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© 2020. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is a common hematologic neoplasm with high incidence and mortality in the elderly. Our aims were to explore risk factors for early mortality in elderly AML patients and develop a new prognostic score.

Methods

We enrolled newly diagnosed AML patients age 60 and above at Taipei Veterans General Hospital between July 2008 and May 2017. The primary endpoint was early mortality, defined as death within two months after AML diagnosis. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to build a risk-scoring system incorporating significant risk factors for AML.

Results

The final cohort included 277 elderly AML patients. The median age was 74 (range 60-96), and 61.7% were male. The two-month mortality rate was 29.9%. Age ≥ 80 (adjusted HR 1.88), myocardial infarction (adjusted HR 1.87), ECOG ≥ 2 (adjusted HR 2.10), complex karyotype (adjusted HR 3.21), bone marrow blasts ≥ 70% (adjusted HR 1.88), WBC ≥ 100 × 109/L (adjusted HR 3.31), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45 (adjusted HR 2.60) were identified as independent predictors for early mortality in the multivariate analysis. A simplified score incorporating the seven factors was developed with good predictive ability measured by Harrell's C statistic [0.72 (95% CI 0.66-0.78)].

Conclusions

We identified seven potential risk factors for early mortality and built up a new prognostic score for elderly AML patients. The new score may help clinicians stratify patients and initiate appropriate management. Further validation of our findings on other cohorts is warranted.

Details

Title
The risk of early mortality in elderly patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia
Author
Chia-Jen, Liu 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Ying-Chung, Hong 2 ; Kuan, Ai Seon 3 ; Chiu-Mei Yeh 4 ; Chun-Kuang Tsai 5 ; Yao-Chung, Liu 6 ; Liang-Tsai, Hsiao 6 ; Hao-Yuan, Wang 6 ; Po-Shen, Ko 6 ; Po-Min, Chen 6 ; Jin-Hwang, Liu 7 ; Gau, Jyh-Pyng 6 

 Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Institute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan; School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan 
 School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan; Division of Hematology and Oncology, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan 
 Institute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan; Division of Neurosurgery, Neurological Institute, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan 
 Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Institute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan 
 Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan 
 Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan 
 Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Institute of Biopharmaceutical Sciences, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan; Chong Hin Loon Memorial Cancer and Biotherapy Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan 
Pages
1572-1580
Section
CANCER PREVENTION
Publication year
2020
Publication date
Feb 2020
Publisher
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
e-ISSN
20457634
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2353326027
Copyright
© 2020. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.