Content area

Abstract

A significant challenge in the accelerated life test (ALT) is the reliance on large sample sizes and multiple stress levels, which results in high costs and long test durations. To address this issue, this paper develops a new reliability assessment method for small-sample ALTs with normal distribution (or lognormal distribution) and censoring. This method enables a high-confidence evaluation of the percentile lifetime (reliable lifetime) under normal operating stress level using censored data from only two accelerated stress levels. Firstly, a relationship is established between the percentile lifetime at normal stress level and the distribution parameters at accelerated stress levels. Subsequently, an initial estimate of the percentile lifetime is obtained from failure data, and its confidence is then refined using a Bayesian update with the nonfailures. Finally, an exact one-sided lower confidence limit (LCL) for the percentile lifetime and reliability is determined. This paper derives an analytical formula for LCLs under Type-II censoring scenarios and further extend the method to accommodate Type-I censored and general incomplete data. The Monte Carlo simulations and case studies show that, the proposed methods significantly reduce the required sample size and testing duration while offering superior theoretical rigor and accuracy than the conventional methods.

Details

1009240
Title
Reliability Assessment for Small-Sample Accelerated Life Tests with Normal Distribution
Author
Publication title
Machines; Basel
Volume
13
Issue
9
First page
850
Number of pages
15
Publication year
2025
Publication date
2025
Publisher
MDPI AG
Place of publication
Basel
Country of publication
Switzerland
e-ISSN
20751702
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
Document type
Journal Article
Publication history
 
 
Online publication date
2025-09-14
Milestone dates
2025-07-30 (Received); 2025-09-12 (Accepted)
Publication history
 
 
   First posting date
14 Sep 2025
ProQuest document ID
3254578645
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/scholarly-journals/reliability-assessment-small-sample-accelerated/docview/3254578645/se-2?accountid=208611
Copyright
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Last updated
2025-09-26
Database
ProQuest One Academic