Comparison of the Applicability of Mainstream Objective Circulation Type Classification Methods in China

Abstract

Circulation type classification (CTC) is an important method in atmospheric sciences, which reveals the relationship between atmospheric circulation and regional weather and climate. Accurate circulation classification helps to improve weather forecasting accuracy and supports climate change research. China has complex topography and significant spatiotemporal variability in its circulation patterns, making the study of circulation type classification in this region highly significant. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of several mainstream objective CTC methods in the China region. We applied methods including T-mode principal component analysis (PCT), Ward linkage, K-means, and Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to classify the sea-level pressure daily mean fields from 1993 to 2023 in the study area, and compared the classification results in terms of internal metrics, continuity, seasonal variation, separability of related meteorological variables (e.g., temperature, precipitation), and stability to spatiotemporal resolution. The results show that each method has its advantages in different contexts, with the K-means method showing the best overall performance. Additionally, an optimized approach combining PCT and K-means is proposed.