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Abstract
Severe influenza infection has no effective treatment available. One of the key barriers to developing host-directed therapy is a lack of reliable prognostic factors needed to guide such therapy. Here, we use a network analysis approach to identify host factors associated with severe influenza and fatal outcome. In influenza patients with moderate-to-severe diseases, we uncover a complex landscape of immunological pathways, with the main changes occurring in pathways related to circulating neutrophils. Patients with severe disease display excessive neutrophil extracellular traps formation, neutrophil-inflammation and delayed apoptosis, all of which have been associated with fatal outcome in animal models. Excessive neutrophil activation correlates with worsening oxygenation impairment and predicted fatal outcome (AUROC 0.817–0.898). These findings provide new evidence that neutrophil-dominated host response is associated with poor outcomes. Measuring neutrophil-related changes may improve risk stratification and patient selection, a critical first step in developing host-directed immune therapy.
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1 Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Nepean Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Centre for Immunology and Allergy Research, The Westmead Institute for Medical Research, Sydney, Australia; Respiratory Tract Infection Research Node, Marie Bashir Institute for Infectious Diseases and Biosecurity, Sydney, Australia
2 Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Nepean Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Centre for Immunology and Allergy Research, The Westmead Institute for Medical Research, Sydney, Australia
3 Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Nepean Hospital, Sydney, Australia
4 National HIV and Retrovirology Laboratories, JC Wilt Infectious Disease Research Centre, Public Health Agency of Canada, Department of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
5 Department of Internal Medicine, Medical Microbiology and Community Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
6 Department of Chemistry and Biological Chemistry, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
7 Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, Laurentian University, Laurentian, Canada
8 Townsville Hospital, Townsville, Queensland, Australia
9 Department of Emergency Medicine, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, Australia
10 Department of Emergency Medicine, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Australia
11 Department of Emergency Medicine, St. Vincent Hospital, Sydney, Australia
12 Genome Analytics, Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany
13 Otto-von-Guerike University of Magdeburg, Clinic of Pneumology, Magdeburg, Germany
14 Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Tennessee Health Science Centre, Memphis, TN, USA
15 Centre for Immunology and Allergy Research, The Westmead Institute for Medical Research, Sydney, Australia
16 Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Nepean Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Department of Internal Medicine, Medical Faculty Plzen, Charles University Prague, Staré Město, Czech Republic
17 Biomedical Centre, Medical Faculty Plzen, Charles University Prague, Staré Město, Czech Republic
18 Sydney Informatic Hub, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
19 Section of Critical Care Medicine and Section of Infectious Diseases, Departments of Medicine, Medical Microbiology and Pharmacology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
20 Department of Infection Genetics, Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany; University of Veterinary Medicine, Hannover, Germany; Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Biochemistry, University of Tennessee Health Science Centre, Memphis, TN, USA