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© 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Introduction: Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 are at increased risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE), but also for bleeding. We previously derived a prognostic score including four variables (elevated D-dimer, elevated ferritin, critical illness, and therapeutic-dose anticoagulation) that identified those at increased risk for major bleeding. Methods: We aimed to validate the score in a subsequent cohort of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 receiving standard-, intermediate- or therapeutic doses of VTE prophylaxis. We evaluated its capacity to predict major bleeding, non-major bleeding, and bleeding-related death. Results: The cohort included 972 patients from 29 hospitals, of whom 280 (29%) received standard-; 412 (42%) intermediate-, 157 (16%) therapeutic doses of VTE prophylaxis and 123 (13%) other drugs. Median duration of prophylaxis was 14.7 ± 10.3 days. Major bleeding occurred in 65 patients (6.7%) and non-major bleeding in 67 (6.9%). Thirty patients with major bleeding (46%) died within the first 30 days after bleeding. The prognostic score identified 203 patients (21%) at very low risk, 285 (29%) at low risk, 263 (27%) intermediate-risk and 221 (23%) at high risk for bleeding. Major bleeding occurred in 1.0%, 2.1%, 8.7% and 15.4% of the patients, respectively. Non-major bleeding occurred in 0.5%, 3.5%, 9.5% and 14.2%, respectively. The c-statistics was: 0.74 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.68–0.79) for major bleeding, 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67–0.78) for non-major bleeding and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.76–0.87) for bleeding-related death. Conclusions: In hospitalized patients with COVID-19, we validated that a prognostic score including 4 easily available items may identify those at increased risk for bleeding.

Details

Title
Validation of a Prognostic Score to Identify Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 at Increased Risk for Bleeding
Author
Demelo-Rodriguez, Pablo 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Galeano-Valle, Francisco 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Ordieres-Ortega, Lucía 1 ; Siniscalchi, Carmine 2 ; Mar Martín Del Pozo 3 ; Fidalgo, Ángeles 4 ; Gil-Díaz, Aída 5   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Lobo, José Luis 6 ; De Ancos, Cristina 7 ; Monreal, Manuel 8   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Camporese, Giuseppe

 Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Doctor Esquerdo 46, 28006 Madrid, Spain; [email protected] (P.D.-R.); [email protected] (L.O.-O.) 
 Department of Angiology, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria, 43126 Parma, Italy; [email protected] 
 Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Infanta Sofía, 28703 Madrid, Spain; [email protected] 
 Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario de Salamanca, 37007 Salamanca, Spain; [email protected] 
 Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario de Gran Canaria Dr. Negrín, 35010 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain; [email protected] 
 Department of Pneumonology, Hospital Universitario Araba, 01009 Álava, Spain; [email protected] 
 Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28943 Madrid, Spain; [email protected] 
 Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, 08916 Badalona, Spain; [email protected] 
First page
2278
Publication year
2021
Publication date
2021
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
19994915
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2602249564
Copyright
© 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.