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Abstract
Concerns raised at a 2010 Bone Summit held for National Aeronautics and Space Administration Johnson Space Center led experts in finite element (FE) modeling for hip fracture prediction to propose including hip load capacity in the standards for astronaut skeletal health. The current standards for bone are based upon areal bone mineral density (aBMD) measurements by dual X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and an adaptation of aBMD cut-points for fragility fractures. Task Group members recommended (i) a minimum permissible outcome limit (POL) for post-mission hip bone load capacity, (ii) use of FE hip load capacity to further screen applicants to astronaut corps, (iii) a minimum pre-flight standard for a second long-duration mission, and (iv) a method for assessing which post-mission physical activities might increase an astronaut’s risk for fracture after return. QCT-FE models of eight astronaut were analyzed using nonlinear single-limb stance (NLS) and posterolateral fall (NLF) loading configurations. QCT data from the Age Gene/Environment Susceptibility (AGES) Reykjavik cohort and the Rochester Epidemiology Project were analyzed using identical modeling procedures. The 75th percentile of NLS hip load capacity for fractured elderly males of the AGES cohort (9537N) was selected as a post-mission POL. The NLF model, in combination with a Probabilistic Risk Assessment tool, was used to assess the likelihood of exceeding the hip load capacity during post-flight activities. There was no recommendation to replace the current DXA-based standards. However, FE estimation of hip load capacity appeared more meaningful for younger, physically active astronauts and was recommended to supplement aBMD cut-points.
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1 University of Calgary, Department of Radiology, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Canada (GRID:grid.22072.35) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 7697); University of Calgary, McCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, Calgary, Canada (GRID:grid.22072.35) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 7697); University of Calgary, Biomedical Engineering Graduate Program, Calgary, Canada (GRID:grid.22072.35) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 7697)
2 Mayo Clinic, Division of Epidemiology, Rochester, USA (GRID:grid.66875.3a) (ISNI:0000 0004 0459 167X); Mayo Clinic, Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Rochester, USA (GRID:grid.66875.3a) (ISNI:0000 0004 0459 167X)
3 Ryerson University, Department of Physics, Toronto, Canada (GRID:grid.68312.3e) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 9422); University of Toronto, Centre of Excellence in Skeletal Health Assessment, Joint Department of Medical Imaging, Toronto, Canada (GRID:grid.17063.33) (ISNI:0000 0001 2157 2938); University Health Network, Osteoporosis Program, Toronto, Canada (GRID:grid.231844.8) (ISNI:0000 0004 0474 0428)
4 University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Department of Imaging Physics, Houston, USA (GRID:grid.240145.6) (ISNI:0000 0001 2291 4776)
5 University of California, Department of Radiological Sciences, Irvine, USA (GRID:grid.266093.8) (ISNI:0000 0001 0668 7243); University of California, Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Irvine, USA (GRID:grid.266093.8) (ISNI:0000 0001 0668 7243); University of California, Department of Biomedical Engineering, Irvine, USA (GRID:grid.266093.8) (ISNI:0000 0001 0668 7243)
6 University of California, San Francisco, Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, San Francisco, USA (GRID:grid.266102.1) (ISNI:0000 0001 2297 6811)
7 Southwest Research Institute, Musculoskeletal Biomechanics Section, Materials Engineering Department, San Antonio, USA (GRID:grid.201894.6) (ISNI:0000 0001 0321 4125)
8 Oregon Health Sciences University, Bone and Mineral Unit, Portland, USA (GRID:grid.5288.7) (ISNI:0000 0000 9758 5690)
9 University of Calgary, Department of Radiology, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Canada (GRID:grid.22072.35) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 7697); McCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada (GRID:grid.22072.35) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 7697)
10 NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center, Division of Biomedical Research and Environmental Sciences, Houston, USA (GRID:grid.419085.1) (ISNI:0000 0004 0613 2864)