1 Introduction
In recent decades rapid economic development and the acceleration of urbanization and industrialization have led to many environmental problems in China, such as increased atmospheric aerosol concentrations, water pollution, and soil contamination
Increased aerosol concentration modifies local urban climate by decreasing solar radiation received at the surface and thus decreasing near-surface air temperatures , turbulent heat fluxes, and boundary layer heights but increasing incoming longwave radiation emissions from the polluted atmosphere . Increased absorption of radiation by the polluted atmosphere changes the vertical temperature profile, leading to more stable conditions . With reduced turbulence and mixing, the boundary layer height is lower , which increases the near-surface pollutant concentrations. With less energy available at the surface, because of the attenuated incoming solar radiation, evaporation may be reduced, modifying other water balance terms. In addition, haze can increase the condensation nuclei and therefore precipitation. The higher surface runoff rates due to the modified water balance may increase pollutant loads in urban water bodies, by flushing pollutants from contaminated surfaces. However, the linkage between increased aerosol concentrations and the urban hydrological cycle has not yet been studied at the local scale, despite its potential contribution to deterioration of the urban aquatic environment. This may be because of a lack of high-resolution meteorological and/or hydrological observations for detailed analyses and modelling from regions with heavy air pollution episodes. Global reanalysis products could provide the essential variables to enable modelling where necessary observations are unavailable or have too coarse a temporal resolution . A number of reanalysis products are available, but to the best of our knowledge none have been properly evaluated in highly polluted urban environments. Poor air quality is the result of several factors, including pollutant emissions, atmospheric transport, atmospheric chemistry, and meteorological conditions. Therefore the accuracy of meteorological variables in reanalysis products is essential to be able to study the effects of pollutants on the local hydrological cycle correctly.
The aims of this study are (1) to evaluate the 2006 to 2009 WATCH Forcing Data ERA-Interim
In this study the changes in the hydrological cycle are assumed to be caused mainly by the changes in the surface energy balance due to the attenuated incoming solar radiation and the changes in the precipitation rates provided by the reanalysis data, which further modifies the water balance. The effects of, for example, a vapour pressure deficit and changes in soil water storage (i.e. availability of water) are not discussed.
2 Hydrological modelling
The hydrological modelling is conducted using the Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme
Table 1
Overall model parameter values used in model runs in Beijing. See Table in the Appendix for notation and and for data sources.
0.18 | 0.0099 W m K (capita ha | 0.13 | 100 mm | ||||
0.85 | 0.0102 W m K (capita ha) | 0.7 | SDD | ||||
0.99 | mm | 30 C | C | ||||
100 kg m | 2.22 mm K | 0.05 mm | 5 C | ||||
400 kg m | 0.78 mm d | GDD | 300 | 11 C | |||
0.006 | mm | 0 mm | 18.2 C | ||||
0.0367 | 0.67 mm K | 1200 W m | 2.2 C | ||||
0.25 | 0.24 mm d | 0.0005 mm s | 55 C | ||||
0.6 | 0.05 mm | 9999 s m | C | ||||
0.2 mm | res | 10 mm | 300 s | ||||
0.0016 mm W h | DaysSinceRain | 28 | res | 0.25 mm h | |||
0.07 mm C h | 3.5 | 1.0 mm | |||||
0.308 W m (capita ha) | 200 W m | 5.56 |
The study area is a 1 km radius circle around the 325 m high Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) meteorological measurement tower (39.97 N, 116.37 E) located in the north-western part of Beijing, China, in Haidian District . This circle approximates the source area of the eddy covariance (EC) measurements at height 47 m used to evaluate SUEWS model performance. This area is a densely built (70 % impervious surfaces) urban area
The population density is estimated from a 1 km gridded population dataset for 2010 . The grid population densities are weighted by their areal fractions within the study area. There has been no further urbanization at the study site , and therefore population density and surface characteristics are assumed to stay constant throughout the study period.
The WFDEI meteorological forcing data are derived for hydrological modelling purposes from the ERA-Interim reanalysis product via sequential interpolation to half-degree resolution with 3 h temporal resolution. Bias correction with quantile mapping (BCQM) is applied to downscale the daily precipitation totals . The 5 min time-step calculations are disaggregated in a non-linear manner to provide realistic precipitation patterns from coarse input data (Table ). The air temperature () and pressure are adjusted to simulation height using the environmental lapse rate ( K km) and the hypsometric equation . The WFDEI data are downscaled from 3 h to 5 min temporal resolution of the model time step within the model .
The WFDEI reanalysis data in Beijing are evaluated for 2006–2009 using observed meteorological variables, including hourly , relative humidity (RH), and incoming solar radiation () measured on the IAP tower at the 47 m level (Table ) and daily precipitation () 10 km south-west of the tower . The same years are used to evaluate SUEWS against the IAP EC measurements from the same 47 m level. The 47 m level of the IAP tower is in the roughness sublayer for wind directions mainly from the south-west and north-west . Therefore the wind directions with buildings over 50 m high (314–3, 40–45, 112–128, 160–243) are filtered out from the EC observations (34 % of the data).
Table 2Instruments used on the 325 m IAP tower (47 m level; ).
Physical quantity | Instrument | Model |
---|---|---|
Three-dimensional wind velocity | Three-dimensional sonic anemometer | CSAT-3 |
density | Infrared gas analyser | LI-7500 |
Incoming solar radiation | Radiometer | CNR1 |
Temperature | Thermometer | Developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics |
Humidity | Hygrometer | Developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics |
Wind speed and direction | Cup anemometers and vanes | Developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics |
SUEWS is run for 2000 to 2013, with the first year as a spin-up period, leaving years 2001–2013 for the analysis. The hydrological cycle is analysed during the thermal summer (April–September) as the wintertime in Beijing is extremely dry. For example in 2013 the precipitation that occurred between October and March only covers 6 % (33.7 mm) of the annual precipitation . Due to a difference in behaviour in summer and winter months, the two periods should be analysed separately, and this would leave an insufficient amount of data for statistical analysis in winter months. The polluted and non-polluted days in the studied years are separated based on aerosol optical depth (AOD; 440 nm) obtained from the AERONET station located at the study site.
Statistical methods
The pollution levels are obtained by dividing the AOD observations from the whole study period (2001–2013) into four quantiles (i.e. roughly equal amount of data in all of the air quality classes), i.e. extremely polluted air (), polluted air (0.438–1), slightly polluted (0.203–0.438), and fairly clean air ().
The hydrological analysis is done by stratifying the results by the different pollution levels described above and different percentiles of daily precipitation from the study period (2001–2013). The hydrological components are divided into four ranges of daily precipitation percentiles (0–25, 0–50, 0–75, 0–100) including dry days. Statistical analysis of the results of (stratified already by different percentiles) includes wet days only, but the other variables analysed also include the dry days.
Table 3Comparison for 2006–2009 of WFDEI meteorological variables with observations, stratified by pollution level (extremely polluted air (), polluted air (0.438–1), slightly polluted air (0.203–0.438), and fairly clean air (); see “Statistical methods” for details). Data are hourly – relative humidity (RH, %), air temperature (, C), and incoming solar radiation (, W m) – and daily – precipitation (, mm d). The superscript “uc” indicates uncorrected variables. For explanation see “Statistical methods”.
Variable | Level of pollution | RMSE | nRMSE | MBE | nMBE | MAE | nMAE | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WFDEI | RH | Extremely | 1557 | 0.72 | 13.73 | 0.82 | 10.83 | 0.23 | ||
Polluted | 1748 | 0.72 | 13.00 | 0.75 | 9.90 | 0.26 | ||||
Slightly | 1523 | 0.74 | 11.45 | 0.70 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 8.34 | 0.28 | ||
Clean | 1290 | 0.68 | 10.21 | 0.81 | 3.05 | 0.11 | 7.84 | 0.29 | ||
Extremely | 1557 | 0.94 | 5.63 | 0.56 | 4.25 | 0.25 | 4.58 | 0.27 | ||
Polluted | 1748 | 0.93 | 5.88 | 0.54 | 3.94 | 0.25 | 4.48 | 0.29 | ||
Slightly | 1523 | 0.95 | 4.90 | 0.43 | 3.21 | 0.23 | 3.90 | 0.28 | ||
Clean | 1290 | 0.97 | 4.47 | 0.37 | 2.96 | 0.26 | 3.65 | 0.33 | ||
Extremely | 70 | 0.38 | 13.23 | 1.06 | 7.05 | 0.90 | ||||
Polluted | 69 | 0.68 | 16.20 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 0.42 | 8.39 | 1.14 | ||
Slightly | 53 | 0.55 | 10.35 | 1.00 | 6.32 | 0.71 | ||||
Clean | 47 | 0.67 | 10.19 | 0.77 | 5.82 | 0.69 | ||||
Extremely | 82 | 0.42 | 11.15 | 0.95 | 5.94 | 0.83 | ||||
Polluted | 80 | 0.73 | 9.78 | 0.85 | 1.34 | 0.20 | 6.10 | 0.92 | ||
Slightly | 62 | 0.49 | 10.08 | 0.95 | 6.20 | 0.68 | ||||
Clean | 54 | 0.66 | 10.04 | 0.80 | 5.19 | 0.70 | ||||
Extremely | 1557 | 0.94 | 70.08 | 0.33 | 8.63 | 44.46 | 0.13 | |||
Polluted | 1748 | 0.96 | 68.86 | 0.27 | 13.23 | 40.98 | 0.10 | |||
Slightly | 1523 | 0.96 | 72.83 | 0.27 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 40.82 | 0.09 | ||
Clean | 1290 | 0.96 | 75.24 | 0.28 | 43.08 | 0.11 | ||||
Extremely | 1557 | 0.90 | 132.88 | 0.63 | 93.28 | 0.28 | 108.95 | 0.32 | ||
Polluted | 1748 | 0.93 | 98.08 | 0.39 | 32.65 | 0.08 | 73.94 | 0.19 | ||
Slightly | 1523 | 0.93 | 100.29 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 73.21 | 0.17 | |||
Clean | 1290 | 0.94 | 97.42 | 0.36 | 72.45 | 0.19 |
Box plots (Figs. , , and in the Appendix) give the median and the interquartile range (IQR) with whiskers of 1.5 IQR. The box plots have notches which indicate the 95 % confidence levels.
The linear correlations among different variables in Tables and are analysed using common statistical tools, including the root mean square error (RMSE), RMSE normalized with standard deviation of observations (nRMSE), mean bias error (MBE), MBE normalized with mean of observations (nMBE), mean absolute error (MAE), MAE normalized with mean of observations (nMAE), and Pearson's correlation coefficient (). The regression lines have been calculated for scatter plots (Figs. and ) after applying LOWESS smoothing . The performance of model runs and WFDEI variables is evaluated using a diagram (Fig. ).
Figure 1Observed hourly incoming solar radiation () normalized with clear-sky radiation () against aerosol optical depth (AOD) observations for different hours of the day (a–l) for thermal summer months (April–September) at the 325 m IAP meteorological tower (47 m level; ). Winter months in Fig. . Linear regression (red line) is fit after LOWESS smoothing is applied for the scatter. See “Statistical methods” for more details.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
3 Results3.1 Evaluation of WFDEI data in polluted urban environment
Although extensive evaluation of WFDEI data has been undertaken
Figure 2
As Fig. but for the uncorrected WFDEI incoming solar radiation ().
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Haze is known to attenuate in highly polluted environments, but this attenuation is not properly accounted for in the WFDEI data (Figs. and , Table ) because sometimes haze may be from local emissions and because of secondary nucleation. Overestimation of hourly against the observed values increases with the level of pollution (nMBE: , 0.00, 0.08, 0.28; fairly clean, slightly polluted, polluted, and extremely polluted air, respectively; see “Statistical methods” for details). Thus hourly is corrected using observations between 2006 and 2009 from the 325 m IAP measurement tower separately for thermal summer (April–September) and winter (October–March) due to slightly different behaviour (Figs. and ). First LOWESS smoothing is applied to observed normalized with the clear-sky radiation (determined from , where is the solar constant (1367 W m) and is the solar zenith angle) as a function of AOD. Second, regression coefficients for different times of the day are determined (Fig. ). Before corrections are applied to WFDEI data, the is downscaled from 3 to 1 h temporal resolution . The corrections are made by fitting the hourly data for the whole study period (2001–2013) using regression coefficients when AOD observations are available (). The developed correction increases the accuracy substantially during haze events, bringing the more polluted levels closer to the cleaner levels (nMBE: , 0.00, , and from clean to extremely polluted conditions; before correction nMBE: , 0.00, 0.08, and 0.28).
Figure 3Quantile–quantile plot of uncorrected WFDEI precipitation and WFDEI precipitation bias corrected using quantile mapping (BCQM; ) versus observed precipitation (1980–2012).
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
The height-corrected correlates with observations well (), and the nMBE is low (up to 0.26; Table ). The nMBE of RH is also low (from to 0.11) and the correlation coefficient reasonably good (). Thus, these reanalysis variables are assumed to already include the effect of haze.
The WFDEI precipitation is higher than observed for days with mm d of precipitation but too low for higher ( mm d) daily rainfall rates (Fig. ). After the BCQM correction the correspondence with observations is generally improved (Fig. ), as found previously in Vancouver and London . However, statistics (Table ) during extremely polluted and polluted levels become slightly poorer (: from 0.42 to 0.38 and 0.73 to 0.68; nRMSE: from 0.95 to 1.06 and 0.85 to 1.33, respectively), whereas they mainly improve with slightly polluted and fairly clean pollution levels (: from 0.49 to 0.55 and 0.66 to 0.67; nRMSE: from 0.95 to 1.00 and 0.80 to 0.77, respectively). It is expected that the correction affects mostly cleaner conditions since most of the larger daily totals of precipitation occur during periods of slightly polluted and fairly clean air (Fig. ).
Figure 4Box plots of daily precipitation (), evapotranspiration (), drainage (), and runoff coefficient () stratified by different pollution level (extremely polluted air, polluted air, slightly polluted air, and fairly clean air) and daily precipitation percentiles (rows) from low precipitation (0–25) to all precipitation events (0–100) for 2001–2013. The notches indicate the 95 % confidence levels. Outliers are not shown. The amount of data used for each box is shown in Table . See “Statistical methods” for details.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Figure 5Taylor diagram for hourly (a) relative humidity (RH), (b) air temperature (), (c) incoming solar radiation (), and daily (d) precipitation () with corrected WFDEI data assessed with IAP observations stratified by air quality and hourly modelled (e) sensible heat flux () and (f) latent heat flux () against eddy covariance IAP observations from a 47 m height for 2006–2009. The radial axis is normalized standard deviation, the angular axis is the correlation coefficient, and brown dashed lines indicate normalized root mean square error (nRMSE). See “Statistical methods” for details. Note scales differ between plots.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Table 4Number of days of data () in each Fig. box plot stratified by pollution level (extremely polluted air, polluted air, slightly polluted air, and fairly clean air) and daily precipitation percentiles (columns) from low precipitation (0–25) to all precipitation events (0–100). See “Statistical methods” for details.
Variable | Level of pollution | Precipitation percentiles | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–25 | 0–50 | 0–75 | 0–100 | ||
Extremely | 65 | 110 | 152 | 175 | |
Polluted | 36 | 62 | 90 | 113 | |
Sightly | 21 | 42 | 55 | 70 | |
Clean | 8 | 19 | 33 | 46 | |
Extremely | 458 | 503 | 545 | 568 | |
Polluted | 386 | 412 | 440 | 463 | |
Slightly | 280 | 301 | 314 | 329 | |
Clean | 148 | 159 | 173 | 186 | |
Extremely | 457 | 502 | 544 | 567 | |
Polluted | 377 | 403 | 431 | 454 | |
Slightly | 270 | 291 | 304 | 319 | |
Clean | 145 | 156 | 170 | 183 | |
Extremely | 94 | 132 | 174 | 197 | |
Polluted | 68 | 87 | 115 | 138 | |
Slightly | 41 | 60 | 73 | 88 | |
Clean | 17 | 27 | 40 | 52 |
The corrected and other meteorological variables correspond well with observations in all air quality levels except for , which still has substantial biases, even after the correction (Fig. , Table ).
3.1.1 Meteorological conditions during hazeHaze events in Beijing typically occur with southerly winds, which bring warm and humid air masses from the south
Figure 6
Average meteorological conditions of the pollution event days (, day 0), 5 d before (days to ) and 5 d after (days 1 to 5) in 2001–2013. Daily averages () of aerosol optical depth (AOD), air temperature (), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed () and daily cumulative values of observed precipitation () and modelled surface runoff (), evapotranspiration (), irrigation (), and the runoff coefficient ().
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Meteorological conditions during haze events are well represented in the corrected WFDEI dataset. Figure shows the average daily meteorological conditions of all the days when (, day 0), 5 d before and 5 d after for different WFDEI meteorological variables in 2001–2013. When AOD increases in the extremely polluted conditions (from 0.99 on day to 1.82 on day 0), RH and also increase (from 55.1 % and 22.5 C on day % to 56.0 % and 24.0 C on day 0), and and decrease (from 1.8 m s and 2.5 mm d on day to 1.8 m s and 1.0 mm d on day 0). The correct description of meteorological conditions during haze events makes the study of water balance during different pollution levels possible using the WFDEI data.
3.2 Evaluation of the SUEWS model in a polluted urban environmentSUEWS model performance is relatively independent of haze levels as its effects on local meteorological conditions are included in the model input variables , , , and RH. As the incoming longwave radiation () emitted by the sky is calculated from and RH, which have a positive correlation with the level of pollution in Beijing
Table 5
Comparison for 2006–2009 of model results with observations, stratified by pollution level (extremely polluted air (), polluted air (0.438–1), slightly polluted air (0.203–0.438), and fairly clean air ()). Data are hourly: sensible heat flux (, W m) and latent heat flux (, W m). The superscript “uc” indicates uncorrected variables. See “Statistical methods” for details.
Model results | Variable | Level of pollution | RMSE | nRMSE | MBE | nMBE | MAE | nMAE | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Extremely | 848 | 0.74 | 62.27 | 1.33 | 49.76 | 1.03 | 52.58 | 1.09 | ||
Polluted | 990 | 0.78 | 69.01 | 1.23 | 55.80 | 1.06 | 59.14 | 1.13 | ||
Slightly | 896 | 0.80 | 73.87 | 1.05 | 56.71 | 0.77 | 62.09 | 0.84 | ||
Clean | 837 | 0.79 | 57.80 | 0.83 | 36.32 | 0.48 | 47.34 | 0.62 | ||
Extremely | 848 | 0.69 | 94.85 | 2.02 | 82.37 | 1.70 | 84.75 | 1.75 | ||
Polluted | 990 | 0.72 | 84.36 | 1.51 | 69.52 | 1.32 | 74.31 | 1.42 | ||
Slightly | 896 | 0.75 | 83.29 | 1.19 | 65.48 | 0.88 | 71.56 | 0.97 | ||
Clean | 837 | 0.74 | 63.88 | 0.91 | 41.17 | 0.54 | 52.67 | 0.69 | ||
Extremely | 850 | 0.73 | 38.10 | 0.81 | 15.36 | 0.38 | 27.27 | 0.67 | ||
Polluted | 995 | 0.76 | 41.65 | 0.76 | 11.07 | 0.23 | 27.66 | 0.58 | ||
Slightly | 915 | 0.76 | 36.80 | 0.67 | 24.39 | 0.46 | ||||
Clean | 883 | 0.84 | 33.97 | 0.58 | 23.62 | 0.38 | ||||
Extremely | 850 | 0.68 | 43.56 | 0.93 | 18.86 | 0.46 | 31.66 | 0.78 | ||
Polluted | 995 | 0.71 | 44.74 | 0.82 | 10.20 | 0.21 | 29.47 | 0.62 | ||
Slightly | 915 | 0.74 | 38.50 | 0.70 | 26.42 | 0.49 | ||||
Clean | 883 | 0.83 | 35.43 | 0.60 | 25.53 | 0.41 |
After the above corrections are made to the WFDEI data, the model performance is improved (Table ) and SUEWS simulates well (, nRMSE: 0.58 to 0.81 from clean to extremely polluted conditions), and the results during different air quality levels are generally comparable to each other (Fig. , Table ). Also the modelled sensible heat flux () is reasonably good (, nRMSE: 0.83 to 1.33 from clean to extremely polluted conditions), overestimating the daytime values slightly. A similar overestimation has been observed with other urban local-scale models used in Beijing
Comparison of for different pollutant levels finds that haze attenuates by 167 W m (medians of midday of fairly clean conditions and extremely polluted conditions; Fig. ). This reduces the surface energy availability and sensible heat fluxes . In addition, absorbed by the heavily polluted layer changes the vertical temperature profile, leading to an increased stability, which reduces turbulence and mixing and therefore also the boundary layer height . With less energy available at the surface, evaporation decreases by 0.42 mm d (daily median of fairly clean compared to extremely polluted conditions; Fig. ). Thus with the same precipitation rate, more water would be stored at the surface or in the soil or directed to surface runoff, especially during the smaller precipitation intensities associated with more polluted levels (Fig. ). The drainage is decreased by 0.19 mm d, and the runoff coefficient (, where is irrigation) is increased by 0.047 based on the same comparison of daily medians for the 0–25 percentile daily precipitation (Fig. ). This is because for the most polluted days with the lowest precipitation (0–25 percentiles) is slightly larger (0.07 mm d) and is the lowest (1.69 mm day), resulting in being largest (median 0.097), whereas the cleaner conditions are substantially lower (0.039–0.049) (Fig. ). As higher daily precipitation percentiles are included, the higher amount of during the fairly clean conditions starts to dominate. Even though the median during extremely polluted conditions is higher than during other polluted levels (polluted and slightly polluted conditions) in all of the precipitation classes, during fairly clean air starts to be equal to the extreme haze conditions during days with precipitation of 0–75 percentiles (: 0.13, 0.08, 0.08, and 0.17 for extremely polluted, polluted, slightly polluted, and fairly clean air, respectively) and exceeds extreme haze conditions when all the percentiles of precipitation are included (0.16, 0.10, 0.10, and 0.30 from extremely polluted to fairly clean conditions).
Figure 7
Box plots of (a) midday WFDEI incoming solar radiation () and (b) modelled daily mean incoming longwave radiation () stratified by different pollution level (extremely polluted air, polluted air, slightly polluted, and fairly clean air) for 2001–2013. See “Statistical methods” for details.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
4 Discussion of broader impactsBeijing urban top soil is heavily polluted in gardens, on roadsides, and in residential areas
The increase in surface runoff during high haze conditions is quite small (Fig. ) and may not contribute significantly to urban flooding. However, the poorest surface runoff water quality is associated with the first flush of runoff ; thus the days with increased runoff may have poorer water quality. The irrigation of urban green areas might also have a similar effect by flushing the pollutants regularly from the surfaces. The flush of pollutants from contaminated surfaces to urban water bodies as surface runoff from vegetated and impervious surfaces in Beijing has been shown to include significantly more pollutants than rainwater . Therefore, the increase in runoff and drainage due to the radiative effect of haze will increase the pollutant loads in already deteriorated urban surface waters and groundwater.
5 Conclusions
In this study the radiative effect of haze on the local-scale hydrological cycle is examined for the period 2001–2013. The hydrological modelling is conducted using Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme (SUEWS) forced with WATCH WFDEI reanalysis data. The representativeness of WFDEI reanalysis data in a highly polluted urban environment (Beijing) is assessed with meteorological observations from the 325 m IAP tower from a 47 m level. In addition, the SUEWS performance is evaluated against eddy covariance observations of latent and sensible heat fluxes from the same height of the IAP tower. The results are stratified by air quality based on observations of aerosol optical depth (AOD).
The effects of haze are well accounted for in the original WFDEI meteorological variables, except for incoming solar radiation and precipitation. After the correction, daily precipitation totals are generally improved, but there are still substantial differences in the performance between the different air quality levels. After correcting the WFDEI incoming solar radiation with the newly developed haze correction, it compares well to observations across pollution levels (, ). Evaluation of SUEWS using eddy covariance observations of evaporation in Beijing concludes the model performance is good (: and ; nRMSE: and using uncorrected and corrected WFDEI forcing data, respectively). Similarly SUEWS performance of the sensible heat flux is rather good (: and ; nRMSE: and using uncorrected and corrected WFDEI forcing data, respectively). Therefore the local urban water balance can be modelled despite substantial biases in WFDEI precipitation data.
Detailed analyses of water balance terms find that attenuated incoming solar radiation from increased atmospheric aerosol concentrations decreases the daily median evapotranspiration from 2.16 mm d during fairly clean conditions to 1.74 mm d during extremely polluted conditions. This leads to an increased runoff coefficient (from 0.049 to 0.097 during fairly clean and extremely polluted conditions, respectively), especially during smaller precipitation totals (days with precipitation totals in the lower 25th percentile). When all precipitation events are included, the higher precipitation levels during fairly clean conditions induce the highest runoff coefficients (0.30), even though the runoff coefficient during the extremely polluted conditions (0.16) is higher than during other air quality levels (0.10 in both polluted and slightly polluted conditions). Also soil infiltration is increased due to decreased evapotranspiration: drainage from 0.48 mm d during fairly clean conditions to 0.68 mm d during extremely polluted conditions.
This study is the first to examine the radiative effects of haze on the local-scale urban hydrological cycle. The increased surface runoff and soil infiltration are expected to lead to increased pollutant loads washed from polluted surfaces and top layers of soils into urban surface waters and groundwater, which are already poor in the Beijing region. The evaluation of WFDEI reanalysis data gives first results of the representativeness of an reanalysis dataset in a highly polluted urban area. Other reanalysis datasets should also be carefully evaluated and make the necessary corrections prior to use in polluted urban areas.
Code and data availability
For the SUEWS manual and software, visit
Notation used in Tables and . Details and sources of the values are given in .
Variable | Description |
---|---|
Effective surface albedo | |
Effective snow albedo | |
Minimum snow albedo | |
Maximum snow albedo | |
Effective surface emissivity | |
Effective surface emissivity | |
Minimum snow density (kg m) | |
Maximum snow density (kg m) | |
Cold snow time constant for snow albedo aging | |
Warm snow time constant for snow albedo aging | |
Parameter defining the base per capita (W m (capita ha) | |
Parameter defining the base CDD per capita (W m K (capita ha) | |
Parameter defining the base HDD per capita (W m K (capita ha) | |
Constants in the calculation of the snow heat storage | |
Radiation melt factor (mm W h) | |
Temperature melt factor (mm C h) | |
Empirical coefficient in the calculation of drainage | |
Parameters for automatic irrigation (mm, mm K, mm d) | |
Parameters for automatic irrigation (mm, mm K, mm d) | |
Interception state of th surface (mm) | |
Soil water storage (mm) | |
Minimum retention capacity (mm) | |
Maximum retention capacity (mm) | |
Drainage rate (mm) | |
DaysSinceRain | Days since rain before the simulation period (from WATCH data of previous year) |
Parameters related to surface conductance | |
GDD | Growing degree days |
Maximum conductance (m s) | |
Additional water to water surface type (mm) | |
Maximum incoming solar radiation used in calculation (W m) | |
LAI | Maximum LAI of surface type (m m) |
LAI | Minimum LAI of surface type (m m) |
Maximum surface resistance (s m) | |
res | Surface water capacity in LUMPS (mm) |
res | Drainage rate of water bucket in LUMPS (mm h) |
Limit when surface is totally covered with water in LUMPS (mm) | |
Parameters describing the wilting point | |
State of the snow-free surface (mm) | |
Soil state (mm) | |
Maximum depth capacity of pipes (mm) | |
SDD | Senescence degree days |
SWE | Snow water equivalent when surface type is fully covered with snow (mm) |
SWE | Limit of the snow water equivalent for snow removal (mm) |
Initial air temperature (C) | |
Base temperature for leaf growth (C) | |
Base temperature for senescence (C) | |
Base temperature for (C) | |
Temperature limit for the liquid precipitation and snow (C) | |
Parameters related to calculation of (C) | |
Time step for water balance calculation (s) | |
Depth of the soil layer (mm) |
Model parameters used in SUEWS for different surfaces: buildings (Bldgs), paved (Pav), evergreen vegetation (Everg), deciduous vegetation (Dec), grass, and water. Initial conditions assume there is no snow on the ground, and the leaf area index of each vegetation type is at its minimum value. See Table for notation and for data sources.
Units | Bldgs | Pav | Everg | Dec | Grass | Water | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
mm | 0.25 | 0.48 | 1.3 | 0.3–0.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | |
mm | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | – | |
mm | 10 | 10 | 0.013 | 0.013 | 10 | – | |
– | 3 | 3 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 0.013 | – | |
mm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
mm | 30 | 70 | 130 | 130 | 130 | – | |
– | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.1 | |
– | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.93 | 0.95 | |
mm s | – | – | 7.4 | 11.7 | 40 | – | |
LAI | m m | – | – | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.9 | – |
LAI | m m | – | – | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | – |
SWE | mm | 190 | 190 | 190 | 190 | 190 | – |
SWE | mm | 40 | 100 | – | – | – | – |
mm | 349 | 349 | 349 | 349 | 349 | – |
Disaggregation for precipitation parameters (see details from ). Rainfall is evenly distributed among RainAmongN subintervals in a rainy interval for different intensity bins. The number of sub intervals over which to distribute rainfall in each interval is given in MultRainAmongN for three intensity bins. The upper limit for each intensity bin to apply MultRainAmongN is given in MultRainAmongNUpperI.
Resolution of input | 3 h | ||
---|---|---|---|
Disaggregation method | 102 | ||
RainAmongN | 36 | ||
MultRainAmongN | 15 | 24 | 36 |
MultRainAmongNUpperI | 1.5 | 6.0 | 150.0 |
As Fig. but for the thermal winter months (October–March).
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Figure A2Daily cumulative runoff () stratified by different pollution level (extremely polluted air, polluted air, slightly polluted air, and fairly clean air) and daily precipitation percentiles from low precipitation (0–25) to all precipitation events (0–100) for 2001–2013. The notches indicate 95 % confidence levels. Outliers are not shown. See “Statistical methods” for details. See also Fig. .
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Author contributions
TVK and LJ conceived this study; TVK was responsible for the atmospheric and hydrological analyses; SM was responsible for the GIS analysis; HL was responsible for the meteorological measurements. All authors contributed to the writing of the paper.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgements
We acknowledge the Beijing Municipality for providing the sites for measurements and Hong-Bin Chen and Philippe Goloub for providing the AOD measurements. The data used are listed in the references.
Financial support
This research was supported by the Maa- ja vesitekniikan tuki ry (grant no. 36663) and the UK–China Research Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership (CSSP) China as part of the Newton Fund (High Res City; AJYG-DX4P1V, Grimmond). Open access funding provided by Helsinki University Library.
Review statement
This paper was edited by Joshua Fu and reviewed by two anonymous referees.
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Abstract
Although increased aerosol concentration modifies local air temperatures and boundary layer structure in urban areas, little is known about its effects on the urban hydrological cycle. Changes in the hydrological cycle modify surface runoff and flooding. Furthermore, as runoff commonly transports pollutants to soil and water, any changes impact urban soil and aquatic environments. To explore the radiative effect of haze on changes in the urban surface water balance in Beijing, different haze levels are modelled using the Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme (SUEWS), forced by reanalysis data. The pollution levels are classified using aerosol optical depth observations. The secondary aims are to examine the usability of a global reanalysis dataset in a highly polluted environment and the SUEWS model performance.
We show that the reanalysis data do not include the attenuating effect of haze on incoming solar radiation and develop a correction method. Using these corrected data, SUEWS simulates measured eddy covariance heat fluxes well. Both surface runoff and drainage increase with severe haze levels, particularly with low precipitation rates: runoff from 0.06 to 0.18 mm d
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1 Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
2 Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
3 Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Meteorology, University of Stockholm, Stockholm, Sweden
4 Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
5 Earth Observation, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
6 Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland