Abstract
Essentials
Background
Oral menopausal hormone therapy causes venous thrombosis but whether biomarkers of thrombosis risk can identify women at risk is unknown.
Methods
We completed a nested case control study in the two Women's Health Initiative hormone trials; 27 347 women aged 50‐79 were randomized to hormone therapy (conjugated equine estrogen with or without medroxyprogesterone acetate) or placebo. With 4 years follow‐up, biomarkers were measured using stored baseline samples prior to starting treatment, and one‐year later, in 215 women who developed thrombosis and 867 controls.
Results
Overall, lower protein C and free protein S, and higher D‐dimer, prothrombin fragment 1.2 and plasmin‐antiplasmin complex were associated with risk of future thrombosis with odds ratios ranging from 1.9 to 3.2. Compared to women with normal biomarkers assigned to placebo, the risk of thrombosis with hormone therapy was increased among women with abnormal biomarkers, especially elevated D‐dimer, elevated plasmin‐antiplasmin, and low free protein S; the largest association was for D‐dimer: odds ratio 6.0 (95%
Conclusion
Abnormal levels of biomarkers of thrombosis risk identified women at increased risk of future venous thrombosis with oral menopausal hormone therapy. Findings support the potential for clinical use of D‐dimer testing in advance of hormone therapy prescription.
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1 Department of Medicine, Larner College of Medicine, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA
2 Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA
3 Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
4 Department of Epidemiology, Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
5 Department of Geriatric Medicine, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, USA
6 Atlanta VA Medical Center, Decatur, GA, USA; Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA
7 Department of Neurology, State University of New York Downstate Medical Center, Brooklyn, NY, USA
8 Department of Family Medicine, Alpert Medical School, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA
9 Program on Prevention Outcomes and Practices, Stanford Prevention Research Center, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA