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Abstract

This paper presents a Monte Carlo simulation-based approach for solving stochastic two-stage bond portfolio optimization problems. The main objective is to optimize the cost of the bond portfolio while making decisions on bond purchases, holdings, and sales under random market conditions such as interest rate fluctuations and liabilities. The proposed algorithm identifies the number of randomly generated scenarios required to convert the stochastic problem into a deterministic one, subsequently solving it as a Mixed-Integer Linear Program. The practical relevance of this research is shown through an application of the proposed method to a real-world bond market. The results indicate that the proposed approach successfully minimizes costs and meets liabilities, providing a robust solution for bond portfolio optimization.

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1009240
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Title
A Monte Carlo-Based Framework for Two-Stage Stochastic Programming: Application to Bond Portfolio Optimization
Author
Hissah, Albaqami 1 ; Mrad Mehdi 2 ; Gharbi Anis 3   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Subasi Munevver Mine 4   VIAFID ORCID Logo 

 Department of Mathematics and Systems Engineering, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL 32901, USA; [email protected], Department of Mathematics, College of Science, Turabah University College, Taif University, Turbah 29731-9086, Saudi Arabia 
 Essect School of Business, University of Tunis, Tunis 1089, Tunisia; [email protected], Business Analytics and Decision Making Lab, Tunis Business School, University of Tunis, Bir El Kassaa 2059, Tunisia 
 Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia; [email protected] 
 Department of Mathematics and Systems Engineering, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL 32901, USA; [email protected] 
Publication title
Entropy; Basel
Volume
27
Issue
11
First page
1118
Number of pages
28
Publication year
2025
Publication date
2025
Publisher
MDPI AG
Place of publication
Basel
Country of publication
Switzerland
Publication subject
e-ISSN
10994300
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
Document type
Journal Article
Publication history
 
 
Online publication date
2025-10-30
Milestone dates
2025-03-31 (Received); 2025-10-24 (Accepted)
Publication history
 
 
   First posting date
30 Oct 2025
ProQuest document ID
3275511986
Document URL
https://www.proquest.com/scholarly-journals/monte-carlo-based-framework-two-stage-stochastic/docview/3275511986/se-2?accountid=208611
Copyright
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Last updated
2025-11-26
Database
ProQuest One Academic