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Background
Seasonal influenza virus leads to more than half a million deaths each year worldwide. Due to its capacity to evolve, it is considered the most likely pathogen to cause a future pandemic. Antiviral treatment options are currently limited, with the most widely used drugs being neuraminidase inhibitors and the cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor baloxavir marboxil. In adult hospitalized patients, due to the lack of placebo-controlled trials, current available evidence on antiviral treatment benefits is essentially based on observational studies. A placebo-controlled clinical trial is needed to fill this knowledge gap.
Methods
This is an investigator-initiated, randomized, triple-blind, placebo-controlled, superiority, multi-center trial to assess the clinical efficacy of single-dose baloxavir in decreasing time to clinical improvement in adult immunocompetent patients hospitalized with influenza. Patients (n = 484) with confirmed, severe infection (NEWS2 score ≥ 4) will be recruited over three influenza seasons in four large Swiss hospitals. Primary outcome: time to clinical improvement (in hours), calculated from treatment administration until NEWS2 score ≤ 2 maintained for 24 h or until hospital discharge, whichever comes first. The primary outcome is calculated in all patients independently of the duration of symptoms at treatment administration, as well as in participants treated early (<72 h) post onset of symptoms. The main secondary outcomes are the risk of serious influenza complications, length of hospitalization, and difference in viral load at D3 post-treatment administration.
Discussion
This trial’s results, whether positive or negative, will impact clinical guidance. If baloxavir’s clinical benefit is demonstrated, a single-dose pill would be the easiest implementable treatment option in case of large seasonal outbreaks or a new influenza pandemic. If a clear treatment benefit is not shown, antiviral treatment administration in the hospitalized patient population could be reconsidered to prevent unnecessary medication, lower the risk of resistance development linked to treatment overuse, and ultimately save unnecessary treatment-related expenses.
Trial registration
ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06653569. Registered on October 22, 2024,
Details
1 Geneva University Hospitals, Center for Emerging Viral Diseases, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812)
2 University of Geneva, Clinical Research Centre, Faculty of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.8591.5) (ISNI:0000 0001 2175 2154)
3 Geneva University Hospitals, Department of Diagnostics, Laboratory of Virology, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812)
4 University of Geneva, Department of Pathology and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, Center of Vaccinology, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.8591.5) (ISNI:0000 0001 2175 2154)
5 Geneva University Hospitals, Department of Medical Specialties, Division of Infectious Diseases, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812); Geneva University Hospitals, Department of Rehabilitation and Geriatrics, Division of Internal Medicine for the Aged, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812)
6 Geneva University Hospitals, Department of Medical Specialties, Division of Infectious Diseases, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812)
7 Geneva University Hospitals, Division of Internal Medicine, Department of Medical Specialties, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812)
8 Geneva University Hospitals, Emergency Department, Geneva, Switzerland (GRID:grid.150338.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0721 9812)
9 University Hospital Zurich, Emergency Department, Zurich, Switzerland (GRID:grid.412004.3) (ISNI:0000 0004 0478 9977)
10 Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne University Medical School, Department of Internal Medicine, Lausanne, Switzerland (GRID:grid.9851.5) (ISNI:0000 0001 2165 4204)
11 Lugano Regional Hospital EOC, University of Geneva and University of Southern Switzerland, Division of Infectious Diseases, Lugano, Switzerland (GRID:grid.29078.34) (ISNI:0000 0001 2203 2861)
12 Lausanne University Hospital, Department of Infectious Diseases and Center for Organ Transplantation, Lausanne, Switzerland (GRID:grid.8515.9) (ISNI:0000 0001 0423 4662)
13 Mendrisio Regional Hospital EOC, Department of Internal Medicine, Mendrisio, Switzerland (GRID:grid.8515.9)
14 University Hospital Zurich, Department of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, Zurich, Switzerland (GRID:grid.412004.3) (ISNI:0000 0004 0478 9977)