Real estate valuation with multi-source image fusion and enhanced machine learning pipeline

Abstract

The automated valuation model (AVM) has been widely used by real estate stakeholders to provide accurate property value estimations automatically. Traditional valuation models are subjective and inaccurate, and previous studies have shown that machine learning (ML) approaches perform better in real estate valuation. These valuation models are based on structured tabular data, and few consider integrating multi-source unstructured data such as images. Most previous studies use fixed feature space for model training without considering the model performance variation brought by various feature configuration parameters. To fill these gaps, this study uses Hong Kong as a case study and proposes an enhanced ML-based real estate valuation framework with feature configuration and multi-source image data fusion, including exterior housing photos, street view and remote sensing images. ^‌‌Eight ML regressors, namely, Random Forest, Extra Tree, XGBoost, Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) are used to formulate ML pipelines for training. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method is used to examine the effects of images on housing prices. The experimental results show that the model performances using different feature configuration parameters are significantly different, indicating the necessity of feature configuration to obtain more accurate and reliable predictions. Extra Tree performs significantly better than other models. Half of the top 10 significant features are image features, and incorporating multi-source image features can improve property valuation accuracy. Nonlinear associations exist between image features and housing prices, and the spatial distribution patterns of image feature values and corresponding SHAP main effects vary significantly from the city centre to the suburbs. These findings contribute to a better understanding of AVM development with image fusion and the nonlinear associations between image features and housing prices for public authorities, urban planners, and real estate developers.