Pregnancy rates and outcomes in a longitudinal HIV cohort in the context of evolving antiretroviral treatment provision in South Africa

Abstract

Background

In South Africa, women continue to face a high burden of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection and the possible complications thereof during pregnancy. We assessed pregnancy incidence rates and outcomes in a longitudinal HIV cohort study over a 15-year period.

Methods

We evaluated pregnancies among women ≥ 18 years between 2004 and 2019 in the CAPRISA 002 study. We analysed pregnancy rates following HIV acquisition, CD4 counts and HIV viral load dynamics and pregnancy outcomes. We used linear regression to assess if the mean CD4 and log₁₀ viral load close to delivery increases or decreases linearly across three different timepoints.

Results

In total 245 women enrolled into the HIV negative study phase, 225 into the HIV infection phase and 232 in the antiretroviral therapy (ART) phase. Median follow-up time was 2.0 years [Interquartile Range (IQR) 0.8–2.0] during the HIV negative phase, 2.6 years; (IQR) 1.2–4.8] during HIV infection and 3.7 years (IQR 1.8–5.0) on ART, with maximum follow-up time of 2, 10 and 6 years respectively. Overall, 169 pregnancies occurred in 140 women, of which 16 pregnancies were observed during acute or early HIV infection [Incidence Rate (IR) 8.0 per 100 women-years; 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.6—12.9], 48 during established infection [IR 9.3; (CI 6.8–12.3)] and 68 on ART [IR 8.9; (CI: 7.0 – 11.4)]. Birth outcomes from 155/169 (91.7%) pregnancies were 118 (76.1%) full term live births, 17 (10.9%) premature live births, 9 (5.8%) therapeutic/elective miscarriages, 8 (5.1%) spontaneous miscarriages and 3 (1.9%) spontaneous foetal deaths or stillbirths. Six mother-to-child transmission events occurred, with four documented prior to 2008. Over time, mean CD4 count in pregnant women increased from 395 cells/µL (2004—2009) to 543 cells/µL (2010–2014) and to 696 cells/µL (2015–2019), p < 0.001. Conversely, the viral load declined from 4.2 log₁₀ copies/ml to 2.5 log₁₀ copies/ml and to 1.2 log₁₀ copies/ml (p < 0.001) for the corresponding periods.

Conclusions

Pregnancy rates following HIV acquisition were high, emphasising a need for timeous ART provision and contraception counselling in women recently diagnosed with HIV. CD4 count and HIV viral load trajectories reflect improvements in treatment guidance for pregnant women over time.