Introduction
The Williston Basin covers several hundred thousand square kilometers in
parts of North Dakota (ND), Montana (MT), South Dakota (SD), Saskatchewan,
and Manitoba. In the Bakken and Three Forks formations within the Williston
Basin, it is estimated that there are more than 7 billion barrels of
recoverable oil (
Map of study area, including state monitoring sites and regional power plants. For oil and gas wells, shapefiles were filtered to only include active and/or producing wells. For reference, the blue line represents 250 km from THRO-N, the distance traveled by an airmass in 48 h, based on the median wind speed at the site during the study. Green lines represent 100 km distance from THRO-S, LOST, and MELA.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Oil and gas development activities provide potential sources of air pollutants during all stages of well development and resource extraction (Brown et al., 2015; Field et al., 2014; Olaguer, 2012; Roy et al., 2014). Emissions come from a large number of small sources that can vary broadly both in terms of absolute amounts and compositions (Field et al., 2014). A large number of studies have focused on methane emissions (e.g. Brandt et al., 2014; Howarth et al., 2011; Subramanian et al., 2015), and associated greenhouse warming (e.g. Jiang et al., 2011). These issues are particularly significant in the Bakken, where it is estimated that methane emissions correspond to leakages of 9.1 % 6.2 % of energy content (Schneising et al., 2014). Along with methane, other pollutants such as volatile organic compounds (VOCs), including hazardous air pollutants, can be released (Helmig et al., 2014; Olaguer, 2012; Petron et al., 2012; Swarthout et al., 2015). Chemicals used in oil and gas extraction (Colborn et al., 2011) are associated with a wide range of human health hazards, and potential health impacts have been identified for communities near well pads (Bamberger and Oswald, 2015; McKenzie et al., 2012; Steinzor et al., 2013).
There are also emissions from the equipment needed for oil and gas development (Roy et al., 2014), including VOCs, nitrogen oxides (NO: NO NO, elemental carbon (EC), particulate matter (PM), and sulfur dioxide (SO. In 2011, NO emissions in the Williston Basin related to oil and gas activities were estimated at 29 400 tons (Grant et al., 2014). NO emissions for highway transportation were less than half of this value this same year (EPA National Emissions Inventory), when considering the same counties in the Williston Basin (ND, SD and MT). Emissions of VOCs and NO associated with oil and gas extraction can drive elevated ozone concentrations (Olaguer, 2012), which can impact national parks (Rodriguez et al., 2009) and other sensitive areas. High wintertime ozone concentrations have also been associated with oil and gas activities (Ahmadov et al., 2015; Edwards et al., 2014; Helmig et al., 2014; Schnell et al., 2009); however, these wintertime ozone episodes occur during strong inversions, which are not typically observed in the Bakken region.
Support for drilling and operation of active wells has its own associated
emissions. For example, in the Marcellus shale region it is estimated that
over one thousand diesel trucking events are typical for every new well
drilled (Roy et al., 2014). Average traffic counts on Highway 85 in McKenzie
County, which runs through the center of the oil and gas activities in the
Bakken and is adjacent to the North Unit of Theodore Roosevelt National Park,
have more than tripled from 2008 to 2014
(
Although oil is the primary commodity in the Bakken, there is also a large
amount of associated natural gas. However, because the infrastructure to
transport this natural gas is still being developed, until recently about one
third of this gas was flared. In 2013, this amounted to over 100 billion
cubic feet of natural gas flared or vented in ND (
Ambient particle concentrations also can be impacted by oil and gas activities. Increased particle loading has the potential to degrade visibility (Malm et al., 1994), a protected air quality related value in Class I areas, and can cause adverse health effects (e.g. Laden et al., 2006). These particles can be the result of direct emissions, such as fugitive dust from mobile sources (Bar-Ilan et al., 2011), or formed from reactions of precursor species such as SO, VOCs, and NO. Monitoring data from the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) Program suggest that sites in the Bakken region have not experienced the same improvements to air quality as many places in the United states since 2000. Across the region, annual trends in composition for sulfate, nitrate, and EC are generally decreasing (Fig. S1 in Supplement), although within the Bakken trends are mixed and nitrate and sulfate concentrations have increased in the Bakken region during December from 2000 to 2010 (Hand et al., 2012a). Increasing, although statistically insignificant, trends were also observed at IMPROVE sites in the Bakken region on the 20 % haziest days from 2000–2011 (Hand et al., 2014), counter to national trends.
The rapid expansion of the oil and gas sector has the potential to impact four national park units in this region: Fort Union Trading Post National Historic Site (NHS) (FOUS), Knife River Indian Villages NHS (KNRI), and the north and south units of Theodore Roosevelt National Park (THRO-N and THRO-S). THRO is a Class I airshed, which provides for the highest level of federal protection of its air quality, while FOUS and KNRI are Class II airsheds. There are also two US Fish and Wildlife Class I areas nearby: Lostwood, ND (LOST) and Medicine Lake, MT (MELA). In 2011, McKenzie County in ND, where THRO-N is located, accounted for the highest emissions of NO, VOCs, PM, CO, and SO from oil and gas in the Williston Basin (Grant et al., 2014), making THRO-N highly vulnerable to impacts from air pollutants related to oil and gas development.
Measurements from the first field campaign: 15 February–6 April 2013.
Measurement method | Measured species | Time resolution of available data | Notes | THRO-S | THRO-N | FOUS | KNRI | MELA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
URG annulardenuder/filter-pack sampler | PM inorganic ions; NH, HNO, and SO | See Sect. 2.2 | Analysis with Dionex ICsystem | X | X | X | X | |
IMPROVEmodule A | PM mass, elemental composition | 24 h sample THRO-N: daily; Existing: every3 days | Per IMPROVE protocol | Existing | X | Existing | ||
Teledyne O orportable ozonemonitors (POMs) | Ozone | Teledyne: 1 min POMS: 1 h | Teledyne 400E at THRO-N; 2B Technologies at other sites | Existing | X | X | X | X |
Continuous gaseous samplers | NO, NO, NO, SO, CO | 1 min | See Sect. 2.2 | X | ||||
Automated precipitation (rain/snow) sampler | Wet Deposition | THRO-N: Samples collected daily; Satellite Sites:Twice per week | NCON Atmospheric Deposition Sampler/ National Trends Network (ADS/NTN); Yankee Envir. TPC 3000 | Existing | X | X | X | X |
Nephelometer | Particle light scattering | 5 min | THRO-N: Radiance Research; KNRI: Ecotech | X | X | |||
Aethalometer | Black Carbon | 5 min | Magee Scientific 7 wavelength | X | ||||
Passive samplers | SO, NO, NH and O | 1 week | Radiello | X | X | X | X | X |
Meteorological station | Surface meteorology | 1 min at THRO-N and FOUS | Climatronics All-In-One Weather Sensor | Existing | X | X | Existing | Existing |
Mobile Sampling | Methane and acetylene | 3 Hz | Picarro G2203 with mobile kit A0941 |
The lack of progress toward the goals of the Regional Haze Rule (EPA, 2003) at THRO and increasing emissions and potential impacts of oil and gas development on air quality in these natural areas prompted the National Park Service to sponsor the Bakken Air Quality Study, carried out in two field deployments in 2013–2014. The locations of the field sites are shown in Fig. 1, as well as the locations of long-term monitoring sites. Here we provide an overview of the measurements and determine their representativeness relative to the historical record. A summary of key results is presented, and we address the question of whether energy development in the Bakken region is impacting air quality in national parks and other federal lands in the region.
Experimental
Study periods
The Bakken Air Quality Study (BAQS) was conducted to assess the mix of pollutants impacting national parks and Class I areas in the Bakken region. Although elevated pollutant levels can occur anytime of the year, measurements were focused primarily on winter months. The first BAQS study period was in 2013, with measurements from 15 February to 6 April. The study was conducted at five field sites: FOUS, KNRI, MELA, THRO-N and THRO-S. THRO-N served as the core sampling site. At the core site, high time resolution measurements were made of NO, CO, Total Reactive Nitrogen, O, SO, black carbon and aerosol light scattering. More extensive data were also obtained at lower time resolution (6 h–1 week) of organic and inorganic composition of particles and gases. The other four sites were not as heavily instrumented. FOUS, MELA and KNRI had 48 h integrated samples (6 days a week) of inorganic gas and particulate composition, real time ozone measurements, automated precipitation samplers and Radiello passive samplers, which measured weekly integrated concentrations of SO, NO, NH and O. A nephelometer was also deployed at KNRI. Because THRO-S is heavily instrumented through state and federal monitoring programs, only passive samplers were deployed at this site. Meteorological data were available at all sites. In addition to the sampling sites, 2 days of measurements of methane and VOCs were made using a mobile laboratory. A detailed list of measurements from the first study period is given in Table 1.
Measurements from the second field campaign: 23 November 2013–28 March 2014.
Measurement method | Measured species | Time resolution of available data | Notes | THRO-S | THRO-N | FOUS | KNRI | MELA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
URG annulardenuder/filter-pack sampler | PM inorganic ions; NH, HNO, and SO | See Sect. 2.2 | Analysis with Dionex IC system | X | X | X | ||
IMPROVE module A | PM mass, elemental composition | 24 h sample THRO-N: daily; Existing: every 3 days | Per IMPROVE protocol | Existing | X | Existing | ||
IMPROVE module C | PM OC and EC | 24 h sample THRO-N: daily; Existing sites: every 3 days | Per IMPROVE protocol | Existing | X | Existing | ||
Aerosol Mass Spectrometer | PM nitrate, sulfate, ammonium, organics | 5 min | Aerodyne High Resolution Time of Flight | X | ||||
MARGA (Monitor for Aerosol and Gases) | PM Inorganic ions; Gaseous NH, HNO, and SO | 1 h | Applikon 1S | X | ||||
Teledyne O orportable ozone monitors (POMs) | Ozone | Teledyne: 1 min POMS: 1 h | Teledyne 400E at THRO-N; 2B Technologies at other sites | Existing | X | X | X | |
Continuous gaseoussamplers | NO, NO, NO, CO, NO | 1 min | See Sect. 2.2 | X | ||||
Automated precipitation (rain/snow) sampler | Wet Deposition | THRO-N: Samples Collected after precipitation | NCON ADS/NTN Sampler | Existing | X | |||
Nephelometer | Particle light scattering | 5 min | THRO-N: Radiance Research; FOUS: Optec; MELA: Ecotech | X | X | X | ||
Aethalometer | Black Carbon | 5 min | Magee Scientific 7 wavelength | X | ||||
TEOM | PM Mass | 6 min | Thermo Scientific 1405-DF | X | ||||
VOC canisters | VOCs | THRO-N: Twice per day; FOUS: 4 times per week; MELA: once per week | Analysis with 5-channel GC system; FID, ECD and MS | X | X | X | ||
Proton TransferReaction-Quadrupole Mass Spectrometer(PTR-QMS) | VOCs | 1–5 min Data available for 5 weeks of the study | Ionic Analytik; Measurement site not collocated with core site measurements | X | ||||
Meteorological station | Surface meteorology | 1 min at THRO-N andFOUS | Climatronics All-In-One Weather Sensor | X | X | Existing | ||
Mobile Measurements | VOC canisters; mini-aethalometer; nephelometer; acetylene; methane | Canisters: Grab Samples; MicroAeth: 1 min; Picarro: 3 Hz; Neph: 5 s | AethLabs MicroAeth AE51; Radiance Research Nephelometer; Picarro G2203 with mobile kit A0941 |
The second study period ran from 23 November 2013 through 28 March 2014, encompassing the largest increasing trends in sulfate and nitrate as determined from IMPROVE observations (Hand et al., 2012a). During the second study, measurements were limited to three sites, with increased emphasis on higher time resolution data collection. THRO-N remained the core site, while FOUS and MELA served as satellite sites. At THRO-N and FOUS, additional measurements of gas and particle concentrations and compositions were made, including VOC measurements (Table 2). The VOC data provide markers for many of the potential air pollutant sources in this region. Mobile measurements were also conducted (see Sect. 2.2).
These study periods correspond to months when temperatures are typically below freezing, and where minimum winter temperatures can fall below 30 C. Based on meteorological data collected during 2002–2013 at Watford City (near THRO-N), MELA, and LOST, the predominant wind direction in the study region was southwesterly and the second most common direction was northwesterly, though airmasses can arrive from all directions. There are spatial, diurnal, and seasonal fluctuations around this predominant pattern. Seasonally, air masses from the northwest are most common during fall and winter; this was generally observed during BAQS. Transport from easterly directions is most likely during spring and summer. Average wind speeds in winter were in the range of 3–5 m s at all of the study sites, with Watford City (near THRO-N) having the slowest and LOST the highest mean speeds.
Methods
Many of the measurements listed in Tables 1 and 2 will be described in detail in forthcoming publications, and so are not discussed further. Here we provide a brief description of measurements from the Results and Discussion section.
For real time measurements of NO and SO during the first study period, sampling was from a common inlet 3 m above ground level. The sampling line was 0.64 cm OD Teflon tubing. For SO from the real time measurements, a calibration was performed prior to the study. For NO, calibrations were conducted daily using certified, traceable standards provided by Airgas (Prenni et al., 2014). Every calibration included zero air and a span concentration, with calibration gases introduced at the sample inlets.
NO measurements were made using a chemiluminescence instrument (Teledyne 201E). The technique alternately measures NO directly and measures NO by first converting NO to NO using a molybdenum converter. NO is reacted with ozone forming NO in an excited state which emits radiation while decaying to the ground state.
Real time SO measurements were made during the first study period using a Thermo Scientific SO Analyzer (Model 43C), which uses pulsed fluorescence and has a detection limit of 1 ppbv (60 s averaging). During the second study period, and during both studies at the satellite sites, SO concentrations were also derived from University Research Glassware (URG) samplers.
Twenty-four hour samples were collected using URG annular denuder/filter-pack samplers from 8 a.m. to 8 a.m. local time at THRO-N during both study periods. During the first study period, 48 h samples were also collected at FOUS, MELA and KNRI, covering 6 days per week. During the second study, 24 h samples were collected at FOUS, and weekly samples were collected at MELA. Extracted samples were analyzed for inorganic gas and particulate species using ion chromatography (IC). Sample collection and analysis procedures were similar to those described elsewhere (Benedict et al., 2013).
Real time black carbon (BC) data were collected using a multi-wavelength aethalometer at the core site (Magee Scientific AE-31). We follow the recommendation of Petzold et al. (2013) in designating aethalometer measurements as BC and measurements from the IMPROVE program as EC. The sample is collected on quartz fiber filter tape and absorption is measured at seven wavelengths from 370–950 nm. For this study, a PM inlet was used and BC mass was determined as the mean of the masses measured from all wavelengths; no further corrections were implemented. Aethalometer data were logged as 5 min averages. The instrument was factory calibrated prior to the first study period and has a sensitivity of 0.1 g m.
The THRO-N site also had an IMPROVE particle monitor that collected 24 h samples. Samples were collected daily, on the same schedule as the URG samplers (8 a.m. to 8 a.m.). Modules A, C, and D were used during the study. Modules A and C collect fine particles (PM, while module D collects both fine and coarse particles (PM. Module A is equipped with a Teflon® filter that is analyzed for PM gravimetric fine mass, elemental concentration, and light absorption. Module C utilizes a quartz fiber filter that is analyzed by thermal optical reflectance (TOR) for organic carbon and EC. Module D utilizes a Teflon filter to determine PM aerosol mass concentrations gravimetrically. Module A was used during the first study, and Modules A and C were used during the second study period. Module D was used for a limited time during the second measurement period.
For VOC measurements, whole air samples were collected at THRO-N, FOUS, and MELA, as well as at various locations throughout the Bakken region as part of the mobile measurements. During the second study period, samples were collected into evacuated 2 L passivated, stainless steel canisters. A total of 40 individual VOCs were quantified from the canister samples using a five-channel, three gas chromatograph (GC) analytical system which employed three flame ionization detectors (FIDs), one electron capture detector (ECD) and one mass spectrometer (MS). The gases analyzed included C–C nonmethane hydrocarbons (NMHCs), C–C halocarbons, C–C alkyl nitrates and reduced sulfur compounds. The analytical system and methodology are similar to those used in previous studies (Russo et al., 2010a, b; Sive, 1998; Swarthout et al., 2013, 2015; Zhou et al., 2010). Multiple whole air standards were used during sample analysis (analyzed every 10 samples). The measurement precision, represented by the relative standard deviation of the peak areas for each compound in the whole air standards, was 1–8 % for the NMHCs, 3–10 % for the halocarbons, 3–8 % for the alkyl nitrates and 3–5 % for the sulfur compounds. For the second study period, a canister sample was collected twice per day at THRO-N, four times per week at FOUS, and once per week at MELA. For approximately 1 month of the study (19 December 2013–31 January 2014), canisters were collected only once per week at FOUS.
Meteorological data were collected with a Climatronics All-In-One Weather Sensor (Part Number 102780), co-located with the gas measurements.
Box plots of daily mean concentrations for (a) SO and (b) NO at THRO-N, shown in black, for all data available from these sites dating back to 2000. Also shown are daily averaged data collected during the study periods in 2013 and 2014, with median concentrations shown as horizontal line segments.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Mobile measurements
A Picarro A0941 mobile measurement kit combined with a Picarro G2203 analyzer was deployed inside a Chevrolet Tahoe Hybrid vehicle for mobile measurements of CH and CH. The Tahoe SUV was deployed three times during BAQS for measurements of ambient concentrations of CH and CH near oil and gas activities, encompassing both study periods. Mobile nephelometer and BC data were collected during the second study period. Whole air canister grab samples also were collected and analyzed for VOCs as part of the mobile measurements in March 2014. Mobile measurements were conducted while driving 50 km per hour on mostly main roads throughout the Bakken region. Measurement locations were chosen to represent a combination of areas of high oil and gas activity and locations where little or no oil and gas activities were present. When elevated concentrations of CH were observed, nearby upwind sources were investigated. When a source was confirmed, based on elevated methane concentrations and wind direction, the vehicle was stopped and measurements were made downwind of the site. For the measurements in this manuscript, no vehicular traffic was observed within the operator's visual range.
A detailed description of the Picarro analyzer is presented by Mønster et al. (2014). Briefly, a Cavity Ringdown Spectroscopy (CRDS) instrument was used to quantify ambient concentrations of CH and CH. The inlet of the system was located on a mast secured in front of the vehicle, at a height of 3 m. Teflon tubing was used to direct the airflow from the inlet to the analyzer at 5 LPM. The A0941 mobile unit was equipped with a Climatronics sonic anemometer for wind speed and direction and a GPS unit for location. Data were collected at 3 Hz.
A microAeth Model AE51 (AethLabs) with a measurement wavelength of 880 nm was used for measuring ambient concentrations of BC. A more detailed description and characterization of the microAeth is presented by Cai et al. (2014). One minute data were collected at a flow of 200 ccm. The microAeth inlet was comprised of black conductive tubing ( 20 cm long) which was located outside of the back passenger side window of the Tahoe SUV.
Results and discussion
The objectives of the field studies were to provide initial information on the composition and properties of particulate and gaseous pollutants in national park units in the region and at MELA, a Class 1 US Fish and Wildlife area. In this paper we take a broad look at measurements from the study and explore the representativeness of the study time period. We also provide some highlights from the study, with a focus on measurements of NO, SO, EC/BC and some VOCs, all primary emissions from the energy industry, and address the question of whether energy development in the Bakken is impacting air quality in national parks and other federal lands in the region. More detailed results from all of the measurements, as well as source apportionment, will be presented in forthcoming publications.
Back trajectory residence times showing areas where air masses resided during the 2 days prior to arriving at THRO-N. (a) Trajectories arriving when the hourly NO concentration was at the 95th percentile (4.63 ppb) or higher for the two Bakken Studies combined. (b) Trajectories arriving when the hourly NO concentration was at the 5th percentile (0.57 ppb) or lower for the combined measurements from both studies. Trajectories were generated using the Hysplit Model in ensemble mode with a start height of 10 m. All trajectories have a duration of 2 days, so longer lengths correspond to higher wind speeds. Note that transport patterns associated with the highest concentrations tend to arrive from a smaller area, indicating probable stagnation, while those associated with the lowest concentrations correspond to travel from more distant areas, indicating high wind speeds, and are more predominantly from the west.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Study representativeness
Before presenting measurements from these studies, we first examine
monitoring data during the two time periods of the intensive field campaigns
to determine if the measurement periods were typical for the region. To this
end, we use long-term air monitoring data from the region (EPA AirData:
Although NO and SO were significantly higher at THRO-N in March
and December 2013, EC concentrations from the IMPROVE network
(
SO monitoring data from the EPA AirData website. Data are annually averaged. Missing data points are for years which had less than 50 % of the possible data.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
URG measurements of SO from all of the field sites during the first study period.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
48 h back trajectories from THRO-N (black), MELA (blue), FOUS (red) and KNRI (green) for (a) 20–22 February, 8 a.m. to 8 a.m.; and (b) 27–29 March, 8 a.m. to 8 a.m. Back trajectories were run four times per day. Each dot designates a 24 h period. Field sites are shown as gold stars. Power plants are shown as triangles, with black triangles representing coal-powered plants, and green triangles representing gas-powered plants.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Changing emissions and impacts on regional air quality
Across the United States, emissions from power plants have decreased
dramatically in recent decades as the result of legislatively mandated
controls, leading to broad improvements in air quality (Hand et al., 2014;
Rieder et al., 2013; Sickles II and Shadwick, 2015). In the region
surrounding the Bakken, annual power plant SO emissions have decreased
four-fold over the past 20 years and NO emissions have been cut in half
(
Measurements during the first study period (February–April 2013) at THRO-N of hourly averaged (a) NO (blue), SO (red), and BC (black); and (b) wind speed (red) and wind direction (black). Shaded areas indicate time periods discussed in the text and shown in Fig. 6.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Figure 4 shows annually averaged SO concentrations collected from monitoring sites at six locations in western ND (EPA AirData; Fig. 1). THRO-N, THRO-S, and LOST all fall within the area with oil and gas activities, although, as noted above, THRO-S may be influenced more by regional trends than local sources. Dunn falls on the outskirts of the Bakken region. Beulah and Hannover both lie to the east of most of the activity, near KNRI and several coal-fired power plants (see Fig. 1), which represent major sources of SO in the region. As shown in Fig. 4, SO concentrations are declining throughout the region, particularly at sites closer to the power plants, consistent with observations in the eastern United States (Sickles II and Shadwick, 2015; Hand et al., 2012b) and decreasing SO emissions from power plants across the United States. These reductions were determined to be significant at all of the sites in Fig. 4 except LOST and THRO-N using the Theil-Sen method (Sen, 1968; Theil, 1950) for trend analysis ( 0.001; monthly averaged values). Trend analysis throughout the paper was conducted using the Open Air package in R (Carslaw and Ropkins, 2012; Carslaw, 2014).
Despite these reductions, power plants still represent a large source of
SO in the region, exceeding that from oil and gas development
(
During the episode on 27–29 March slower moving air masses with changing wind directions impacted THRO-N, as well as FOUS and MELA, and the airmasses spent more time over the Bakken region (Fig. 6b), yielding considerably higher concentrations of NO and BC at the core site (Fig. 7). However, the air masses which reached THRO-N had only a minor influence from emissions sources east of the Bakken, and SO concentrations were again low. While THRO-N, MELA and FOUS were minimally impacted by power plants, KNRI was impacted by several plants on these dates, and KNRI had elevated SO concentrations at this time (Fig. 5). These observations are consistent with regional power plants largely influencing SO concentrations, and emissions sources from within the Bakken, likely tied to the many sources associated with oil and gas activities, leading to the observed increases in NO and BC.
Long-term monitoring data for NO (EPA AirData) are consistent with
these observations and provide an interesting contrast to SO. Like
SO, NO concentrations have decreased in Hannover and Beulah
(Fig. 8), east of the Bakken region ( 0.001; Theil-Sen method,
monthly averaged values), likely driven by decreasing NO emissions from
power plants. In contrast, THRO-N and Dunn, within and at the outskirts of
the oil and gas production region, show no significant trends when
considering the entire time period shown. However, when limiting the data to
the past 10 years (2005–2014), when oil and gas activities intensified,
significant increasing trends in NO are observed at both THRO-N and
Dunn ( 0.001; Theil-Sen method, monthly averaged values). Finally,
LOST shows a significant ( 0.001; Theil-Sen method, monthly averaged
values) trend of increasing NO throughout the time period shown. These
changes are consistent with increasing NO emissions from oil and gas
activities, which more than doubled in the Williston Basin from 2009 to 2011
and are expected to continue to increase (Grant et al., 2014). Unlike
SO, NO emissions from oil and gas are similar in magnitude to
those from regional power plants (Grant et al., 2014;
NO monitoring data from the EPA AirData website. Data are annually averaged. Missing data points are for years which had less than 50 % of the possible data.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
To further explore the influence of oil and gas emissions, we consider monitoring data at LOST. Focusing on NO and segregating measurements by local wind direction, we find significant ( 0.01; Theil-Sen method, monthly averaged values) trends of increasing NO only when winds are out of the W, SW and S (Fig. 9), areas with major oil and gas development. EC concentrations from IMPROVE, which have many of the same sources as NO, showed an identical pattern. In contrast, the only significant trend for SO at LOST is for winds out of the south, where concentrations have decreased, likely from decreasing power plant emissions.
Trends in NO data from Lostwood, segregated by wind direction. Slope is per year.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Timeline of light alkane concentrations at THRO-N, FOUS and MELA during the second study period (November 2013–March 2014). All data are from grab samples.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Oil and gas impacts on regional air quality
To better establish a connection between measured pollutants at the study sites and regional oil and gas activities, we consider data from the second study period, 23 November 2013–28 March 2014. These measurements included the use of canisters to collect air samples for analysis of key tracer species. Of particular interest for the Bakken are the light alkanes, which serve as markers for oil and gas activity (e.g. Gilman et al., 2013; Petron et al., 2012; Swarthout et al., 2013, 2015). Figure 10 summarizes measurements of ethane, propane, n-butane, and n-pentane throughout the campaign at all three sites. The mean ethane and propane mixing ratios from all three sites were 16 and 15 ppbv, respectively, with maximum values approaching 100 ppbv for ethane and 150 ppbv for propane. The i-butane levels ranged from 0.1–22 ppbv, and n-butane peaked over 60 ppbv. The i-pentane and n-pentane had comparable mixing ratios with mean concentrations of 1.2 ppbv (range 0.1–17 ppbv). These concentrations are significantly higher than typically observed in remote regions (Russo et al., 2010b) and are comparable to levels observed in urban areas known to be influenced by petrochemical industry emissions, as has been observed in other oil and gas basins (Swarthout et al., 2013, 2015). Despite variability in absolute concentrations throughout the study, these data provide evidence that emissions related to oil and gas activities were observed at THRO-S, FOUS, and MELA during the second study period.
To better characterize the extent of this impact, we focus on pentane measurements from all of the sites. Recent studies have used the ratio of pentane isomers to identify air masses that are influenced by oil and gas emissions. Although this ratio varies by basin, a ratio of i-pentane to n-pentane which falls at or below one is generally indicative of oil and gas emissions (Swarthout et al., 2013, 2015; Gilman et al., 2013), whereas higher ratios correspond to background conditions, largely resulting from automobile emissions and fuel evaporation (e.g. Russo et al., 2010b). The i-pentane to n-pentane ratios for all sites for the entire sampling period are shown in Fig. 11; the slope is 0.77. Although there is scatter in the data, particularly at the lowest concentrations; only two out of 287 samples at THRO-N, FOUS and MELA had i-pentane to n-pentane ratios that were consistent with background air; all other samples indicated oil and gas influence. These data not only confirm that oil and gas emissions are impacting the region, but also that this influence was present at nearly all times during the second study period.
Ratio of iso- to n-pentane for canister samples collected at THRO-N, FOUS, and MELA throughout the second study period.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Concentrations of CH (ppmv) and BC (ng m. (a) Measurements collected near a well with an active flare at Indian Hill; and (b) measurements collected downwind of a site in Painted Woods oil field, with multiple well-heads and collection tanks, but no flare. Note the difference in scale for the two plots.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Timeline of ethane, NO, SO, and BC during the second study period in 2013–2014. NO, SO and BC concentrations are daily average values; ethane data are the average of two grab samples per day, one collected in the morning and one collected in the afternoon.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Mobile measurements collected throughout the Bakken region support these data. Background concentrations for CH observed in the Bakken region for the sampling period of 10–16 December 2013 were 2.2 0.4 ppmv, above expected background levels of 2 ppmv for a remote location (Farrell et al., 2013; Wofsy et al., 2011), with peak measured concentrations reaching 16.1 ppmv (1 min average). BC concentrations also were elevated for a remote region, with average concentrations of 900 100 ng m. To better demonstrate the direct impact of oil and gas activities on these species in the region, two mobile sampling periods from the Bakken region are shown in Fig. 12. One set of measurements was located on the Indian Hill oil field, where there was an active flare at the time of the measurement. The other set of measurements was located on the Painted Woods oil field, with no active flare. Figure 12a shows the data collected near the Indian Hill location (active flare) where an increase in CH concentrations corresponded to high concentrations of BC. During the flaring, maximum BC concentrations near the site were approximately 4 times higher than the regional BC concentrations. The data collected from the Painted Woods oil field, with no active flare, are shown in Fig. 12b. Without flaring, these measurements show elevated CH concentrations ( 7 times above the regional background average), with no corresponding increase in the BC. These areas thus provide sources of VOCs, and, when flaring is present, BC.
Using the light alkanes as markers for local oil and gas activities, we compared alkane concentrations to measurements of NO, SO and BC throughout the second study period. Timelines of all of these species are shown in Fig. 13 for THRO-N. In the figure, we use ethane as a marker for oil and gas emissions, but all of the light alkanes showed similar results. NO, SO and BC concentrations are daily average values; in contrast, ethane data are calculated as the average of two grab samples per day: one collected in the morning (typically 8 a.m.), and one collected in the afternoon (typically 4 p.m.). Concentrations of NO and BC were correlated with ethane (correlation coefficients, 0.75 for NO and 0.70 for BC) throughout the study period. Although these measurements do not identify which emissions source drives the elevated concentrations for NO and BC, the data suggest that VOCs, NO and BC likely have collocated sources. SO was not as strongly correlated with ethane ( 0.42). The lower correlation is presumably because SO comes largely from different sources, as discussed above.
Measurements collected at THRO-N as part of the first intensive study (February–April 2013) also showed that NO and EC were correlated (Fig. 7; 0.81 for 1 h data) with elevated concentrations observed throughout the campaign. Although we did not make routine measurements of VOCs during the first study period, we expect that these measurements were likely impacted by similar sources as observed in the second study period; i.e. oil and gas related emissions. Hourly NO and EC concentrations reached 10 ppbv and 1.3 g m, respectively, during the first study period; the maximum observed hourly SO concentration was just over 9 ppbv. As discussed above, higher concentrations for all species typically were observed during periods of low wind speeds and changing wind directions. Such conditions allow pollutants to accumulate in the region, particularly those with local sources.
A photochemical clock utilizing ratios of alkyl nitrates to n-alkanes. Modeled ratios are shown as the solid line, and measured data are given as points, colored and sized by daily averaged (a) NO and (b) BC concentrations.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
The data shown thus far suggest that emissions from oil and gas activities are impacting air quality in the region, raising ambient concentrations of VOCs, NO, and EC. Next, we use VOC measurements to estimate the amount of photochemical processing within the air masses that reached THRO-N during the study. To this end, we use the alkyl nitrate to parent hydrocarbon ratios (R-ONO R-H) to estimate air mass age for measurements at THRO-N (e.g. Bertman et al., 1995; Russo et al., 2010a; Simpson et al., 2003; Swarthout et al., 2013). The modeled ratios of 2-pentyl nitrate to n-pentane versus 2-butyl nitrate to n-butane are presented in Fig. 14 (solid line) along with the measurements of these species. For the model, a diurnally averaged OH concentration of 5 10 molec cm was assumed. The measured ratios fall on the modeled line, suggesting that the photochemical sources of the alkyl nitrates are reasonably well represented in the model. Results indicate a photochemical processing time of 2 days throughout the majority of the campaign. These results are similar to wintertime VOC measurements in the Denver-Julesburg basin in NE Colorado (Swarthout et al., 2013). For a windspeed of 1.44 m s, the median windspeed observed at THRO-N during the second study, a processing time of 2 days corresponds to a transport distance of 250 km. Because the absolute air mass age determined from the estimates are OH radical concentration dependent, these estimates are subject to uncertainty. However, the results show that processes are occurring on relatively short timescales and are associated with fresh emissions, rather than aged air masses, and so point to emissions within the Bakken, rather than long-range transport from other oil and gas basins. NO and BC concentrations also are shown on the alkyl nitrate evolution plots in Fig. 14a and b, respectively. These data show that the highest levels of NO and BC occur in air masses with short processing times ( 12 h), consistent with the data presented thus far, and further implicating local sources for NO and BC; this is particularly relevant for BC, which has a longer atmospheric lifetime. A similar plot is shown for SO in Fig. S3.
EC concentrations and well counts
If we assume that THRO-S is representative of background aerosol changes, as discussed above, then the ratio of concentrations from surrounding sites relative to THRO-S represents the influence of changing emissions from local sources. As such, we compared the ratio of concentrations from several sites relative to THRO-S, for species monitored as part of the IMPROVE network. For EC measurements made since 2000, all regional IMPROVE sites north of THRO-S show significant increases relative to THRO-S, while regional IMPROVE sites to the south show decreases relative to THRO-S (Fig. S4 in the Supplement). These data are consistent with improving regional air quality, and increasing EC sources north of THRO-S, likely from flaring, diesel traffic, and the many diesel engines used in oil and gas activities. THRO-S is likely impacted some from local emissions, but there is a clear gradient in EC trends (Figs. S1 and S4). Nitrate shows a similar pattern to EC, with sites to the north increasing relative to THRO-S, and sites to the south decreasing relative to THRO-S. In the case of nitrate, however, not all of these trends are statistically significant. Unlike EC, the trends in nitrate are confounded by the fact that nitrate is not a primary emission and the monitoring sites are very near the source of precursor NO. The ability of NO emitted from oil and gas activities to form ammonium nitrate particles, after being converted to HNO, also depends on the availability of background ammonia (Li et al., 2014).
Timeline of ratios of EC concentration at (a) LOST, and (b) MELA, relative to THRO-S. Also shown are data representing wells within 100 km of the given site, weighted by distance, and wells within 100 km of THRO-S. EC data are shown as monthly averages, while data for well counts are annual averages to better account for the uncertainty in the dates when wells began operation.
[Figure omitted. See PDF]
Focusing on EC, Fig. 15 presents a timeline of the ratios of EC concentrations from Fig. S4 for two sites north of THRO-S (LOST and MELA), plotted along with data corresponding to oil and gas activities in the region, represented by the number of wells within 100 km of the site of interest. A distance of 100 km was chosen to limit the comparison to development in the Bakken region (see Fig. 1). Of the wells that were within 100 km, wells were weighted according to distance from the site as 1/distance, in km, to account for the greater contributions of wells nearer to the sampling sites. For example, a well that is located 1 km from the site would be weighted as 1 well/1 km 1 well; whereas a well which is 100 km from the site would be weighted as 1 well/100 km 0.010 well. Well data were downloaded in February 2015 from the relevant state and provincial websites for ND, SD, MT, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. These websites provide different milestone dates from which the years that the wells were completed were estimated. For example, ND includes spud date, while MT includes well completion date. Data also were filtered to include only wells that were active and/or producing at the time of the download; as such, wells that were active at an earlier date, but were plugged prior to 2015, were not included. Despite these shortcomings, these data provide a reasonable estimate for the year in which wells began operation. As indicated in Fig. 15, at both sites we observe an increase in EC concentrations at the given site, relative to THRO-S, corresponding to increases in regional oil and gas activities, as designated by well counts. This increase is more evident at LOST, where there is more oil and gas development. For MELA, there is a much smaller increase in EC, relative to THRO-S, corresponding to fewer wells. For both sites, most of the changes occur after about 2008, when oil and gas activities accelerated, further suggesting that oil and gas activities are impacting air quality in national parks and Class 1 areas in the region.
Summary and conclusions
Over the past 10 years, the Bakken region has seen a tremendous increase in
oil and gas extraction, such that North Dakota is now the second leading oil
producing state in the United States (
Results from BAQS demonstrate that oil and gas emissions are impacting air quality at THRO, FOUS, MELA and LOST, with larger effects observed in those areas near the most extensive oil and gas development. The impacts include higher ambient concentrations of VOCs, NO and EC, offsetting some of the benefits from decreased power plant emissions. Although the observed concentrations fall well below the National Ambient Air Quality Standards, they are elevated for a remote area, and in some cases are increasing. Continued development is expected to exacerbate these problems, particularly during periods when lower wind speeds allow pollutants to accumulate and react in the atmosphere, forming secondary pollutants. Stagnant air conditions have also been associated with health impacts in regions with unconventional natural gas development (Brown et al., 2015).
New state regulations are in place to reduce emissions from flaring, a potentially major source of pollutants in the area. However, even if flaring goals are met by 2020, up to 10 % of the produced gas will still be flared, far exceeding the national average. As such, efforts to identify further reductions in emissions are needed to ensure that air quality in federal lands in the region remains unimpaired for the enjoyment of future generations.
The Supplement related to this article is available online at
Acknowledgements
This project was funded by the National Park Service. The CSU portion of the
work was funded by Cooperative Agreement H2370094000, Task Agreement
P13AC01187. The authors wish to thank the staffs at THRO, FOUS, MELA, and
KNRI for site access and logistical support throughout the study. The
assumptions, findings, conclusions, judgments, and views presented herein are
those of the authors and should not be interpreted as necessarily
representing the NPS. IMPROVE Data: IMPROVE is a collaborative association of
state, tribal, and federal agencies, and international partners. US
Environmental Protection Agency is the primary funding source, with
contracting and research support from the National Park Service. The Air
Quality Group at the University of California, Davis is the central
analytical laboratory, with ion analysis provided by Research Triangle
Institute, and carbon analysis provided by Desert Research Institute. EPA
AirData: US Environmental Protection Agency. Air Quality System Data Mart
[internet database] available at
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Abstract
The Bakken formation contains billions of barrels of oil and gas trapped in rock and shale. Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing methods have allowed for extraction of these resources, leading to exponential growth of oil production in the region over the past decade. Along with this development has come an increase in associated emissions to the atmosphere. Concern about potential impacts of these emissions on federal lands in the region prompted the National Park Service to sponsor the Bakken Air Quality Study over two winters in 2013–2014. Here we provide an overview of the study and present some initial results aimed at better understanding the impact of local oil and gas emissions on regional air quality. Data from the study, along with long-term monitoring data, suggest that while power plants are still an important emissions source in the region, emissions from oil and gas activities are impacting ambient concentrations of nitrogen oxides and black carbon and may dominate recent observed trends in pollutant concentrations at some of the study sites. Measurements of volatile organic compounds also definitively show that oil and gas emissions were present in almost every air mass sampled over a period of more than 4 months.
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1 National Park Service, Air Resources Division, Lakewood, CO, USA
2 Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA), Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
3 Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
4 National Park Service, Air Resources Division, Fort Collins, CO, USA