE of the estimator. The performance of the proposed estimator was further validated through numerical simulations. Table 2 and Table 3 reveal that while the variable of interest was positively correlated with the two auxiliary variables, the ratio-type estimator did not outperform the modified Des Raj estimator at any network sample size. Conversely, the proposed estimator was the most efficient when T1 and T2 were set to their optimal values, i.e., T1=T1 and T2=T2. Comprehensive analysis and the interpretation of the results demonstrate that the proposed estimator with optimum values of T1 and T2 achieved superior performance metrics in terms of both MSE and percentage relative efficiency. These findings highlight its enhanced accuracy compared to the alternative estimators examined. Future research should focus on assessing the robustness of the proposed estimator under different population structures and varying degrees of spatial clustering. Additionally, further studies should explore the integration of more than two auxiliary variables to enhance estimation efficiency in adaptive cluster sampling without the replacement of networks.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, N.C. and A.N.; methodology, S.W.; software, N.C. and P.G.; investigation, S.W.; writing—original draft preparation, N.C. and A.N.; writing—review and editing, P.G and S.W.; and funding acquisition, N.C. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Data Availability Statement

Data are contained within the article.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the editor and the referees for their valuable feedback and insightful suggestions.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare that are relevant to the content of this article.

Footnotes

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Figures and Tables
View Image - Figure 1. Example of a network (shaded in green), where the unit marked with an asterisk represents the initial sampling unit.

Figure 1. Example of a network (shaded in green), where the unit marked with an asterisk represents the initial sampling unit.

View Image - Figure 2. The steps of the simulation study for each sample size of networks.

Figure 2. The steps of the simulation study for each sample size of networks.

The estimated absolute relative bias of the estimators for the total population of the variable of interest.

n RB τ ^ y pro
T 1 = T 2 = 1 T 1 = T 2 = 1 T 1 = 1 T 2 = 1 T 1 = T 1 T 2 = T 2
2 0.9091 43.7092 0.0409 0.7103
5 0.5723 9.6476 0.0272 0.4120
10 0.4252 3.9173 0.0215 0.1237
15 0.3712 2.0932 0.0141 0.1210
20 0.3167 1.2775 0.0088 0.0960
25 0.3134 1.1377 0.0082 0.0765
50 0.1912 0.4281 0.0025 0.0143

Note: T1 and T2 are the optimum values of T1 and T2, respectively.

The estimated MSE of the estimators for the total population of the variable of interest.

n E ( ν ) MSE ( τ ^ y ) Raj MSE ( τ ^ y ) pro
T 1 = T 2 = 1 T 1 = T 2 = 1 T1=1, T2=1 T1=1, T2=1 T 1 = T 1 , T 2 = T 2
2 6.8466 968,885.0341 204,764.3145 26,322,915,632.8267 926,194.3208 1,445,829.5306 188,667.2977
5 16.1432 375,678.8942 132,903.3653 556,216,006.2863 375,147.0977 535,979.9843 121,855.7443
10 29.3040 185,513.8035 146,738.8306 68,892,932.1431 172,073.9448 291,531.9326 68,099.7147
15 39.5225 117,455.5717 245,276.4686 16,271,424.1794 111,666.6914 176,639.4646 45,295.0030
20 53.0735 80,580.0398 309,571.7174 4,919,034.4968 76,522.4944 116,484.1294 27,811.8563
25 59.9526 64,537.0999 272,468.2427 3,344,904.9521 59,331.5526 100,902.1119 23,029.4124
50 93.7806 25,465.4180 84,934.4510 630,026.2443 22,545.9512 41,470.0784 5722.4797

Note: T1 and T2 are the optimum values of T1 and T2, respectively.

The percentage relative efficiency of the estimators for the total population of the variable of interest.

n PRE ( τ ^ y ) Raj PRE ( τ ^ y ) pro
T 1 = T 2 = 1 T 1 = T 2 = 1 T1=1, T2=1 T1=1, T2=1 T 1 = T 1 , T 2 = T 2
2 100 473.1708 0.0037 104.6093 67.0124 513.5416
5 100 282.6707 0.0675 100.1418 70.0920 308.2981
10 100 126.4245 0.2693 107.8105 63.6341 272.4149
15 100 47.8870 0.7219 105.1841 66.4945 259.3124
20 100 26.0295 1.6381 105.3024 69.1768 289.7327
25 100 23.6861 1.9294 108.7737 63.9601 280.2377
50 100 29.9824 4.0420 112.9490 61.4067 445.0067

Note: T1 and T2 are the optimum values of T1 and T2, respectively.

Appendix A

The populations of the variable of interest and the two auxiliary variables are shown in Figure A1, Figure A2 and Figure A3 following Nipaporn and Kumphon [15].

View Image - Figure A1. The population of the variable of interest [Forumla omitted. See PDF.], where unit neighborhoods are defined as four spatially adjacent units. The condition for adding units was defined by [Forumla omitted. See PDF.]. The areas shaded in different colors represent distinct networks.

Figure A1. The population of the variable of interest [Forumla omitted. See PDF.], where unit neighborhoods are defined as four spatially adjacent units. The condition for adding units was defined by [Forumla omitted. See PDF.]. The areas shaded in different colors represent distinct networks.

View Image - Figure A2. The population of the auxiliary variable x. The position of the network is the same as the data y. The areas shaded in different colors represent distinct networks.

Figure A2. The population of the auxiliary variable x. The position of the network is the same as the data y. The areas shaded in different colors represent distinct networks.

View Image - Figure A3. The population of the auxiliary variable u. The position of the network is the same as the data y. The areas shaded in different colors represent distinct networks.

Figure A3. The population of the auxiliary variable u. The position of the network is the same as the data y. The areas shaded in different colors represent distinct networks.

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