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Abstract
Landscapes nearby glaciers are disproportionally affected by climate change, but we lack detailed information on microclimate variations that can modulate the impacts of global warming on proglacial ecosystems and their biodiversity. Here, we use near-subsurface soil temperatures in 175 stations from polar, equatorial and alpine glacier forelands to generate high-resolution temperature reconstructions, assess spatial variability in microclimate change from 2001 to 2020, and estimate whether microclimate heterogeneity might buffer the severity of warming trends. Temporal changes in microclimate are tightly linked to broad-scale conditions, but the rate of local warming shows great spatial heterogeneity, with faster warming nearby glaciers and during the warm season, and an extension of the snow-free season. Still, most of the fine-scale spatial variability of microclimate is one-to-ten times larger than the temporal change experienced during the past 20 years, indicating the potential for microclimate to buffer climate change, possibly allowing organisms to withstand, at least temporarily, the effects of warming.
The high-resolution global model of soil temperature and snow cover change in mountain ecosystems developed here shows that areas nearby glaciers are warming faster than other mountain regions, and these effects are particularly rapid in tropical mountains.
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1 University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822); IGG-CNR, Italian National Research Council, Institute of Geosciences and Earth Resources, Pisa, Italy (GRID:grid.483108.6) (ISNI:0000 0001 0673 3828)
2 University of Texas at Austin, Department of Geography and the Environment, Austin, USA (GRID:grid.89336.37) (ISNI:0000 0004 1936 9924)
3 University of Milan, Department of Biosciences, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822)
4 MUSE-Science Museum, Research & Museum Collections Office, Climate and Ecology Unit, Trento, Italy (GRID:grid.436694.a) (ISNI:0000 0001 2154 5833)
5 University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822)
6 University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822); University of Milan, Department of Earth Sciences “Ardito Desio”, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822)
7 University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822); University of Turin, Department of Life Sciences and Systems Biology, Turin, Italy (GRID:grid.7605.4) (ISNI:0000 0001 2336 6580)
8 Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences (DISAT) - University of Milan-Bicocca, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822)
9 Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, LECA, Grenoble, France (GRID:grid.462909.0) (ISNI:0000 0004 0609 8934)
10 IGG-CNR, Italian National Research Council, Institute of Geosciences and Earth Resources, Pisa, Italy (GRID:grid.483108.6) (ISNI:0000 0001 0673 3828)
11 University of Milan, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Milan, Italy (GRID:grid.4708.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 2822); Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, LECA, Grenoble, France (GRID:grid.462909.0) (ISNI:0000 0004 0609 8934)