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Abstract
Background
Aortic stenosis is a prevalent heart valvular disorder in Iran. Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI) and Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement (SAVR) are two common procedures for treating the disease in the current clinical pathway. However, TAVI is an expensive procedure, and for Iran with severe limitations in financial resources, it is crucial to investigate the cost-effectiveness of the technology against other competing alternatives with the same purpose. This study aims to analyse the cost-effectiveness of TAVI vs SAVR in elderly patients who are at a higher risk of surgery.
Methods
This study is a decision economic evaluation modeling, with a lifetime horizon and a healthcare payer (health insurer) perspective. The utility values are from a previous study, transitional probabilities come from an established clinical trial called PARTNER-1, and the unit costs are from Iran’s national fee schedule for medical services. The probabilistic and one-way sensitivity analyses have been performed to mitigate the uncertainty.
Results
The incremental cost, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness ratio for the base case were: 368,180,101 Iranian Rial, (US$ 1,473), 0.37 QALY-per-patient, and, 995,081,354 Iranian Rial (US$ 3,980), respectively. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis yielded 981,765,302 I.R.I Rials (US$ 3,927) per patient for the ICER. The probability of being cost-effective at one and three times the country’s Gross Domestic Production (GDP) is 0.31 and 0.83, respectively.
Conclusions
TAVI does not seem a cost-effective procedure in comparison with SAVR at the current willingness to pay thresholds of the country. However, by increasing the WTP threshold to 3 times the GDP per capita the probability of being cost-effective will raise to 83%.
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Details

1 University of Warwick, Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, Coventry, UK (GRID:grid.7372.1) (ISNI:0000 0000 8809 1613)
2 Iran University of Medical Sciences, Cardiovascular Nursing Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Tehran, Iran (GRID:grid.411746.1) (ISNI:0000 0004 4911 7066)
3 Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Department of Cardiac Surgery, Imam Hossein Educational Hospital, Tehran, Iran (GRID:grid.411600.2)
4 Iran University of Medical Sciences, Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Tehran, Iran (GRID:grid.411746.1) (ISNI:0000 0004 4911 7066)
5 AJA University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran AJA University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (GRID:grid.411259.a) (ISNI:0000 0000 9286 0323)
6 Iran University of Medical Sciences, Iranian Scientific Society of Extracorporeal Technology, Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Tehran, Iran (GRID:grid.411746.1) (ISNI:0000 0004 4911 7066)
7 National Center for Health Insurance Research, Tehran, Iran (GRID:grid.411746.1)