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Abstract
Understanding the relationship cause/effect between tectonic earthquakes and volcanic eruptions is a striking topic in Earth Sciences. Volcanoes erupt with variable reaction times as a consequence of the impact of seismic waves (i.e. dynamic stress) and changes in the stress field (i.e. static stress). In 2012, three large (Mw ≥ 7.3) subduction earthquakes struck Central America within a period of 10 weeks; subsequently, some volcanoes in the region erupted a few days after, while others took months or even years to erupt. Here, we show that these three earthquakes contributed to the increase in the number of volcanic eruptions during the 7 years that followed these seismic events. We found that only those volcanoes that were already in a critical state of unrest eventually erupted, which indicates that the earthquakes only prompted the eruptions. Therefore, we recommend the permanent monitoring of active volcanoes to reveal which are more susceptible to culminate into eruption in the aftermath of the next large-magnitude earthquake hits a region.
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Details
1 Volcanes sin Fronteras, San José, Costa Rica; International Institute of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, Building Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan (GRID:grid.471551.3) (ISNI:0000 0000 9624 8043); National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS), Tokyo, Japan (GRID:grid.444282.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 2105 7362); Università degli studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Bari, Italy (GRID:grid.7644.1) (ISNI:0000 0001 0120 3326); Sezione di Bologna, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy (GRID:grid.470193.8) (ISNI:0000 0004 8343 7610)
2 National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan (GRID:grid.450301.3) (ISNI:0000 0001 2151 1625)
3 International Institute of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, Building Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan (GRID:grid.471551.3) (ISNI:0000 0000 9624 8043)
4 Sezione di Bologna, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy (GRID:grid.470193.8) (ISNI:0000 0004 8343 7610)
5 University of Bologna, Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences, Bologna, Italy (GRID:grid.6292.f) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 1758)
6 The Japan Academy, Tokyo, Japan (GRID:grid.6292.f)
7 Massey University, Volcanic Risk Solutions, School of Agriculture and Environment, Palmerston North, New Zealand (GRID:grid.148374.d) (ISNI:0000 0001 0696 9806); Institute of Earth Physics and Space Science, Sopron, Hungary (GRID:grid.148374.d)
8 Volcanes sin Fronteras, San José, Costa Rica (GRID:grid.148374.d)
9 Universidad de Costa Rica, Laboratorio de Ingeniería Sísmica (LIS-UCR), San José, Costa Rica (GRID:grid.412889.e) (ISNI:0000 0004 1937 0706)
10 Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología, Ciudad de Guatemala, Guatemala (GRID:grid.500292.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 0484 3169)
11 CSIC, Geosciences Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain (GRID:grid.4711.3) (ISNI:0000 0001 2183 4846)