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© 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background. Cardiogenic shock (CS) is the leading cause of in-hospital mortality in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Only limited data are available on the long-term outcome of STEMI patients with CS undergoing contemporary treatment. We aimed to investigate long-term mortality and its predictors in STEMI patients with CS and to develop a risk score for long-term mortality prediction. Methods and Results. We retrospectively included 465 patients with STEMI complicated by CS and treated with primary angioplasty and intra-aortic balloon pump between 2005 and 2018. Long-term mortality, including both in-hospital mortality and all-cause mortality following discharge from the index hospitalization, was the primary endpoint. The long-term mortality (median follow-up 4 (2.0–5.2) years) was 60%, including in-hospital mortality (34%). At multivariate analysis, independent predictors of long-term mortality were age (HR 1.41, each 10-year increase), admission left ventricular ejection fraction (HR 1.51, each 10%-unit decrease) and creatinine (HR 1.28, each mg/dl increase), and acute kidney injury (HR 1.81). When these predictors were pooled together, the area under the curve (AUC) for long-term mortality was 0.80 (95% CI 0.75–0.84). Using the four variables, we developed a risk score with a mean (cross-validation analysis) AUC of 0.79. When the score was applied to in-hospital mortality, its AUC was 0.79, and 0.76 when the score was applied to all-cause mortality following discharge. Conclusions. In STEMI patients with CS, the risk of death is still substantial in the years following the index event. A simple clinical score at the time of the index event accurately predicts long-term mortality risk.

Details

Title
ST-Segment Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction Complicated by Cardiogenic Shock: Early Predictors of Very Long-Term Mortality
Author
Cosentino, Nicola 1 ; Resta, Marta L 1 ; Somaschini, Alberto 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Campodonico, Jeness 1 ; Giampaolo D’Aleo 1 ; Giovanni Di Stefano 1 ; Lucci, Claudia 1 ; Moltrasio, Marco 1 ; Bonomi, Alice 1 ; Cornara, Stefano 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Demarchi, Andrea 2 ; De Ferrari, Gaetano 3 ; Bartorelli, Antonio L 4 ; Marenzi, Giancarlo 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo 

 Centro Cardiologico Monzino IRCCS, 20138 Milan, Italy; [email protected] (M.L.R.); [email protected] (J.C.); [email protected] (G.D.); [email protected] (G.D.S.); [email protected] (C.L.); [email protected] (M.M.); [email protected] (A.B.); [email protected] (A.L.B.); [email protected] (G.M.) 
 Coronary Care Unit and Laboratory of Clinical and Experimental Cardiology—Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, 27100 Pavia, Italy; [email protected] (A.S.); [email protected] (S.C.); [email protected] (A.D.); Unit of Cardiology, Department of Molecular Medicine, Università degli studi di Pavia, 271000 Pavia, Italy 
 Dipartimento di Scienze Mediche, Cardiologia Città della Salute e della Scienza, Università di Torino, 10126 Torino, Italy; [email protected] 
 Centro Cardiologico Monzino IRCCS, 20138 Milan, Italy; [email protected] (M.L.R.); [email protected] (J.C.); [email protected] (G.D.); [email protected] (G.D.S.); [email protected] (C.L.); [email protected] (M.M.); [email protected] (A.B.); [email protected] (A.L.B.); [email protected] (G.M.); Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences “Luigi Sacco”, University of Milan, 20157 Milan, Italy 
First page
2237
Publication year
2021
Publication date
2021
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
20770383
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2539904917
Copyright
© 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.