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© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background and Objectives: In the early period after liver transplantation, patients are exposed to a high rate of complications and several scores are currently available to predict adverse postoperative outcomes. However, an ideal, universally accepted and validated score to predict adverse events in liver transplant recipients with hepatitis C is lacking. Therefore, we aimed to establish and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict short-term outcomes of hepatitis C patients who underwent liver transplantation. Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational two-center cohort study involving hepatitis C patients who underwent liver transplantation. Based on clinical and laboratory parameters, the dataset was used to train a deep-learning model for predicting short-term postoperative complications (within one month following liver transplantation). Adverse events prediction in the postoperative setting was the primary study outcome. Results: A total of 90 liver transplant recipients with hepatitis C were enrolled in the present study, 80 patients in the training cohort and ten in the validation cohort, respectively. The age range of the participants was 12–68 years, 51 (56,7%) were male, and 39 (43.3%) were female. Throughout the 85 training epochs, the model achieved a very good performance, with the accuracy ranging between 99.76% and 100%. After testing the model on the validation set, the deep-learning classifier confirmed the performance in predicting postoperative complications, achieving an accuracy of 100% on unseen data. Conclusions: We successfully developed a ML model to predict postoperative complications following liver transplantation in hepatitis C patients. The model demonstrated an excellent performance for accurate adverse event prediction. Consequently, the present study constitutes the foundation for careful and non-invasive identification of high-risk patients who might benefit from a more intensive postoperative monitoring strategy.

Details

Title
Machine Learning Model Validated to Predict Outcomes of Liver Transplantation Recipients with Hepatitis C: The Romanian National Transplant Agency Cohort Experience
Author
Zabara, Mihai Lucian 1 ; Popescu, Irinel 2 ; Burlacu, Alexandru 3   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Geman, Oana 4   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Radu Adrian Crisan Dabija 5   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Popa, Iolanda Valentina 6   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Lupascu, Cristian 1 

 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T Popa”, 700115 Iasi, Romania; Department of Surgery, St. Spiridon Emergency Hospital, 700111 Iasi, Romania 
 Fundeni Clinical Institute, 022328 Bucharest, Romania; Center for Excellence in Translational Medicine, 022328 Bucharest, Romania 
 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T Popa”, 700115 Iasi, Romania; Institute of Cardiovascular Diseases, 700503 Iasi, Romania 
 The Computer, Electronics and Automation Department, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University Stefan cel Mare, 720229 Suceava, Romania 
 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T Popa”, 700115 Iasi, Romania; Pulmonology Department, Clinic of Pulmonary Diseases, 700115 Iasi, Romania 
 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T Popa”, 700115 Iasi, Romania 
First page
2149
Publication year
2023
Publication date
2023
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
14248220
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2779678624
Copyright
© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.