1. Introduction
In practice, the estimated distribution function is usually not close enough to the real frequency. According to Liu [1], in this case, if we applied probability theory to modeling degrees of belief, it would lead to counterintuitive results. To overcome this problem, we apply uncertainty theory, which was established by Liu [2] in 2007 and completed by Liu [3] in 2009. Nowadays, uncertainty theory has been successfully employed in various fields of science and has spawned numerous theoretical branches.
One of the most essential concepts in uncertainty theory is uncertain variables, which were defined by Liu [2] in 2007. It is used to represent indeterminate quantities, such as stock price, market demand, and product lifetime. Furthermore, in order to characterize uncertain variables, Liu [2] presented the concept of uncertainty distribution, and Liu [4] developed the definition of inverse uncertainty distribution. In addition, some operational laws were proposed by Liu [4] to calculate the uncertainty distribution and inverse uncertainty distribution of strictly monotone functions of independent uncertain variables. Meanwhile, for the purpose of ranking uncertain variables, Liu [2] gave the definition of the expected value of uncertain variables. Based on the expected value operator, Liu [2] proposed variance, distance and moments between uncertain variables. After that, Yao [5] presented a formula for calculating the variance of an uncertain variable. Until now, substantial work has been done grounded in uncertain variables, such as Chen and Dai [6], Ma, Yang and Yao [7], Zhang [8], etc.
As a fundamental part of uncertainty theory, uncertainty distribution is the key approach in the characterization of uncertain variables. In fact, numerous research studies show that it is sufficient to know the uncertainty distribution rather than the uncertain variable itself. Therefore, uncertainty distribution is crucial to the development of uncertainty theory, and many scholars have made significant progress in it. For instance, Peng and Iwamura [9] proved a sufficient and necessary condition of a function’s uncertainty distribution. Liu and Lio [10] presented a review of sufficient and necessary condition of uncertainty distribution. They thoroughly solved the problem of what an uncertainty distributioin is.
This paper aims to provide a new formula for calculating the uncertainty distribution of strictly monotone function of independent uncertain variables. The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 shows some foundational definitions in uncertainty theory. Section 3 presents a new formula and some examples. Finally, Section 4 provides a concise conclusion.
2. Preliminaries
The key to uncertainty theory is the uncertain measure defined by Liu [2] and Liu [3] with the normality axiom, duality axiom, subadditivity axiom, and product axiom. Among them, the product axiom is the most essential difference between uncertainty theory and probability theory. Furthermore, according to Liu [2], an uncertain variable is a measurable function from an uncertainty space to the set of real numbers, and the uncertainty distribution of an uncertain variable is defined by
Moreover, Liu [4] declared that the inverse uncertainty distribution is the inverse function of uncertainty distribution. Furthermore, Liu [3] proclaimed that the uncertain variables , , ⋯, are said to be independent if
for any Borel sets , , ⋯, of real numbers.Finally, some theorems are given as follows.
(Liu [4]). Assume that are independent uncertain variables with regular uncertainty distributions , respectively. If is continuous, strictly increasing with respect to and strictly decreasing with respect to , then is an uncertain variable with an inverse uncertainty distribution
(Liu [4]). Assume are independent uncertain variables with regular uncertainty distributions , respectively. If is continuous, strictly increasing with respect to and strictly decreasing with respect to , then is an uncertain variable with an uncertainty distribution
3. A New Formula for Calculating Uncertainty Distribution
In this section, we obtain a new formula for calculating the uncertainty distribution of strictly monotone function of independent uncertain variables, and three examples are given for illustrating the formula. The formula is obtained in a symmetrical form as follows:
Assume are independent uncertain variables with regular uncertainty distributions , respectively. If is continuous, strictly increasing with respect to and strictly decreasing with respect to , then is an uncertain variable with an uncertainty distribution
Without loss of generality, let us prove the case of m = 1 and n = 2. It follows from Theorem 1 that has an inverse uncertainty distribution
Write
Then
On the one hand, for any and with , since h is strictly increasing with respect to and strictly decreasing with respect to , and , we have
That is,
Thus
By the arbitrariness of and with , we obtain
(1)
On the other hand, take
i.e.,Thus
(2)
It follows from (1) and (2) that
That is, has an uncertainty distribution
The theorem is verified.
Furthermore, it follows from Theorem 2 that has an uncertainty distribution
Thus
□
If the equation does not have a root for some values of z, then we set
Assume are independent uncertain variables with regular uncertainty distributions , respectively. It follows from Theorem 3 that
has an uncertainty distribution
In particular, if and , then has an uncertainty distribution
if , then has an uncertainty distribution
Assume are independent positive uncertain variables with regular uncertainty distributions , respectively. It follows from Theorem 3 that
has an uncertainty distribution
In particular, if and , then has an uncertainty distribution
If , then has an uncertainty distribution
Assume are independent uncertain variables with regular uncertainty distributions , respectively. Let be continuous, strictly increasing with respect to and strictly decreasing with respect to , and be an uncertain variable with an uncertainty distribution . For any real number z, satisfying , the equations
and
have an intersection. In particular, if
then the intersection is unique. Assume the intersection is . Then
(3)
It follows from Theorem 1 that has an inverse uncertainty distribution
Write
Then
Take
i.e.,Thus, is an intersection. If there is another intersection , then it follows from Theorem 3 that has an uncertainty distribution
And
Take
That is,
If , then
Thus
(4)
It is in contradiction with . Similarly, if , then
Thus,
(5)
It is in contradiction with . That is, the intersection is unique. The theorem is verified. □
Assume are iid uncertain variables with a common regular uncertainty distribution Θ. The uncertain variable
has an uncertainty distribution
where is the unique root of
It follows from Theorem 3 that
and it follows from Theorem 4 thatAssume , and take
Then
If , then
andOtherwise, we have
andWrite
Then
and is a root ofFuthermore, the fuction
is a strictly increasing function with respect to . Thus is the unique root. In particular, if , thenMoreover, if or , then the above conclusion still holds in light of the continuity of the regular uncertainty distribution . The corollary is verified. □
4. Conclusions
In summary, this paper proved a new formula for calculating uncertainty distribution of strictly monotone function of uncertain variables. In addition, three cases were given to illustrate the formula. Furthermore, in the sense of uncertain measure, Liu [11] proposed the ruin index, Lio and Liu [12] proposed the shortage index, and Yao [13] proposed the busy period based on the former formula. In future research, some new results can be obtained using the new formula and may be applied in practice better.
Conceptualization, Y.J.; methodology, Y.J.; validation, Y.J. and Y.L.; formal analysis, Y.J. and Y.L.; writing—original draft preparation, Y.J.; writing—review and editing, Y.J., Y.L. and Z.W.; supervision, Y.L. and Z.W.; funding acquisition, Y.L. and Z.W. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 61873329), the High Level Talent Project of Hainan Natural Science Foundation (Grant No. 2019RC168), and Key Laboratory of Engineering Modeling and Statistical Computation of Hainan Province.
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The authors especially thank the editors and anonymous referees for their kind review and helpful comments. Any remaining errors are ours.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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References
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Abstract
As a mathematical tool to rationally handle degrees of belief in human beings, uncertainty theory has been widely applied in the research and development of various domains, including science and engineering. As a fundamental part of uncertainty theory, uncertainty distribution is the key approach in the characterization of an uncertain variable. This paper shows a new formula to calculate the uncertainty distribution of strictly monotone function of uncertain variables, which breaks the habitual thinking that only the former formula can be used. In particular, the new formula is symmetrical to the former formula, which shows that when it is too intricate to deal with a problem using the former formula, the problem can be observed from another perspective by using the new formula. New ideas may be obtained from the combination of uncertainty theory and symmetry.
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1 Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2 School of Science, Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China;