Abstract

Today East Asia harbors many “relict” plant species whose ranges were much larger during the Paleogene-Neogene and earlier. The ecological and climatic conditions suitable for these relict species have not been identified. Here, we map the abundance and distribution patterns of relict species, showing high abundance in the humid subtropical/warm-temperate forest regions. We further use Ecological Niche Modeling to show that these patterns align with maps of climate refugia, and we predict species’ chances of persistence given the future climatic changes expected for East Asia. By 2070, potentially suitable areas with high richness of relict species will decrease, although the areas as a whole will probably expand. We identify areas in southwestern China and northern Vietnam as long-term climatically stable refugia likely to preserve ancient lineages, highlighting areas that could be prioritized for conservation of such species.

Details

Title
Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia
Author
Tang, Cindy Q 1 ; Matsui, Tetsuya 2 ; Ohashi, Haruka 2 ; Yi-Fei, Dong 1 ; Arata Momohara 3 ; Herrando-Moraira, Sonia 4 ; Qian, Shenhua 5 ; Yang, Yongchuan 5   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Ohsawa, Masahiko 6 ; Hong Truong Luu 7 ; Grote, Paul J 8 ; Krestov, Pavel V 9   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; LePage, Ben 10 ; Werger, Marinus 11 ; Robertson, Kevin 12 ; Hobohm, Carsten 13 ; Chong-Yun, Wang 1 ; Ming-Chun, Peng 1 ; Chen, Xi 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Huan-Chong, Wang 14 ; Wen-Hua, Su 1 ; Zhou, Rui 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Li, Shuaifeng 15 ; Long-Yuan, He 16 ; Yan, Kai 17 ; Ming-Yuan, Zhu 17 ; Hu, Jun 18 ; Ruo-Han, Yang 19 ; Wang-Jun, Li 20 ; Tomita, Mizuki 21 ; Zhao-Lu, Wu 1 ; Hai-Zhong, Yan 1 ; Zhang, Guang-Fei 1 ; He, Hai 22 ; Si-Rong, Yi 23 ; Gong, Hede 24 ; Song, Kun 25 ; Ding, Song 26 ; Xiao-Shuang, Li 27 ; Zhi-Ying, Zhang 1 ; Peng-Bin, Han 1 ; Li-Qin, Shen 1 ; Huang, Diao-Shun 1 ; Luo, Kang 28 ; López-Pujol, Jordi 4 

 Institute of Ecology and Geobotany, Yunnan University, Kunming, China 
 Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Forest Research and Management Organization, Ibaraki-ken, Japan 
 Graduate School of Horticulture, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan 
 Botanic Institute of Barcelona (IBB, CSIC-ICUB), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain 
 Key Laboratory of Three Gorges Reservoir Region’s Eco-Environment, Ministry of Education, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China 
 The Nature Conservancy Society of Japan, Tokyo, Japan 
 Southern Institute of Ecology, Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam 
 Northeastern Research Institute of Petrified Wood and Mineral Resources, Nakhon Ratchasima Rajabhat University, Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand 
 Botanical Garden-Institute FEB RAS, Vladivostok, Russia 
10  Pacific Gas and Electric Company, San Ramon, CA, USA; The Academy of Natural Science, Philadelphia, PA, USA 
11  Plant Ecology & Biodiversity, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands 
12  Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy, Tallahassee, FL, USA 
13  Interdisciplinary Institute of environmental, Social and Human Studies, University of Flensburg, Flensburg, Germany 
14  Institute of Botany, Yunnan University, Kunming, Yunnan, China 
15  Research Institute of Resource Insects, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Kunming, China 
16  Kunming Institute of Forestry Exploration and Design, The State Forestry Administration of China, Kunming, China 
17  Centre for Mountain Ecosystem Studies, Kunming Institute of Botany-CAS, Kunming, China 
18  CAS Key Laboratory of Mountain Ecological Restoration and Bioresource Utilization & Ecological Restoration and Biodiversity Conservation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Institute of Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, China 
19  Kunming Agrometeorological Station of Yunnan Province, Kunming, China 
20  Guizhou University of Engineering Science, Bijie, China 
21  Tokyo University of Information Sciences, Chiba, Japan 
22  College of Life Sciences, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing, China 
23  Chongqing Three Gorges Medical College, Chongqing, China 
24  School of Geography, Southwest China Forestry University, Kunming, China 
25  School of Ecological and Environmental Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China 
26  Kunming University of Science and Technology, Chenggong, China 
27  Yunnan Academy of Forestry, Kunming, China 
28  Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ailaoshan Station for Subtropical Forest Ecosystem Studies, National Forest Ecosystem Research Station at Ailaoshan, Kunming, Yunnan, China 
Pages
1-14
Publication year
2018
Publication date
Oct 2018
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group
e-ISSN
20411723
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2125648248
Copyright
© 2018. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.