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© 2022 Siland et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background

Both elevated and low resting heart rates are associated with atrial fibrillation (AF), suggesting a U-shaped relationship. However, evidence for a U-shaped causal association between genetically-determined resting heart rate and incident AF is limited. We investigated potential directional changes of the causal association between genetically-determined resting heart rate and incident AF.

Method and results

Seven cohorts of the AFGen consortium contributed data to this meta-analysis. All participants were of European ancestry with known AF status, genotype information, and a heart rate measurement from a baseline electrocardiogram (ECG). Three strata of instrumental variable-free resting heart rate were used to assess possible non-linear associations between genetically-determined resting heart rate and the logarithm of the incident AF hazard rate: <65; 65–75; and >75 beats per minute (bpm). Mendelian randomization analyses using a weighted resting heart rate polygenic risk score were performed for each stratum.

We studied 38,981 individuals (mean age 59±10 years, 54% women) with a mean resting heart rate of 67±11 bpm. During a mean follow-up of 13±5 years, 4,779 (12%) individuals developed AF. A U-shaped association between the resting heart rate and the incident AF-hazard ratio was observed. Genetically-determined resting heart rate was inversely associated with incident AF for instrumental variable-free resting heart rates below 65 bpm (hazard ratio for genetically-determined resting heart rate, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.94–0.99; p = 0.01). Genetically-determined resting heart rate was not associated with incident AF in the other two strata.

Conclusions

For resting heart rates below 65 bpm, our results support an inverse causal association between genetically-determined resting heart rate and incident AF.

Details

Title
Resting heart rate and incident atrial fibrillation: A stratified Mendelian randomization in the AFGen consortium
Author
Siland, J E; Geelhoed, B; Roselli, C; Wang, B; Lin, H J; Weiss, S  VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Trompet, S; M. E. van den Berg; Soliman, E Z; Chen, L Y; Ford, I; Jukema, J W; Macfarlane, P W; Kornej, J; Lin, H; Lunetta, K L  VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Kavousi, M; Kors, J A; Ikram, M A; Guo, X; Yao, J; Dörr, M; Felix, S B; Völker, U; Sotoodehnia, N; Arking, D E; Stricker, B H; Heckbert, S R  VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Lubitz, S A  VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Benjamin, E J; Alonso, A  VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Ellinor, P T; van der Harst, P; Rienstra, M  VIAFID ORCID Logo 
First page
e0268768
Section
Research Article
Publication year
2022
Publication date
May 2022
Publisher
Public Library of Science
e-ISSN
19326203
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2686260082
Copyright
© 2022 Siland et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.