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© 2021 Fervers et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Purpose

Cardiovascular comorbidity anticipates severe progression of COVID-19 and becomes evident by coronary artery calcification (CAC) on low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT). The purpose of this study was to predict a patient’s obligation of intensive care treatment by evaluating the coronary calcium burden on the initial diagnostic LDCT.

Methods

Eighty-nine consecutive patients with parallel LDCT and positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 were included from three centers. The primary endpoint was admission to ICU, tracheal intubation, or death in the 22-day follow-up period. CAC burden was represented by the Agatston score. Multivariate logistic regression was modeled for prediction of the primary endpoint by the independent variables “Agatston score > 0”, as well as the CT lung involvement score, patient sex, age, clinical predictors of severe COVID-19 progression (history of hypertension, diabetes, prior cardiovascular event, active smoking, or hyperlipidemia), and laboratory parameters (creatinine, C-reactive protein, leucocyte, as well as thrombocyte counts, relative lymphocyte count, d-dimer, and lactate dehydrogenase levels).

Results

After excluding multicollinearity, “Agatston score >0” was an independent regressor within multivariate analysis for prediction of the primary endpoint (p<0.01). Further independent regressors were creatinine (p = 0.02) and leucocyte count (p = 0.04). The Agatston score was significantly higher for COVID-19 cases which completed the primary endpoint (64.2 [interquartile range 1.7–409.4] vs. 0 [interquartile range 0–0]).

Conclusion

CAC scoring on LDCT might help to predict future obligation of intensive care treatment at the day of patient admission to the hospital.

Details

Title
Coronary artery calcification on low-dose chest CT is an early predictor of severe progression of COVID-19—A multi-center, multi-vendor study
Author
Fervers, Philipp; Kottlors, Jonathan; Nils Große Hokamp; Bremm, Johannes; Maintz, David; Tritt, Stephanie; Safarov, Orkhan; Persigehl, Thorsten; Vollmar, Nils; Paul Martin Bansmann; Abdullayev, Nuran
First page
e0255045
Section
Research Article
Publication year
2021
Publication date
Jul 2021
Publisher
Public Library of Science
e-ISSN
19326203
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2553787246
Copyright
© 2021 Fervers et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.