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Abstract
This paper develops a stochastic bi-objective energy management system (EMS) for an integrated energy hub (EH) comprising photovoltaic (PV) arrays, wind turbines (WTs), a dual-fuel boiler, combined heat and power (CHP) generation, electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure, and hydrogen storage systems, interconnected with the main grid. The proposed EMS framework simultaneously minimizes operational expenditures (OPEX) and carbon emissions while addressing uncertainties in renewable generation and load demand through probabilistic modeling and demand response programs (DRPs). A novel modified multi-objective grasshopper optimization algorithm (MMOGOA) with adaptive mutation operators is introduced to solve this complex optimization problem, demonstrating superior convergence characteristics and 7.2% lower OPEX compared to conventional MOEAs (Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm [NSGA-II] and MOPSO) in baseline scenarios. Comprehensive simulations reveal that demand response program (DRP) implementation achieves significant reductions (18.87% in costs and 14.62% in emissions), while uncertainty incorporation increases costs by 10% and emissions by 4.38%, with MMOGOA consistently maintaining performance dominance across all operational regimes. The results quantitatively highlight the importance of optimizing DRP participation and managing uncertainties to improve the efficiency and sustainability of energy management systems (EMSs).
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1. Introduction
The energy hub (EH) stands as a pivotal concept in orchestrating the joint operation of diverse energy carrier infrastructures, notably encompassing natural gas and electricity. Its multifaceted capabilities extend to achieving a spectrum of objectives, ranging from minimizing operational costs and enhancing reliability and efficiency to curbing emissions [1–3]. The optimal functioning of multicarrier energy systems bears the potential to yield manifold benefits across technical, economic, and environmental domains. These advantages encompass heightened system reliability, reductions in operational costs, fuel consumption, and greenhouse gas emissions [4]. Over recent years, a myriad of methodologies have been proposed for the energy management system (EMS) governing EH operations.
In terms of methods and planning for the EMS in energy hubs (EHs), the literature can be categorized into two main groups of traditional methods and artificial intelligence techniques.
Traditional energy management methods include linear programing (LP) [5], nonlinear programing (NLP) [6], and rule-based dynamic programing [7]. Recent studies focus on optimizing EHs using mixed-integer linear programing (MILP). One approach combines energy trading with the national grid and battery storage, solving the problem with LP and MILP [8]. Another model uses MILP for energy consumption planning, integrating a demand response (DR) program to handle time-varying generation resources and reduce peak load [9]. A university campus EMS balances energy transactions using MILP and predicts energy output with a radial basis function neural network (RBF-NN) [8]. Battery management is highlighted as an economic solution to reduce operating costs. Other models aim to maximize energy exchange revenue through DR and use Lyapunov optimization for real-time management of thermal and electrical energy, achieving lower operational costs [10, 11].
Recent studies in EH research have focused on employing intelligent methods and advanced algorithms for optimal energy management. In [12], a reinforcement learning framework was developed for sustainable EH management in urban environments. Research [13] presented a distributed multi-objective control strategy considering energy conversion characteristics. In [14], a multi-objective model based on innovative optimization algorithms was designed for power systems and microgrids. Study [15] addressed economic and environmental aspects by proposing an integrated model for load management, pollution control, and pricing in large-scale EHs. In [16], distributed energy management solutions were developed for interconnected EHs, while research [17] employed a two-timescale reinforcement learning system to enhance operational flexibility. A deep reinforcement learning method was applied in [18] for real-time flexibility optimization in grid-connected smart building communities. Also, the metaheuristic methods, such as particle swarm optimization (PSO) [19], genetic algorithm (GA) [20], Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) [21], Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) [22] are used for EH energy management.
Demand response programs (DRPs) represent a pivotal method in smart grid energy management, guiding consumers toward optimal consumption patterns through dynamic electricity pricing or incentive policies. While DRPs yield substantial benefits for power systems and economic advantages for consumers, they introduce complexities in EH management systems [23]. For instance [24], proposed optimal planning for an EH integrating photovoltaic (PV) distributed generation, compressed air storage, and demand-responsive loads to minimize operating costs, employing metaheuristic algorithms in a risk-aware market framework. However, effective EH management must account for uncertainties, particularly in renewable generation and load estimation due to variable weather conditions—a critical yet often underemphasized factor in studies prioritizing power system stability and financial metrics [25]. These uncertainties lead to deviations from optimal plans, resulting in operational inefficiencies [26]. Weather variability not only impacts renewable sources (e.g., PV and wind output) but also alters load profiles, especially in household demand linked to heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. Despite this, most studies model wind and solar uncertainty using normal distributions without detailed parameter reporting [27], while overlooking weather-derived load forecasting improvements [28]. To address these gaps [29], leveraged machine learning tools for robust energy management of electrical and thermal resources, explicitly incorporating uncertainties in load predictions.
This study presents a probabilistic energy management model for an EHthat includes renewable energy sources, hydrogen energy storage systems. The model aims to optimize operations by minimizing costs and increasing flexibility, while also considering DRPs and uncertainties. A mutated multi-objective grasshopper optimization algorithm is proposed. In the modified version of the multi-objective grasshopper algorithm, a genetic mutation is introduced for weaker grasshoppers, enhancing the algorithm’s precision in identifying optimal points. The main contributions of this paper include:
Innovative EMS: An advanced EMS is developed, integrating renewable energy sources, electric vehicle (EV) parking, and hydrogen-based storage. It also considers DRPs and operational uncertainties, aiming to reduce costs and improve system adaptability.
Comprehensive cost-based and emission objective functions: A detailed set of objective functions is proposed to evaluate various operational scenarios. These scenarios are weighted according to their probability, providing a realistic representation of practical conditions.
Novel optimization algorithm: A mutated multi-objective grasshopper optimization algorithm is introduced to tackle EH management challenges. This enhanced algorithm effectively navigates a broader solution space and reduces the likelihood of convergence to local optima.
In continuation of the article, Section 2 presents the problem formulation, including a stochastic model for the EH, scenario selection using the roulette wheel mechanism (RWM), and the objective functions and constraints for optimization. Section 3 introduces the mutant multi-objective grasshopper optimization algorithm used to solve the EH energy management problem. Section 4 evaluates the simulation results, first by assessing modified multi-objective grasshopper optimization algorithm’s (MMOGOA) accuracy in comparison with other optimization methods, and then, by analyzing EH energy management under different scenarios—without uncertainties and demand response program (DRP), with DRP but without uncertainties, and with both DRP and uncertainties. The conclusion in Section 5 highlights key findings and suggests future research into resilience and reliability in EHs for more robust and efficient energy management.
2. Problem Formulation
2.1. Stochastic Model of Hub Energy
The EH under study, depicted in Figure 1, integrates renewable energy systems including PV panels and wind turbines (WTs). In addition, it incorporates a boiler, a combined heat and power (CHP) unit, thermal storage, and EV parking facilities for energy storage purposes. The EH is also equipped with an electrolyzer, enabling the use of surplus electricity to convert water into hydrogen. When needed, the stored hydrogen undergoes a methanation process to produce natural gas (CH4), which can then be used as fuel in the CHP unit or the boiler.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Electric and thermal loads, as the primary sources of uncertainty in the EH, play a crucial role in the energy management program. Variations in these loads can arise from temporal fluctuations and weather conditions. Daily and weekly changes in electricity demand are largely influenced by consumer behavior patterns. To model the uncertainty in loads, a normal probability density function (PDF) can be employed as a suitable approach to represent load variations in the EH. The PDF for thermal and electrical load fluctuations is expressed by Equation (1), which applies equally to both types of loads [30].
In Equation (1), pL, μPL, and σPL represent the EH load, the average and standard deviation of heat or electrical load, respectively. These parameters are calculated based on the recorded load data from the EH. In addition to load uncertainties, the uncertainties associated with renewable energy sources, specifically solar and wind energy, must be accurately incorporated into the proposed EH model. The intermittent nature of wind turbine (WT) power generation introduces unique challenges for energy management within the EH. The Weibull PDF is a suitable mathematical model for representing wind speed distribution.
In Equation (2), υ is a wind speed and also, p and k are scaling and shaping factors of the Weibull PDF. The power generation of the WT is calculated based on Equation (3).
In Equation (3), υ is wind speed (m/s) and
Modeling the input and output power in parking lots (PLs) necessitates consideration of various uncertainties, such as EV charging and discharging schedules, battery types and capacities, the fraction of EVs using the parking facility, driver behaviors, and the timing of EV arrivals and departures, along with the state of charge (SOC) of the batteries. To effectively capture the statistical characteristics of EV arrival and departure times, the Weibull and Lognormal probability density functions (PDFs) are deemed the most suitable models. These functions accurately represent the variability in EV behavior, facilitating a comprehensive analysis of charging trends. Equations (6) and (7) outline these PDFs for modeling EV dynamics.
Due to the use of renewable energy sources in the studied EH and the stochastic nature of their power generation, incorporating a battery storage system is essential. The battery capacities of EVs parked in PLs can be utilized for electricity storage. However, uncertainties regarding the presence of EVs in the PLs and their SOC pose significant challenges to using EVs for energy storage. The modeling of input/output power for PLs must consider various sources of uncertainty, including the scheduling of EV charging and discharging, the battery type and capacity in EVs, the proportion of EVs in PLs, driver behavior, EV arrival and departure times, and SOC of the batteries. The Weibull and Lognormal PDFs (PDFs) are considered the most suitable models for capturing the arrival and departure times of EVs. These PDFs provide a good fit to the statistical distribution of EV arrival and departure patterns, allowing for effective modeling and analysis of EV charging behavior. Equations (6) and (7) are employed to represent the PDFs for EV arrival and departure [31].
2.2. Scenarios Selection by RWM
In stochastic problems, selecting appropriate scenarios is of critical importance. In this study, the RWM is employed to select various scenarios for the proposed objective functions. In the roulette wheel theory, each uncertainty factor is divided into sections based on its PDF, and each section is assigned a value. These values can be normalized by dividing each section’s value by the base value. Random selections are then made using the roulette wheel. This mechanism increases the likelihood of selecting more probable responses, where the probability in the PDF is higher compared to other points. However, less probable points are also, given a chance since the probability of the most likely outcomes is less than one. In the roulette wheel method, a circle, as depicted in Figure 2, is divided into sections proportional to the existing probabilities [32].
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
In Figure 2, the area of each section is determined based on the existing probabilities and are expressed as follows.
If a pointer is present and the circle is spun randomly, the probability of the pointer stopping at section
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
The uniformity ensures that the chance of selecting each section is proportional to its length. In other words, the generated random number falls into section
2.3. Objective Functions and Constraints
Within the framework of probabilistic analysis, the objective functions in this study are expressed in the form
In Equation (10),
The cost of converting electrical energy into hydrogen, storing it, and producing natural gas is defined by Equation (26).
Electric power balance: The amount of generated and requested electric power must be equal in each hour.
Thermal power balance constraint: The amount of generated and requested thermal power must be equal in each hour.
Power grid exchange power constraint: The limitation for the electric power exchanged with the power grid is as follows.
CHP operation constraint: The operational constraints of the CHP unit are depicted in Figure 4.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Equations (31)–(39) express the formulation of CHP feasible areas
HO operation constraint: The heat production capacity of HO units is limited.
EV PL constraint: The charging and discharging rates, as well as the charging and discharging levels of EVs in the PLs, are limited.
3. Mutant Multiobjective Grasshopper Algorithm
Nature-inspired algorithms logically divide the search process into two primary phases: exploration and exploitation. During the exploration phase, search agents are encouraged to move abruptly and explore the search space extensively, whereas, in the exploitation phase, they focus on making localized movements to refine potential solutions. The MOGOA algorithm is inspired by the natural foraging behavior of grasshoppers and strives to balance exploration and exploitation in multi-objective optimization problems. This algorithm is designed to identify a set of Pareto-optimal solutions for multi-objective optimization challenges. To simulate the collective behavior of grasshoppers, it is formulated as follows [34]:
The function s is used to define the strength of social forces which determines the intensity of social interactions, is computed as follows:
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
4. Evaluation of Simulation Results
The simulation results are analyzed in two main parts. The first part assesses the effectiveness of the MMOGOA algorithm by applying it to benchmark functions and comparing its performance with that of other multi-objective optimization algorithms. The second part focuses on the energy management problem within the EH, which is further subdivided into three sections. In this part, the MMOGOA algorithm is utilized along with several other optimization techniques to solve the energy management issue in the EH. The simulations were carried out using MATLAB 2020a on an ACER laptop, equipped with an Intel i9 13900HX processor, 16 GB of RAM, 1TB storage, and an RTX 4060 graphics card.
4.1. The MMOGOA Accuracy Evaluation
The initial phase of the simulation involved assessing the performance of the proposed MMOGOA algorithm through the optimization of ZDT benchmark functions. The results were then compared against those achieved by several other algorithms, including the Multi-Objective Exponential Distribution Optimizer (MOEDO) [35], the Multi-Granularity Clustering-Based Evolutionary Algorithm (MGCBEA) [36], the Multistage Competitive Swarm Optimization Algorithm (MSCSOA) [37], and the Multi-Strategy Multi-Objective Differential Evolutionary Algorithm (MSMODE) [38]. After performing 20 independent runs to optimally solve the ZDT benchmark problems, various performance metrics, including generation distance (GD), spacing (SP), and inverse generation distance (IGD), to thoroughly assess the algorithm’s effectiveness. The optimization results are shown in Figure 6.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Smaller values for the calculated criteria across multiple iterations indicate improved performance and greater precision of the optimization method. As shown in Figure 5, the proposed MMOGOA algorithm consistently produces lower average values for these criteria compared to other algorithms across most benchmark functions. Furthermore, reduced standard deviation values suggest that the algorithm reliably identifies optimal solutions that are closely clustered together, rather than, dispersing randomly around the optimal point
4.2. The EH Energy Management
Figure 7 presents the hourly price variations for electricity and natural gas in the energy market [39].
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Using the RWM and PDFs, ten distinct scenarios have been generated for the electrical and thermal loads within the microgrid, as well as for the power outputs of renewable energy sources. The corresponding values for these scenarios are depicted in Figure 8.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
The arrival pattern of electric vehicles (EVs) to the PL is modeled using a Weibull PDF with parameters c = 8.4 and k = 2.8. Conversely, the departure pattern is characterized by a lognormal PDF with a mean of 2.4 and a standard deviation of 0.4. Figure 9 illustrates the number of EVs arriving at and departing from the PL based on these probability distributions.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
The energy management of the EH is divided into three stages. In the first stage, energy management is carried out without considering uncertainties and the DRP. In the second stage, uncertainties are incorporated, but the DRP is still ignored. Finally, in the third stage, both uncertainties and the DRP are accounted for in the EH energy management. To assess the performance of the MMOGOA algorithm, its optimization results were compared with those obtained from well-established methods, including the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II), Multi-Objective Gray Wolf Optimization (MOGWO), and the Multi-Objective Whale Optimization Algorithm (MOWOA). The optimization algorithms parameters are included in Table 1.
Table 1
The optimization algorithms parameters.
| MOPSO | MMOGOA | MOWOA | NSGA-II | MOPSO | MMOGOA |
• Without considering uncertainties and DRP
In the first stage of the simulation analysis, the energy management of the EH was carried out without incorporating uncertainties or DRPs. The Pareto fronts for this phase of the simulations, shown in Figure 10.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
The final selection of the best result is made using a fuzzy method. The results are accumulated in Table 2.
Table 2
The best results in the first section of the simulation.
| Optimization algorithm | |||||
| MMOGOA | 1133 | 767 | 325 | 2225 | 15.32 |
| MOPSO | 1156 | 808 | 283 | 2247 | 16.83 |
| NSGA-II | 1152 | 794 | 295 | 2241 | 17.36 |
| MOWOA | 1146 | 781 | 311 | 2238 | 16.41 |
The proposed MMOGOA algorithm achieves an EH operation cost of 2225 cents and emissions of 15.32 kg, showcasing superior performance compared to other optimization methods. For reference, the costs for MOPSO, NSGA-II, and MOWOA are 2247, 2241, and 2238 cents, with corresponding emission levels of 16.83, 17.36, and 16.41 p.u. respectively. Figure 11 provides an overview of the hourly charge variations across hydrogen storage, EV parking, and heat storage, demonstrating effective management of energy resources over time.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
To achieve cost-effective energy management, the operator employs a strategic approach to energy storage and conversion. During low-demand periods with reduced electricity prices, excess power is acquired from the grid and either converted to natural gas or stored in EV batteries in the PL. This stored natural gas is reserved for future use. When natural gas prices rise, the stored reserves are utilized within the EH to produce both electricity and heat, meeting system demands efficiently and cost-effectively. This dynamic process leverages price fluctuations to optimize energy usage and reduce overall expenses. The operational analysis shows a significant increase in electricity drawn from the grid between 1:00 AM and 7:00 AM, primarily for EV charging and hydrogen production. During high electricity price hours, reliance on grid electricity decreases as EV batteries discharge and stored gas powers the CHP system. A portion of the stored gas is directed toward heating, while the excess is converted back into electricity. Additionally, approximately 11.32% of the EHs gas demand is supplied by stored hydrogen, underlining its importance in reducing reliance on external resources.
• Considering DRP without uncertainties
In the second phase of the simulation, energy management of the EH was optimized by incorporating DRPs into the framework, while uncertainties in system parameters were deliberately excluded to simplify the analysis. This phase assumed that approximately 30% of the total electrical and thermal loads were flexible and could participate in the DRP, enabling the system to shift or reduce energy demand based on pricing incentives or operational needs. By integrating DRPs, the EH could better align its load profile with available energy resources, improving efficiency and reducing costs. The results of this simulation are visually represented in Figure 12, where the pareto fronts obtained from various optimization algorithms demonstrate the trade-offs achieved between multiple objectives. These fronts highlight the system’s ability to balance competing factors, such as minimizing operational costs and emissions, while maintaining reliable energy supply to meet demand. This analysis emphasizes the role of DRPs in enhancing system flexibility and overall performance.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
The optimal outcomes for this phase of the simulations are summarized in Table 3, where the best results from the various optimization algorithms are presented for comparison.
Table 3
The best results in the second section of the simulation.
| Optimization algorithm | |||||
| MMOGOA | 986 | 534 | 285 | 1805 | 13.08 |
| MOPSO | 1013 | 578 | 241 | 1832 | 13.23 |
| NSGA-II | 983 | 591 | 264 | 1838 | 13.31 |
| MOWOA | 1006 | 529 | 276 | 1811 | 13.16 |
The simulation results in this section highlight the positive impact of implementing a DRP within the EMS. The inclusion of DRP led to an 18.87% reduction in operating costs and a 14.62% decrease in emissions at the EH. Among the algorithms tested, the MMOGOA-based EMS delivered the most cost-effective and environmentally friendly outcomes. After optimization with the MMOGOA algorithm, the total operating cost was reduced to 1805 cents. In comparison, the costs using EMS with the MOPSO, NSGAII, and MOWOA algorithms were slightly higher, at 1832, 1838, and 1811 cents, respectively. Similarly, emissions were minimized with the MMOGOA-based EMS, yielding a value of 13.08 kg. By contrast, the emissions with EMSs optimized by the MOPSO, NSGAII, and MOWOA algorithms were 13.23, 13.31, and 13.16 kg, respectively. Figure 13 illustrates the hourly charge levels of the storage systems for this part of the simulations, showcasing how the DRP influenced energy storage and utilization patterns throughout the day.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Figure 10 illustrates that incorporating the DRP into the EMS effectively reduces the consumption of electrical and heat loads in the EH. This decreased demand directly lowers the reliance on hydrogen storage, resulting in a significant decline in the total energy conversion cost (Tcost). By optimizing energy utilization through DRP, the EH achieves a more cost-efficient operation while simultaneously minimizing unnecessary energy transformations. This highlights the potential of DRP to enhance both economic and operational performance within the EH. Compared to scenarios without DRP, both electricity demand during peak hours and natural gas consumption are significantly lower, leading to substantial cost savings. Additionally, the hydrogen storage system contributes approximately 4.83% to the total gas supply within the EH, enhancing its operational efficiency.
A comprehensive sensitivity analysis was conducted to examine the influence of DRP on operational costs and emissions. The findings, depicted in Figure 14, reveal a clear relationship between the percentage of load participation in DRPs and the corresponding reductions in EH costs and emissions. These results underscore the critical role of DRP in optimizing energy management and achieving cost-effective, environmentally sustainable operations in the EH.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Figure 11, indicates that as the percentage of load participation in the DRP increases, the reduction in cost and emissions steadily rises; however, this increase gradually follows a diminishing rate. In the initial stages of participation (0%–10%), the slopes of both curves are steeper, reflecting a more significant impact of the DRP on reducing costs and emissions. Nevertheless, the cost reduction curve (blue) is higher than the emissions reduction curve (red), highlighting the greater effectiveness of the DRP in reducing costs. In the range of 20% to 30% participation, the curves approach saturation, indicating that further increases in load participation have a diminished effect on cost and emissions reduction. Ultimately, the results suggest that the DRP is an effective tool for reducing costs and emissions, but optimizing the level of load participation is essential to achieve maximum efficiency.
• Considering DRP and uncertainties
In the third phase of simulation results analysis, the energy management of the EH integrates both uncertainties and DRP. This approach aims to reflect a more realistic operational environment, incorporating the inherent variability of energy resources and loads alongside the flexibility introduced by DRP. The outcomes of this advanced simulation phase are illustrated in Figure 15, showcasing the pareto fronts derived from the multi-objective optimization algorithms. These Pareto fronts highlight the trade-offs between competing objectives, such as cost minimization and emission reduction, under the combined influence of uncertainties and DRP. The results emphasize the robustness and adaptability of the proposed optimization strategies in achieving an efficient and balanced energy management solution.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
Table 4 provides a detailed summary of the optimal solutions selected from the Pareto fronts generated by the multi-objective optimization algorithms. These solutions are accompanied by a breakdown of the EH operating cost components, offering insights into the cost distribution across various elements, such as electricity procurement, gas usage, and energy conversion processes. This detailed analysis highlights the efficiency of the proposed optimization methods in minimizing overall operational costs while addressing multiple objectives effectively.
Table 4
The best results in the third section of the simulation.
| Optimization algorithm | |||||
| MMOGOA | 975 | 723 | 314 | 2012 | 13.68 |
| MOPSO | 1041 | 708 | 294 | 2041 | 14.18 |
| NSGA-II | 1014 | 754 | 267 | 2035 | 14.07 |
| MOWOA | 985 | 764 | 277 | 2026 | 13.84 |
Considering uncertainties in the EH EMS significantly impacted the performance metrics of the EH, leading to an observable rise in both operational costs and emissions. Specifically, the integration of uncertainties caused operating costs to escalate by 10%, while emissions experienced a 4.38% increase compared to scenarios where uncertainties were ignored. Despite these challenges, the proposed MMOGOA algorithm proved to be the most effective among the tested optimization methods. Under the MMOGOA framework, the EH achieved the lowest operational cost of 2012 cents and an emission level of 13.68 kg. In comparison, the MOPSO algorithm yielded an operating cost of 2041 cents with emissions of 14.18 kg, while the NSGAII algorithm recorded costs of 2035 cents and emissions of 14.07 kg. Similarly, the MOWOA algorithm, though slightly better than MOPSO and NSGAII, still lagged behind MMOGOA with an operating cost of 2026 cents and emissions of 13.87 kg. The increased costs and emissions are attributed to the system’s need to account for unpredictable variations in energy demand and supply, which complicates energy allocation and storage management. Figure 16 highlights the hourly charging patterns of storage units, showcasing how uncertainties influence the utilization of these resources. This demonstrates the robustness of the MMOGOA algorithm in optimizing the EHs performance despite the added complexity of uncertainty, making it a reliable choice for real-world EMS applications.
[figure(s) omitted; refer to PDF]
The results from this phase of the simulations reveal that the storage capacity was used more efficiently compared to previous scenarios. This improvement is largely due to the reduced influence of uncertainties on the energy management of the EH. A key factor contributing to the lower operating costs and emissions observed with the EMS model optimized by the MMOGOA algorithm is its effective management of storage charge levels. As illustrated in Figure 13, there was a significant reduction in the amount of electricity and natural gas purchased from the grid, indicating more efficient utilization of on-site resources. In addition, to further minimize the effects of uncertainties and thereby decrease costs and emissions, hydrogen storage technology was more heavily employed. Also, the hydrogen storage system provided around 4.23% of the total natural gas demand in the EH, showcasing its critical role in balancing energy supply and demand while reducing reliance on external energy sources. This highlights the effectiveness of the MMOGOA-optimized EMS in enhancing energy storage management and promoting a more sustainable and cost-effective EH operation.
5. Conclusion and Future Study
This paper proposes a probabilistic bi-objective EMS model for an EH integrating renewable energy sources (PV systems and WT) with the main grid. The hub configuration comprises a boiler, CHP unit, thermal/EV parking facilities, and hydrogen storage technology. The EMS model simultaneously minimizes operational costs and emissions while incorporating DRPs and addressing uncertainties in energy demand and generation. For optimization, we develop a MMOGOA. The algorithm’s effectiveness is first verified through ZDT benchmark functions, demonstrating superior performance compared to conventional multi-objective optimization methods. The EMS model is evaluated through three scenarios: (1) baseline operation without uncertainties or DRPs, (2) system with DRPs, and (3) system with both DRPs and uncertainties. Simulation results indicate MMOGOA’s consistent superiority across all scenarios. The baseline scenario achieved minimal operating costs and emissions. DRP implementation yielded 18.87% cost reduction and 14.62% emission decrease. While uncertainty introduction increased costs by 10% and emissions by 4.38%, MMOGOA maintained optimal performance. These findings highlight the importance of DRP optimization and uncertainty management in sustainable energy systems. Future research is suggested to explore the resilience and reliability of the EH to further improve its robustness and ensure efficient operation in the face of varying environmental and operational conditions.
Author Contributions
Shahriar Karimian: formal analysis, software, writing – original draft. Majid Moazzami: writing – review and editing, methodology, investigation. Bahador Fani: writing – review and editing, supervision, methodology, investigation. Ghazanfar Shahgholian: writing – review and editing, supervision.
Acknowledgments
The authors have nothing to report.
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