Integration of Hematologic and Metabolic Biomarkers for Outcome Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndromes Without ST Elevation

Abstract

Background

Non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) represents a prevalent form of acute coronary syndrome associated with substantial early risk of adverse outcomes. Inflammatory and metabolic disturbances are increasingly recognized as key contributors to the disease. Hematologic indices such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), and pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV), along with the triglyceride-glucose index adjusted for BMI (TyG-BMI), have emerged as promising prognostic markers. However, their dynamic behavior in early NSTEMI remains insufficiently explored.

Materials and methods

This prospective study included 170 patients hospitalized for NSTEMI at the University Clinical Centre Tuzla between February 2022 and January 2023. Hematologic and metabolic indices were calculated at admission and repeated 24 hours later. Patients were followed for three months to document major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular death, reinfarction, and urgent revascularization. The median age was 67 years, and 60.6% of patients were male. Hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes mellitus were the most common comorbidities.

Results

Significant 24-hour reductions were observed in NLR, PLR, SII, SIRI, and PIV (all p < 0.01), while C-reactive protein (CRP) levels more than doubled (p < 0.001). Patients who developed MACE showed persistently elevated inflammatory indices and smaller declines in PIV and SIRI. Change in SIRI (ΔSIRI) demonstrated the strongest predictive value (AUC = 0.63), followed by SII and TyG-BMI. Notably, reduced resolution of PIV and persistently elevated TyG-BMI were significantly associated with adverse outcomes. Overall, MACE occurred in 51.2% of patients, including a 14.7% mortality rate.

Conclusion

Early changes in systemic inflammation and metabolic stress, particularly SIRI and TyG-BMI dynamics, offer valuable prognostic insight and may enhance early risk stratification in NSTEMI patients.