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© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

MATOPIBA is an agricultural frontier, where fires are essential for its biodiversity maintenance. However, the increase in its recurrence and intensity, as well as accidental fires can lead to socioeconomic and environmental losses. Due to this dual relationship with fire, near real-time (NRT) fire management is required throughout the region. In this context, we developed, to the best of our knowledge, the first Machine Learning (ML) algorithm based on the GOES-16 ABI sensor able to detect and monitor Active Fires (AF) in NRT in MATOPIBA. To do so, we analyzed the best combination of three ML algorithms and how long it takes to consider a historical time series able to support accurate AF predictions. We used the most accurate combination for the final model (FM) development. The results show that the FM ensures an overall accuracy rate of approximately 80%. The FM potential is remarkable not only for single detections but also for a consecutive sequence of positive predictions. Roughly, the FM achieves an accuracy rate peak after around 20 h of consecutive AF detections, but there is an important trade-off between the accuracy and the time required to assemble more fire indications, which can be decisive for firefighters in real life.

Details

Title
Near Real-Time Fire Detection and Monitoring in the MATOPIBA Region, Brazil
Author
Mikhaela A J S Pletsch 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Körting, Thales S 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Morita, Felipe C 2 ; Silva-Junior, Celso H L 3   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Anderson, Liana O 4   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Luiz E O C Aragão 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo 

 Earth Observation and Geoinformatics Division, National Institute for Space Research-INPE, São José dos Campos 12227-010, SP, Brazil; [email protected] (T.S.K.); [email protected] (L.E.O.C.A.) 
 Rocket Science Consulting, São Paulo 04131-001, SP, Brazil; [email protected] 
 Institute of Environment and Sustainability, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA; [email protected]; Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA; Departamento de Engenharia Agrícola, Universidade Estadual do Maranhão, São Luís 65055-310, MA, Brazil 
 National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters—CEMADEN, São José dos Campos 12247-016, SP, Brazil; [email protected] 
First page
3141
Publication year
2022
Publication date
2022
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
20724292
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2686182336
Copyright
© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.