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© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Prostatic artery embolization (PAE) has been increasingly recognized, especially with recent progress in embolization techniques for the management of lower urinary tract symptoms due to benign prostatic hyperplasia. Nevertheless, a proportion of patients undergoing PAE fail to demonstrate clinical improvement. Machine learning models have the potential to provide valuable prognostic insights for patients undergoing PAE. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed utilizing a modified prior-data fitted network architecture to predict short-term (7 weeks) favorable outcomes, defined as a reduction greater than 9 points in the International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS), in patients who underwent PAE with nBCA glue. Patients were stratified into two groups based on the median IPSS reduction value, and a binary classification model was developed to predict the outcome of interest. The model was developed using clinical tabular data, including both pre-procedural and intra-procedural variables. SHapley Additive ExPlanations (SHAP) were used to uncover the relative importance of features. Results: The final cohort included 109 patients. The model achieved an accuracy of 0.676, an MCC of 0.363, a precision of 0.666, a recall of 0.856, an F1-score of 0.731, and a Brier score of 0.203, with an AUPRC of 0.851 and an AUROC of 0.821. SHAP analysis identified pre-PAE IPSS, prior therapy, right embolization volume, preoperative quality of life, and age as the top five most influential features. Conclusions: Our model showed promising discrimination and calibration in predicting early outcomes of PAE with nBCA glue, highlighting the potential of precision medicine to deliver interpretable, individualized risk assessments.

Details

Title
Predicting Early Outcomes of Prostatic Artery Embolization Using n-Butyl Cyanoacrylate Liquid Embolic Agent: A Machine Learning Study
Author
Berksu, Ozkara Burak 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Bamshad, David 1 ; Gowda Ramita 2 ; Karabacak Mert 3   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Bishay Vivian 1 ; Garcia-Reyes, Kirema 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Rastinehad, Ardeshir R 4 ; Shilo, Dan 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Fischman, Aaron 1 

 Department of Diagnostic, Molecular and Interventional Radiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA 
 School of Medicine, St. George’s University, True Blue, Grenada 
 Department of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, NY 10029, USA 
 Department of Urology, Lenox Hill Hospital, New York, NY 10075, USA 
First page
1351
Publication year
2025
Publication date
2025
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
20754418
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
3217724427
Copyright
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.