Abstract

Introduction

Little is known about the clinical course of COVID-19 following mild symptoms, and how the disease affects the survivors over time. Moreover, information on the severity of the long-term health effects as well as the associated risk factors is scant. This study aims to determine the short, intermediate and long-term health effects of COVID-19 on the survivors and the associated risk factors.

Methods and analysis

We propose conducting a 24-month prospective quantitative study in 10 health facilities (2 specialist, 3 regional, 2 mission and 3 subdistrict hospitals) from Lusaka and Southern Province of Zambia. Health facilities will be those which served as COVID-19 treatment centres during the third wave (June–August 2021). Study participants will comprise a randomly selected cohort of 450 COVID-19 survivors who had mild or no symptoms (80%) and severe cases (20%). Using a questionnaire, respondent demographic, clinical and laboratory data will be collected at baseline and at a 3-month interval for 18 months using a questionnaire. Respondents’ medical records will be reviewed and data collected using a checklist. Descriptive statistics will be computed to summarise respondents’ characteristics and clinical outcomes. Bivariate analysis (Χ2 and t-test) will be conducted to test the association between respondent characteristics and clinical outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression analysis will be run to determine the risk factors for short, intermediate and long-term health effects; adjusted ORs will be computed to test the strength of the association (p<0.05).

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval was obtained from the University of Zambia Biomedical Research and the National Health Research Authority. Results will be disseminated to key stakeholders in Zambia, international open-access peer-reviewed journals, websites and international conferences, and likely lead to design of evidence-informed strategies to mitigate health effects of COVID-19 on survivors.

Details

Title
Assessing the short, intermediate and long-term health effects of COVID-19 on the survivors in Zambia: a prospective quantitative study protocol
Author
Sialubanje, Cephas 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Kunka, Evaristo 2 ; Sumbwa, Phyllis Ingutu 3 ; Nawa Mukumbuta 1 ; Chibowa, Margaret 4 ; Gardner Syakantu 4 ; Chikoya, Laston 4 ; Mukonka, Victor M 1 

1  School of Public Health, Levy Mwanawasa Medical University, Lusaka, Zambia 
2  School of Public Health, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia 
3  School of Education, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia 
4  School of Medicine and Clinical Sciences, Levy Mwanawasa Medical University, Lusaka, Zambia 
First page
e062601
Section
Epidemiology
Publication year
2022
Publication date
2022
Publisher
BMJ Publishing Group LTD
e-ISSN
20446055
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062601
ProQuest document ID
2722734774
Copyright
© 2022 Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See:  http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ . Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.